Stadium: Municipal 22 de Junho
17.05.2025 20:00
Porto vs Nacional: Prediction and odds on the Match on 17 May 2025
Porto and Nacional will play their final game of the season at the Municipal 22 de Junho on Saturday, 17 May 2025. Porto have won ten of their last eleven games against Nacional. Can they continue this dominance? Below, I have the team news, possible starting lineup, head-to-head stats, interesting facts, betting tips, and odds.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!Porto: form and statistics
Porto recorded a 2-1 win over Boavista in their last game to qualify for the Europa League next season. Two quick goals from Rodrigo Mora and Ivan Marcano in the first half were the difference in the game. The Dragons have won four of their last five games and remain unbeaten in seven of their previous eight games at home. They sit third on the table with 68 points in 33 games, scoring 62 goals and conceding 30. They have already booked a place in Europe next season, and as it stands, they will represent the league in the UEFA Europa League next season as they are three points above 4th-placed Braga on the table.
Porto: Lineup
Martín Anselmi will still have Vasco Sousa and Marko Grujic ruled out of this game due to injuries, while Nehuen Perez is suspended due to the double yellow cards he received in their last game. However, the gaffer is expected to maintain his 3-4-3 formation.
🔖 Porto starting lineup (3-4-3)
Goalkeeper – Diogo Costa
Defenders – Otavio, Ze Pedro, Ivan Marcano
Midfielders – João Mario, Alan Varela, Stephen Eustaquio, Francisco Moura
Attacker — Fabio Vieira, Samuel Aghehowa, Rodrigo Mora
⛔️ Out: Vasco Sousa (calf injury), Marko Grujic (heel injury), Nehuen Perez (red card).
👤 Head coach: Martín Anselmi
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Nacional Latest Games
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Nacional: form and statistics
Nacional secured a 3-3 comeback draw in their last game against Rio Ave despite going 3-0 down in the first half. Second-half substitute Andre Sousa pulled one back in the 46th minute after barely spending a minute on the field before Leo Santos made it 3-2 in the 90th minute, and an own goal from Konstantinos Kostoulas in the 90+4th minute tied the game. Despite this encouraging display, Nacional remain winless in their last four games and have secured just two wins in their 16 road games this season. They also have the joint-worst away form (10 points) this season. The Nationalists are 14th in the table with 34 points from 33 games, scoring 32 goals and conceding 47. Despite sitting two positions above the relegation zone, they have escaped relegation as they are currently seven points above the drop zone.
Nacional: Lineup
Due to injuries and suspensions, Tiago Margarido will be without Miguel Baeza, Dyego Sousa, Ivanildo Fernandes, and Lucas Franca for this match. However, Joel Tagueu will lead the attack in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
🔖 Nacional starting lineup (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper – Lucas Franca
Defenders – Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Arvin Appiah
Midfielders – Chiheb Labidi, Djibril Soumare, Fuki Yamada, Daniel Penha, Paulinho Boia
Attacker — Joel Tagueu
⛔️ Out: Lucas Franca (accumulated yellow cards), Miguel Baeza (muscle injury), Dyego Sousa (inactive), Ivanildo Fernandes (inactive).
👤 Head coach: Tiago Margarido
More football predictions
Porto vs Nacional: head-to-head statistics
History of Head-to-Heads
Liga Portugal 2025/2026
Nacional
Liga Portugal 2024/2025
Nacional
Liga Portugal 2024/2025
FC Porto
Club Friendlies 2024
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2020/2021
FC Porto
Porto vs Nacional: Betting Tips & Odds
- Porto have the third-best offense (62 goals scored) and defense (30 goals conceded) in the league this season. 1xBet offers 1.57 odds for this game to see at least three goals;
- Nacional have the joint-worst away record this season, with just 10 points;
- Porto have won ten of their last eleven games against Nacional. Betway offers 1.30 odds for the hosts to win;
- Porto conceded in six of their last seven games and eight of their previous nine at home. 1xBet offers 1.78 odds for the hosts to concede.
Porto vs Nacional match prediction 17 May 2025
Porto have had a difficult season, but they made sure they secured a continental ticket ahead of next season. While they have not mathematically booked the automatic Europa League ticket, their goal difference points to the direction of success. However, I expect them to continue dominating their visitors in this game, as they have won ten of their last eleven games against them. However, I cannot trust the hosts' defense because they have conceded in six of their previous seven games. So, it won’t be surprising to see goals from both sides of the net in this clash.
Our match prediction: Over 3 goals for a coefficient of 1.87 in the 1xBet bookmaker.
Our betting tip on the match: Both Teams to Score for a coefficient of 1.90 in the Bet365 bookmaker.
Our final betting tip on the match: A win for the hosts in the first 45 minutes for a coefficient of 1.64 in the Betway bookmaker.
Other predictions
