Casa Pia vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction: The Geese Are Ready To Dominate This Opponent Again!

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
30 Aug 2025 17:30
Nacional da Madeira
Nacional da Madeira
Portuguese Primeira Liga 
Round 04
Casa Pia vs. Nacional da Madeira
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal.
30.08.25 at 17:30
Thobelani Moyo
29 Aug 2025
13:41
All time statistics:
836
822
22
49.76%
Statistics
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Odds 2,3
Bet Type W1
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Casa Pia vs Nacional da Madeira: Prediction for the Match on August 30, 2025

Casa Pia will welcome Nacional da Madeira to the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in the fourth round of the Primeira Liga. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news, and betting odds to place your bets!

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Casa Pia is currently in tenth place in the Primeira Liga standings and has maintained a two-point cushion over the relegation playoffs.

The Geese come into this match to return to winning ways. On Sunday, they were drawn against FC Porto and, judging by the quality on the field, were dominated. The game was already decided in the first half, with three goals conceded, and another in the second half, resulting in a damaging 4-0 defeat.

A return to Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior sees Joao Pereira's men still searching for their first home win. In their home campaign opener, they suffered a 2-0 defeat against the defending champions Sporting CP. This time, the indicators are pointing towards their victory, having defeated Nacional da Madeira 1-0 at this venue in the previous season.

Casa Pia has six players who remain sidelined due to injury. This includes Ricardo Batista (injury), Yassin Oukili (injury), Kiki (injury), Claudio Mendes (knee injury), Raul Blanco (leg injury), and Kelian Nsona (injury).

With Yassin Oukili still in the injury room, Renato Nhaga is expected to cover for him until he fully recovers.

Despite suffering a damaging defeat to FC Porto, head coach Joao Pereira will name an unchanged lineup in a 3-4-3 setup. Cassiano will lead the attack, while Jeremy Livolant and Korede Osundina provide support from the wings.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (3-4-3): Sequeira; Goulart Silva, Fonte, Tchamba; Larrazabal, Mohamed, Nhaga, Benaissa-Yahia; Livolant, Cassiano, Osundina.

⛔️ Out: Ricardo Batista (injury), Yassin Oukili (injury), Kiki (injury), Claudio Mendes (knee injury), Raul Blanco (leg injury), Kelian Nsona (injury).

👤 Head coach: Joao Pereira.

Nacional da Madeira finds itself in a tricky position in the league standings. They are in 16th place within the relegation playoffs and are one point ahead of the relegation zone.

Madeira are still searching for their first league win after failing to do so in their first three game. However, they have managed to snatch a point in this period.

In their most recent league game, they welcomed defending champions Sporting CP to the Estadio da Madeira. Leo Santos opened the scoring for the home team in the first three minutes. Pablo Ruan's dismissal in the 37th minute threw their smooth progress off course as they conceded four goals in the second half to suffer a 4-1 defeat.

Discipline has been a major concern in the Nacional da Madeira camp. Pablo Ruan's dismissal marks him as the second player in three games to be suspended. Witi is the likely replacement for the suspended Ruan.

Ulisses is back from suspension and is eligible to play. He is expected to take his place at the heart of the defense, replacing Leo Santos.

Regarding issues in the injury room, Nacional da Madeira is still without long-term absentee Miguel Baeza, who is nursing a muscle injury. Deivison, Ivanildo Fernandes, and Mootaz Nourani remain inactive.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-3-3): Lucas Franca; Jose Gomes, Ze Vitor, Ulisses, Aurelio; Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Witi, Ramirez Diaz, Paulinho Boia.

⛔️ Out: Pablo Ruan (suspended), Miguel Baeza (muscle injury), Deivison (inactive), Ivanildo Fernandes (inactive), Mootaz Nourani (inactive).

👤 Head coach: Tiago Margarido.

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In the last 9 meetings, Casa Pia have won 4 times, Nacional da Madeira have won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The goal difference is 10-9 in favor of Casa Pia.

  • Casa Pia have seen each of their last six home matches against Nacional da Madeira produce a goal in the first half. You can bet on over 0.5 first-half goals for 1.45 at 1xbet.
  • Nacional da Madeira have scored first in two of their last three away matches against Casa Pia. You can bet on Nacional da Madeira to score first for 2.29 at Betway.
  • Casa Pia have seen two of their last three matches in the Primeira Liga produce over 8 corners. You can bet on over 8 corners for 1.40 at Bet365.

Casa Pia has been the better-performing side compared to Nacional da Madeira. They have also been dominant in this fixture, which is also a bonus to see them pick up three points. Revisiting old memories, this is the same team that beat this opponent 1-0 at home in the previous Primeira Liga season. The signs are pointing towards their triumph, and I'm not against that.

Nacional da Madeira are lacking confidence. I'm not expecting much from a side that has lost three consecutive league games. However, I do believe that they can get on the scoreboard in what will turn out to be a high-scoring affair. That said, I'm backing Casa Pia to secure maximum points in front of their home crowd.

Our match prediction: W1 for a coefficient of 2.3 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Both Teams To Score - Yes for a coefficient of 1.96 in the Betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Goals - Over 2.5 for a coefficient of 2.25 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

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Odds 2,3
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Goals - Over 2.5
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Odds 1,96
Bet Type Both Teams To Score - Yes
Bonus 250 USD
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