Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction: Both Teams Expected to Find the Net

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Prediction for the Match on December 3, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on December 3. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Athletic Bilbao: form and statistics

In the previous cycle, the Basques played six matches - two in the Champions League and four in La Liga. In the Champions League, they suffered two defeats against Arsenal and Dortmund with a combined score of 1-6. In La Liga, they collected four points: losses to Getafe and Real Sociedad, a draw with Elche, and a 1-0 home win over Oviedo. After the November break, Athletic played three matches across two competitions. In the Champions League, they earned a scoreless away draw against Slavia Prague, while in La Liga they suffered a heavy 0-4 away defeat to Barcelona but followed it with a confident 2-0 away victory over Levante. Against the Frogs, Navarro and Williams scored for Athletic, both goals coming in the first half. The Basques delivered a strong performance, generating 2.9 xG, taking 14 shots toward goal and hitting the target four times.

After 14 rounds of the 2025/26 La Liga season, Athletic are in 8th place with 20 points. Their gap from relegation-zone-Girona is eight points. At home, Athletic have the 8th-best record in the division: 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with an 8:6 goal difference. Their injury list includes Álvarez, Egiluz, Prados Díaz, Sannadi, Williams, and Navarro, while Sancet is suspended. Athletic have always been a strong home team; they show no reverence toward Spain’s giants, so we can expect determination and high activity from the hosts.

Real Madrid: form and statistics

Real Madrid played six matches across two competitions. In the Champions League, Los Blancos earned a narrow 1-0 home win over Juventus and suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Liverpool. In La Liga, they recorded victories against Getafe (1-0 away), Barcelona (2-1 at home), and Valencia (4-0 at home), as well as a 0-0 draw with Rayo Vallecano at Vallecas. After the November break, Real played three matches across the two tournaments. In the Champions League, the Madrid side earned a hard-fought 4-3 away victory over Greek side Olympiacos, while in La Liga they drew 2-2 away against Elche and 1-1 away against Girona. In Catalonia, the team’s only goal came from Mbappé, who scored from the penalty spot. Overall, Los Blancos played a solid match, posting an xG of 2.52, taking 25 shots toward goal and hitting the target four times.

After 14 rounds of La Liga, the capital club have collected 33 points and sit second in the standings, trailing leaders Barcelona by one point. Real have the best away record in the league, with four wins from seven matches, one loss to Atlético, and three draws against Rayo Vallecano, Elche, and Girona, with a goal difference of 15:10. Real Madrid’s injury list includes Carvajal, Alaba, and Heizen.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: head to head statistics

The teams have faced each other 246 times, with a record of 77 wins, 45 draws, and 124 losses, and a goal difference of 330-461 in Real Madrid’s favor. At Athletic’s home ground, they have played 123 matches: the hosts have won 57% of them, with 21% ending in draws and 37% in away wins, with a goal difference of 194-168.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Betting Tips & Odds

• Athletic have won 46% of their home matches against Real. W1 is available at 1.81 on Bet365.
• Real Madrid have won 50% of the matches against Athletic. W2 is offered at 1.80 on Betway.
• Both teams have scored in three of Real Madrid’s last matches. BTTS is available at 1.26 on 1xBet.
• Real Madrid have remained unbeaten in their last four matches. X2 is offered at 3.85 on Betway.
• Three of Real Madrid’s last four matches have ended in a draw. Draw is available at 1.23 on Bet365.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Betway analysts consider Real Madrid the favorite in the match. A win for Los Blancos is offered at 1.84, while a bet on Athletic’s success is available at 4.20, and a draw is priced at 3.95.

The bookmaker expects the Athletic vs. Real Madrid clash to be goal-rich. TO 2.5 goals bet is offered at 1.72, while TU 2.5 goals bet comes at 2.08.

Experts at 1xBet believe that Athletic and Real Madrid will both score in the upcoming game. BTTS – Yes bet is available at 1.67, while BTTS – No is priced at 2.20

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid match prediction 3 December 2025

As mentioned above, Athletic have always been a strong home team, one that doesn’t fear big names - last season, the Basques beat Real Madrid 2-1 at San Mames. On the other hand, Real haven’t been in great form recently; in their last La Liga matches, they have drawn, and their opponents during this period were far from top-tier clubs.

Due to dropping six points, Real lost the top spot in the league table, with Barcelona now leading. On one hand, it’s clear that Real will want to reclaim first place, but on the other hand, Athletic are clearly stronger than Girona, Rayo, and Elche. We believe that the first bet in the upcoming game should be on both teams to score: Real rarely fail to find the net, and Athletic are always dangerous at home. As for the match outcome, we wouldn’t be surprised if Real’s fourth consecutive La Liga game ends in a draw.

Our main prediction: is X for a coefficient of 3.80 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is BTTS for a coefficient 1.71 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:1 for a coefficient 7.50 in the bet365 bookmaker.