Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction: expect a draw?

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Prediction for the Match on May 11, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match, which will be held on May 11. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Barcelona: form and statistics

In April-May 2025, Barça played 11 matches in three tournaments. In La Liga, they beat Leganes, Celta, Mallorca and Valladolid, and drew with Betis. In the Champions League, there was a win and a defeat in the matches against Borussia Dortmund, two draws with Inter and elimination from the tournament, in the Spanish Cup a victory over Atletico and won the final against Real Madrid. Before the start of the upcoming La Liga match, the Barcicas are in 1st place in the standings with 79 points. The gap from Real, 4 points. Barça's home statistics is the second best in the Primera, +14=1-2, 41:18 goal difference.

Barcelona Latest Games

Barcelona

21.12.25

Villarreal

0 - 2

Barcelona

16.12.25

Guadalajara

0 - 2

Barcelona

13.12.25

Barcelona

2 - 0

Osasuna

09.12.25

Barcelona

2 - 1

Eintracht Frankfurt

06.12.25

Real Betis

3 - 5

Barcelona

02.12.25

Barcelona

3 - 1

Atletico Madrid

29.11.25

Barcelona

3 - 1

Deportivo Alaves

25.11.25

Chelsea

3 - 0

Barcelona

22.11.25

Barcelona

4 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

09.11.25

Celta Vigo

2 - 4

Barcelona

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Real Madrid Latest Games

Real Madrid

20.12.25

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Sevilla

17.12.25

CF Talavera de la Reina

2 - 3

Real Madrid

14.12.25

Deportivo Alaves

1 - 2

Real Madrid

10.12.25

Real Madrid

1 - 2

Manchester City

07.12.25

Real Madrid

0 - 2

Celta Vigo

03.12.25

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 3

Real Madrid

30.11.25

Girona

1 - 1

Real Madrid

26.11.25

Olympiacos

3 - 4

Real Madrid

23.11.25

Elche

2 - 2

Real Madrid

09.11.25

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 0

Real Madrid

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Real Madrid: form and statistics

In April-May 2025, the team played 9 matches - in the Champions League two defeats to Arsenal and the departure from the tournament. In La Liga, a defeat from Valencia, victories over Alaves, Atletico, Getafe and Celta, in the Spanish Cup, a defeat from Real Sociedad, but the exit to the final of the tournament on the sum of two matches and defeat in the final from Barcelona. In the Spanish championship Real is in second place in the standings, has 75 points, which is 4 less than the leading Barcelona.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: head to head statistics

In the current season, the teams played each other in La Liga, the Super Cup and the Spanish Cup, all matches were won by the Catalans. In general, the teams have played each other 296 times, +125=62-109, 520:481 goal difference in favor of Barcelona. On the field of Barça is 151 matches, 55% of victories of the home team with 22% of draws and 23% of victories of guests.

History of Head-to-Heads

LaLiga 2025/2026

26.10.25

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Barcelona

LaLiga 2024/2025

11.05.25

Barcelona

4 - 3

Real Madrid

Copa del Rey 2024/2025

26.04.25

Barcelona

3 - 2

Real Madrid

Super Cup 2023/2024

12.01.25

Real Madrid

2 - 5

Barcelona

LaLiga 2024/2025

26.10.24

Real Madrid

0 - 4

Barcelona

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Betting Tips & Odds

• Barcelona won against Real 55% of home matches. Bet on W1 is offered on the website of 1xbet for odds of 1.92
• Real Madrid has a 4-match series without defeat in regulation time. A bet on X2 is available on the site of bookmaker bet365 for odds of 1.88.
• Barça has a 6-match series without defeat in regulation time. The bet on 1X is available on the site of bookmaker betway for odds of 1.32.
• In the last 4 matches with Barça both teams scored. On the site of 1xbet the line on the BTTS option is estimated at odds of 1.35

1X2 DC Handicap O/U BTTS CS O/E HT/FT

Main Time (3) 1st Half (3) 2nd Half (2)

	W1	X	W2
	1.90	4.44	3.58
	1.92	4.50	3.60
	1.93	4.40	3.65

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Bookmakers' odds for the match

1xbet analysts consider the home team to be the favorites. Barcelona's victory is quoted at 1.92 (52% probability). On the triumph of Real Madrid can be bet with odds of 3.40 (29% probability). A quote of 4.20 and 24% is given for a draw.

The victory of Barça in the match is estimated at odds of 1.98 (50% probability) in the bookmaker bet365. On the victory of Real is offered to bet with odds of 3.40 (29% probability).

According to the quotes, about 4 goals will be scored in the match. On the total over (3.5) goals can be bet in betway with odds of 1.84 and on the total under (3.5) - for 2.03.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid match prediction 11 May 2025

Barcelona had a difficult away match in Italy against Inter in midweek, they had to play 120 minutes, and the result was negative. In turn, Real Madrid has been preparing for the Clasico all week, i.e. in terms of freshness the guests have an advantage. Also note the fact that the Catalans in the tournament plan on Sunday will be satisfied with a draw, which will preserve the existing handicap of 4 points three rounds before the end of La Liga. We believe that according to the posted line it is optimal to bet on the double chance of Real Madrid, which is in good shape. In general, we will not be surprised if the upcoming meeting, like the recent Spanish Cup final, will end in a 2:2 draw.

Our main prediction: is X2 for a coefficient of 1.85 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Draw for a coefficient 4.37 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 2:2 for a coefficient of 10.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.