Sofapaka FC vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: The Children of God won't be defeated in front of their home supporters

Sofapaka FC vs Mara Sugar FC: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 October 2025

The Kenyan Premier League continues as Sofapaka FC takes on Mara Sugar at the Dandora Stadium. The guests will be keen to pick up another victory on the road after demolishing Ulinzi Stars, while the hosts will hope to build on their most recent win. A winner has never emerged across their previous meetings, and it'd be hard to tell who wins here.

Sofapaka FC Form and Statistics

Last four games: DLLW

The Children of God recorded their first win of the season after five consecutive defeats in all competitions. Sofapaka FC began the game with great intensity, and after twenty-four minutes of play, Adrian Oloo opened the scoreline. A few minutes later, Bramuel Simiyu extended the lead, allowing them to secure their first-ever win this campaign. They held on to their lead until the 86th minute when Muranga Seal responded once.

This excellent performance was after their loss against Kakamazi Homeboyz and Gor Mahia FC on their home turf. This is one of their best performance this year, and they'll be keen to build on this for further fixtures.

The hosts have picked up four points from a combined twelve, scoring three times and conceding five goals. Sofakapa FC have lost their last two matches in front of their supporters, which has been a terrible run so far, and something must change.

Sofapaka FC Team News

Sam Timbe’s men will definitely give Simiyu another chance up front after the striker impressed the last time on the road.

Sofapaka FC Potential Lineup (4-4-2)

Edward Olak–Namale, Roy Kal, Bonney, Odiambo–Satala, Mzungu, Adrian Oloo, Daniel NGANGA–Waswa, Simiyu

Head Coach: Sam Timbe

Mara Sugar FC Form and Statistics

Last four games: DLWD

The guests failed to maintain their momentum, settling for their second stalemate of the season against Bidco United. Mara Sugar, who had previously won against Ulinzi Stars on the road, shared the spoils this time. Mara Sugar failed to execute their game plan against a tough opponent. After the first forty-five minutes without a goal, they settled for a tie.

Mara Sugar have picked up five points from a combined twelve, finding the back of the net twice while conceding two goals. They sit in eleventh spot, although they have played one game less than the others since the league began.

Mara Sugar have won once and drawn a game across their previous two games on the road.

Mara Sugar FC Team News

Brain Ochieng, who was given the man of the match, will likely continue up front with Owino controlling the middle of the park.

Mara Sugar FC Potential Lineup (3-4-3)

Evan–Harun, Openda, RAOBINSON–Jimmy, Mwavali, Owino, Oningo–Nobert, David Omondi, Brian Ochieng

Head Coach–Manoah

Sofapaka FC vs Mara Sugar FC: head-to-head statistics

Both teams have played out a share of the spoils across their last two games, with a correct score of (1-1) being played out. 

Sofapaka FC vs Mara Sugar FC: Betting Tips & Odds

• Sofapaka FC are winless across their previous two home games in the Kenyan Premier League. You can try out a win or draw for the away team here with 1.50 odds on the Bet365 bookmaker website.
• Five of Mara Sugar's last six matches have produced fewer than two goals. You can try out under 2.5 goals for 1.54 on the Betway bookmaker website.
• Sofapaka FC have played out a BTTS in five of their last seven games in the Kenyan Premier League. You can bet on BTTS, available on Bet365 at odds of 1.95.

Sofapaka FC vs Mara Sugar FC Match Prediction, 28 October 2025

Sofapaka FC, who have managed two wins across their last six games in all competitions, have not been themselves this season. Their recent win was a perfect performance, even though they almost settled for a share of the spoils. Meanwhile, Mara Sugar have been inconsistent in this competition, but they march here following a decent performance in their last two matches. 

Sofapaka FC's defence has been breached in seven consecutive games, and I can't guarantee they'll be able to keep a clean sheet here. This game will be played at a high intensity, with both teams likely to score a goal as they hop to amass all the points. Sofapaka FC will strive to secure their first win at home, which won't come on a platter of gold, and a point apiece is the likely outcome.

My match prediction is for Sofapaka FC to win or draw and score more than a goal with a coefficient of 1.87 on the Betway bookmaker.

My betting tip for this match is for the home team to score before the break, with a coefficient of 1.97, on the 1xbet bookmaker.

My final betting tip for this game is a BTTS (both teams to score) for a coefficient of 1.93 on the Bet365 bookmaker. 

Good luck!