FC Porto vs Casa Pia Prediction: The Geese Have Never Made It Out Of The Dragon's Lair Unscathed!

FC Porto vs Casa Pia: Prediction for the Match on August 24, 2025

Third-placed FC Porto will welcome eighth-placed Casa Pia to the Estadio do Dragao in the third round of the Primeira Liga. Who's going to come out on top? Let us check out the match preview, team news and betting odds to place your bets! 

FC Porto: Form and Statistics

FC Porto is the second most successful club in the Primeira Liga. So far, they have been crowned champions 30 times, with their most recent triumph being in the 2021-22 season. Since then, they have fallen short in the following seasons. 

In order to bring back the glory days, the Dragons have acquired the services of head coach Francesco Farioli, who recently managed Ajax Amsterdam in the previous Eredivisie season. The board has had no regrets so far with that decision, as Farioli has already settled in at Estadio do Dragao.

The 36-year-old Italian has managed to win his first two league games with FC Porto. The team secured a comfortable 3-0 home win against Vitoria de Guimaraes in the league opener. They capitalized on that result with a 2-0 away win against Gil Vicente in the second round.

FC Porto: Team News

FC Porto has a new injury concern in Samu Aghehowa, who sustained an injury in his last outing. The 21-year-old has two goals to his name this season. He joins 19-year-old Martim Fernandes in the injury room.

Luuk de Jong is expected to lead the attack as a replacement for the injured Aghehowa. A 4-3-3 setup will be used in this match, and providing support from the wings will be Borja Sainz and Pepe.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (4-4-3): Costa; Zaidu, Bednarek, Perez, A. Costa; Veiga, Varela, Froholdt; Sainz, de Jong, Pepe.

⛔️ Out: Martim Fernandes (injury), Samu Aghehowa (injury/questionable).

👤 Head coach: Francesco Farioli.

Casa Pia: Form and Statistics

Casa Pia, on the other hand, did not begin their 2025-26 Primeira Liga season on a positive note. There was nothing much they could do, as they were drawn against defending champions Sporting CP. Therefore, a 2-0 home defeat did not come as a surprise. 

Other than crying over split milk, the Geese picked themselves up in the second round. Their opponents were AVS Futebol SAD away from home. A goal in either half from Korede Osundina and Duplexe Tchamba Bangou was enough to see them cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory. 

Joao Pereira's men are now hoping to avoid their second league defeat of the season when they make the trip to Estadio do Dragao. The visitors have rarely had joy at this venue, losing three matches in a row.

Casa Pia: Team News

Casa Pia continues to be without the injured trio of Kiki, Claudio Mendes, and Raul Blanco. Beyond that, the visitors are expected to field a strong starting lineup.

Head coach Joao Pereira will stick with the same 3-4-3 formation and lineup that won against AVS Futebol SAD recently. We could see Cassiano lead the attack once again, while Jeremy Livolant and Korede Osundina provide support from the wings.

🔖 Probable Starting XI (3-4-3): Sequeira; Goulart Silva, Fonte, Tchamba; Larrazabal, Oukili, Mohamed, Benaissa-Yahia; Livolant, Cassiano, Osundina. 

⛔️ Out: Kiki (injury), Claudio Mendes (knee injury), Raul Blanco (leg injury).

👤 Head coach: Joao Pereira. 

FC Porto vs Casa Pia: Head-To-Head Statistics

In the last 7 meetings, FC Porto has won 6 times, Casa Pia has won 0 times, and there has been 1 draw. The goal difference is 13-3 in favor of FC Porto.

FC Porto vs Casa Pia: Betting Tips & Odds

• FC Porto have preserved a clean sheet in their last two league games. You can bet on 'both teams to score—no' for 1.59 at Betway.
• Two of Casa Pia's last three league games have produced over 9.5 corners. You can bet on over 9.5 corners for 1.80 at Bet365.
• FC Porto have scored under 2.5 goals in five of their last seven meetings against Casa Pia. You can bet on under 2.5 FC Porto goals for 1.75 at 1xbet.

FC Porto vs Casa Pia match prediction 24 August 2025

FC Porto have never lost a game against Casa Pia in their last seven meetings. That alone should be enough to paint how dominant they have been in this fixture. Their performance in recent matches has been convincing, and I see no other result than a comfortable home win.

Considering that there is little value in siding with them in the full-time market, I fancy a bet on the Asian handicap -1.5. Taking a look at their past meetings with Casa Pia at home, this has been a winning wager in each of their last two encounters.

Our match prediction: Handicap 1 (-1.5) for a coefficient of 1.67 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: Goals - Under 2.5 for a coefficient of 2.30 in the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score - 2:0 for a coefficient of 5.20 in the Betway bookmaker.