Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction: the Athletes will be closer to victory

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Prediction for the Match on September 13, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on September 13. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Athletic Bilbao: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Athletic played 7 friendly matches, of which they lost six, beating only Ponferradina 1:0. Athletic has the fourth most expensive squad in La Liga, estimated at about 365 million euros, more expensive than only the three grandees. The Lions started the season well, with three wins in three rounds over Sevilla, Rayo and Betis. During the break, the Basques played a friendly match against Osasuna, lost to their opponent with a score of 0:1. Before the start of the fourth round of La Liga, the future home team with 9 points in the asset occupied the second place, behind the leading Real Madrid in goal difference.

Alaves: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Alaves played 5 friendly matches: wins over Athletic and Castellon, losses against Girona and Huesca, and a draw with Eibar. The Basque team is fifth from the bottom in terms of cost, with an estimated cost of 67 million euros. In the opening three rounds, the Basques scored 4 points, a home win over Levante, a home draw with Atletico and an away loss to Betis. Before the start of the tour, Alaves took 10th place in the table with four points. The Basque infirmary is empty.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: head to head statistics

The teams met 65 times, +39=15-11, 129:60 goal difference in favor of Athletic. There are 34 matches on the Athletic field, 73% of home team wins with 21% of draws and 6% of away wins, 77:21 goal difference.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Betting Tips & Odds

• Athletic have won 73% of their home matches against Alaves. It is proposed to bet on W1 on the website of 1xbet for a coefficient of 1.55
• Athletic has a 100% result in the 2025/26 season. The bet on W1 is available on the bet365 bookmaker's website for a coefficient of 1.55
• The last 10 matches between the teams were low-scoring. TU (2.5) is available on the bet365 bookmaker's website for a coefficient of 1.67
• In the last five matches between the teams, the hosts have not lost. On the 1xbet website, the line on the 1X is estimated at a coefficient of 1.11

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Bet365 analysts consider the home team to be favorites. Athletic's victory is quoted at 1.55 (65% probability). You can bet on the triumph of Alaves with a coefficient of 6.50 (15% probability). A quote of 3.95 and 25% is given for a draw.

Athletic's victory in the match is estimated by a coefficient of 1.57 (65% probability) at the betway bookmaker. It is proposed to bet on the victory of Alaves with a coefficient of 6.40 (16% probability).

According to the quotes, about 3 goals will be scored in the match. For a total over (2.5) goals, you can bet in a bet365 with a coefficient of 2.18, and for a total under (2.5) — for 1.63.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves match prediction 13 September 2025

One of the variants of the Basque Country derby is not the most popular option, but the matches in this confrontation are often very stubborn, in general, the pair is low-scoring and you should hardly expect high performance from the match. The field factor is of great importance, especially when matches are played in Bilbao, Athletic have a high percentage of wins in home matches. Plus, Athletic has statistics and tone on their side, the future hosts won 100% of the matches in the season, while Alaves lost its only away match minimally to Betis. There is much evidence that the hosts will achieve victory in the low-scoring match on Saturday.

Our main prediction: is W1 + Total Under 3.5 for a coefficient of 2.05 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Handicap 1 (-0.75) for a coefficient 1.77 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 2:0 for a coefficient of 6.00 in the bet365bookmaker.