Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction: I expect a win for the hosts

Nacional will welcome Estrela Amadora to the Estadio da Madeira on Sunday. Nacional are unbeaten in five of their last six games at home, while Estrela are winless in 11 of their last 12 games. Below, I have the team news, possible starting 11, some interesting facts, expert betting tips, and odds.

Nacional

Nacional suffered a 1-0 loss to Santa Clara in their last game to extend their losing run to two in their last three games. They have lost three of their last five games but remain unbeaten in five of their last six games at home. Nationalists sit 11th on the table with 29 points in 27 games, scoring 26 goals and conceding 37. However, Miguel Baeza (muscle injury), Jose Gomes (injury), Djibril Soumare (red card) and Ivanildo Fernandes (inactive) will all miss this game.

Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora suffered a 3-0 loss to Sporting in their last game to extend their winless run to five games. They have secured one win in their last 12 games and one in their last 15 on the road in all competitions. The Tricolours sit 15th on the table with 23 points in 27 games, scoring 21 goals and conceding 41. However, Ferro (accumulated yellow cards), Alan Ruiz (accumulated yellow cards), Guilherme Montoia (red card), Ruben Lima (red card), Tiago Ferreira (inactive), Miguel Lopes (injury), and Juan Mina (inactive) are all out of this match.

Nacional Latest Games

Nacional

21.12.25

AVS Futebol SAD

2 - 2

Nacional

15.12.25

Nacional

3 - 1

Tondela

07.12.25

Alverca

1 - 0

Nacional

29.11.25

Nacional

1 - 2

Benfica

09.11.25

Estrela da Amadora

1 - 1

Nacional

01.11.25

Nacional

0 - 1

Famalicao

26.10.25

Estoril

1 - 1

Nacional

04.10.25

Nacional

3 - 2

Moreirense

28.09.25

Braga

0 - 1

Nacional

20.09.25

Nacional

1 - 2

Arouca

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Estrela da Amadora Latest Games

Estrela da Amadora

20.12.25

Estrela da Amadora

0 - 0

Moreirense

15.12.25

FC Porto

3 - 1

Estrela da Amadora

07.12.25

Estrela da Amadora

3 - 1

Arouca

30.11.25

Sporting CP

4 - 0

Estrela da Amadora

19.11.25

Real Valladolid

2 - 2

Estrela da Amadora

09.11.25

Estrela da Amadora

1 - 1

Nacional

01.11.25

Casa Pia

3 - 5

Estrela da Amadora

25.10.25

Estrela da Amadora

1 - 2

Rio Ave

04.10.25

Gil Vicente

2 - 0

Estrela da Amadora

27.09.25

Estrela da Amadora

3 - 0

AVS Futebol SAD

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Possible Starting 11

Nacional — Lucas França, Zé Vítor, Ulisses, Jose Gomes, Gustavo Garcia, Daniel Penha, Luís Esteves, Arvin Appiah, Dudu Teodora, Isaac, Paulinho Bóia.

Estrela Amadora — Joao Costa, Renato Pantalon, Miguel Lopes, Issiar Dramé, Diogo Martins Travassos, Manuel Keliano, Leonel Bucca, Nilton, Kikas, Rodrigo Pinho, Fábio Ronaldo.

History of Head-to-Heads

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

09.11.25

Estrela da Amadora

1 - 1

Nacional

Liga Portugal 2024/2025

06.04.25

Nacional

0 - 1

Estrela da Amadora

Liga Portugal 2024/2025

10.11.24

Estrela da Amadora

2 - 0

Nacional

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023

21.05.23

Estrela da Amadora

0 - 1

Nacional

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023

15.01.23

Nacional

0 - 1

Estrela da Amadora

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Match Facts

• Nacional are unbeaten in five of their last six games at home;
• Estrela are winless in 11 of their last 12 games;
• The last four games between both sides saw the BTTS-NO and under 2.5 goals results.

Expert Betting Tips

Nacional have managed to remain unbeaten in four of their last five games going into this match, and I think that alone is enough to motivate them to play this clash against a side that are winless in 11 of their last 12 games. The visitors failed to score in each of their last two games and I doubt if they can score in this game.

Our prediction for this match is that at least one side will keep a clean sheet, with odds of 1.71 at Betway.

Our second prediction for this match is to see less than two goals for odds of 1.60 at 1xbet.

Our third prediction is for Nacional to win at odds of 2.05 at Bet365.