Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction: No Need To Overthink—Back The Dragons!

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
12 Apr 2025 22:30
FC Porto
FC Porto
Portuguese Primeira Liga 
Round 29
Casa Pia vs. FC Porto
Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal.
12.04.25 at 22:30
Thobelani Moyo
11 Apr 2025
22:20
All time statistics:
836
822
22
49.76%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,7
Bet Type W2
Bonus 100 EUR
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Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 12 APRIL, 2025

Casa Pia will welcome FC Porto to the Estadio Pina Manique in the 29th round of the Primeira Liga. 

Let's head into the match preview to find the best odds on the Casa Pia vs. FC Porto game and my expert picks to place your bets.

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Form: DWLLL

Casa Pia have six games remaining in the Primeira Liga before the season comes to an end. They are currently eighth in the league standings with 40 points. This translates to 11 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses from 28 games.

The Geese recently gave a good account of themselves after the international window by defeating Rio Ave 2-1 at home. However, they failed to build on this momentum last time out when they were held to a goalless draw against Farense on the road.

Heading into this clash, João Pereira's men have not been in good form in the Primeira Liga. Despite being unbeaten in two league games (W1, D1), it is hard to forget that this is a team that was once on a three-match losing streak, conceding seven goals during this stretch. 

Formation: 3-4-3

Sequeira; Goulart, Fonte, Tchamba; Lelo, Kraev, Sousa, Larrazabal; Roberto, Cassiano, Livolant

Form: LWWLW

FC Porto have fallen down to fourth place in the league standings. However, there's no need to press the panic button just yet as they are one point behind third-placed Braga.

The Dragons come into this match low in spirits after Sunday's 4-1 thrashing at the hands of FC Porto in front of their home crowd. This marked the first time in 17 games they conceded 4 goals. Surprisingly, the last time they conceded four goals was in a 4-1 away defeat against the same team—Benfica.

Martin Anselmi's men have won three of their last five league games. Their record becomes even more convincing knowing that they have lost just two of their last ten matches (W4, D4).

Formation: 3-4-3

Costa; Marcano, Eustaquio, Pedro; Moura, Varela, Vieira, Mario; Mora, Aghehowa, Borges

  • Casa Pia has lost just one of their last 12 home matches in the Primeira Liga.
  • FC Porto has won by a one-goal margin in two of their last three away league games.
  • Casa Pia has lost four consecutive meetings against FC Porto.
  • FC Porto has avoided defeat in their last three away meetings with Casa Pia.

In the last 6 meetings, Casa Pia has won 0 times, FC Porto has won 5 times, and there has been 1 draw, with the goal difference being 12-3 in favour of FC Porto.

History of Head-to-Heads

Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Liga Portugal 2025/2026
24.08.25
FC Porto FC Porto
4 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
12.04.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
0 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Liga Portugal 2024/2025
02.12.24
FC Porto FC Porto
2 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
21.04.24
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
Liga Portugal 2023/2024 Liga Portugal 2023/2024
09.12.23
FC Porto FC Porto
3 - 1
Casa Pia Casa Pia

Casa Pia Latest Games

Casa Pia Casa Pia
21.12.25
Tondela Tondela
1 - 2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
13.12.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 1
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
06.12.25
Santa Clara Santa Clara
1 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
29.11.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
0 - 2
Alverca Alverca
09.11.25
Benfica Benfica
2 - 2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
01.11.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
3 - 5
Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
26.10.25
Braga Braga
4 - 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
03.10.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
2 - 2
Estoril Estoril
27.09.25
Moreirense Moreirense
2 - 1
Casa Pia Casa Pia
21.09.25
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1 - 1
Famalicao Famalicao

FC Porto Latest Games

FC Porto FC Porto
22.12.25
Alverca Alverca
0 - 3
FC Porto FC Porto
15.12.25
FC Porto FC Porto
3 - 1
Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
11.12.25
FC Porto FC Porto
2 - 1
Malmoe FF Malmoe FF
07.12.25
Tondela Tondela
0 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
30.11.25
FC Porto FC Porto
1 - 0
Estoril Estoril
27.11.25
FC Porto FC Porto
3 - 0
Nice Nice
09.11.25
Famalicao Famalicao
0 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
06.11.25
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
1 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
02.11.25
FC Porto FC Porto
2 - 1
Braga Braga
27.10.25
Moreirense Moreirense
1 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto

Our main prediction for the match: W2 @ 1.7 with 1xbet. 

I won't complicate things for this matchup other than choosing a comfortable win for FC Porto. FC Porto has been behind some shaky performances on the road but I have reason to believe this could turn out to be a comfortable win for them. The visitors are currently on a four-match winning streak and I'm expecting them to make it five in a row.

2nd prediction: Both Teams To Score - No @ 1.73 with Betway.

I'm not expecting both teams to score here. FC Porto boast the third-best defensive record in the league and I believe their defence can keep Casa Pia at bay. The visitors have kept two clean sheets in their last four away league games and I'm expecting them not to concede here.

3rd prediction: Goals - Under 2.5 @ 1.66 with Bet365. 

Under 2.5 goals has been a trend in three of FC Porto's last four away matches in the Primeira Liga. This matchup has the markings of a low-scoring affair and I won't be surprised if FC Porto wins by a 2-0 scoreline. 

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,7
Bet Type W2
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Odds 1,73
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - No
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type Goals - Under 2.5
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