Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: the Basque Team Will Move Away from the Relegation Zone

Prediction for the La Liga match between Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano, which will take place on March 29th. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the teams' conditions! Several betting options are available.

Alaves

The Basques' infirmary is empty. Back in March 2025, the Basques played three matches in La Liga, with draws against Mallorca and Las Palmas, and a victory over Villarreal. These results in the Primera mean the Basques are currently 17th in the La Liga standings with 27 points. They're just ahead of Leganes, the team in the relegation zone, on goal difference. Alaves' home statistics are 18th in the division, +4=4-5, 11:13 goal difference.

Rayo Vallecano

In March 2025, Rayo played three matches in La Liga, losing to Real Madrid, drawing with Sevilla and Real Sociedad. Overall, they haven't won a match in a row. Before the start of the 29th round of the Primera, Rayo is in 9th place in the Spanish championship standings, with 37 points. They're 17 points behind Betis, who are in the European Cup zone. The team's away form is 9th in the division, with +4=5-5 and 11:12 goal difference.

H2H Meetings

This season, Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have played each other in La Liga, and the match on Rayo's field ended in a 1:0 home victory. They've played each other 43 times in total, with Rayo winning 17, drawing 17, and Alaves winning 19. At Alaves' stadium, there have been 21 matches, with the hosts winning 57% of games, there were 19% draws and 24% wins for the visitors.

Bookmakers' Options

The bookie 1xbet odds for Alaves to win the match are 2.13. If you fancy Rayo to win, the odds are 4.46. The quotes suggest that about 2 goals will be scored in the match. You can also bet on the total over (1.5) goals to be scored, with odds of 1.62, or on the total under (1.5), for 2.51.

Expert Betting Tips

There are some doubts about whether Rayo really wants to get into the European Cup. Madrid's main aim is to secure a spot in the top tier for next season, and to do that they'll need to rack up at least 40 points, which they're currently on 37. Things are a lot more tense over at Alaves, who are fighting for their survival. They're only marginally ahead of Leganes in the relegation zone. But the home advantage should be considered, with the Basques winning 57% of their home matches against the capital team. Looking at motivation, tone and stats, it seems like the Basques have the upper hand, so we reckon the home team is the one to bet on. As for the total, we doubt there'll be a successful match.

Our picks:

W1 for 2.00 at bet365

W1 & TU (3.5) for 2.40 at betway

CS 1:0 for 5.25 at 1xbet