Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: Expect a Tight, Low-Scoring Battle

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction for the Match on September 14, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on September 14. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Osasuna: form and statistics

Osasuna has the 13th most expensive squad in La Liga, with an estimated value of €86 million. Before the start of the season, the team from Pamplona played six friendly matches: they lost to Huesca, Real Sociedad, and Racing, drew with Lorient and Freiburg, and defeated Mirandés.

In the first round of La Liga, Osasuna narrowly lost 0–1 away to Real Madrid. In the second round, they defeated Valencia 1–0 at home. In the third round, they suffered another narrow loss, this time away to Espanyol in Barcelona.

During the international break, Osasuna played a friendly against Athletic Club, which they won 1–0. So far this season, every single match involving Osasuna has ended with under 1.5 total goals. Before the start of Sunday’s fixtures, Osasuna sits in 14th place in the La Liga with three points.

Rayo Vallecano: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, the Madrid side played four friendly matches: a draw against Genk, a loss to West Bromwich, and wins over Zwolle and Sunderland.

The Bees won their opening La Liga match away against Girona with a score of 3–1. In the second round, they lost 0–1 away to Athletic Club, and in the third round, they drew 1–1 with Barcelona at Vallecas. It’s worth noting that Rayo qualified for the main stage of the UEFA Conference League, having eliminated Neman in the qualifying rounds. Before the start of Sunday’s fixtures, Rayo is in 12th place in the La Liga table with four points.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: head to head statistics

The two teams have faced each other 51 times: 16 wins, 12 draws, and 23 losses for Osasuna, with a goal difference of 53 scored to 76 conceded, in favor of Rayo.

At Osasuna's home ground, they've played 26 matches: the home side has won 46% of the time, 35% have ended in draws, and the visitors have won 19%. The goal difference at Osasuna's stadium is 33 scored to 28 conceded.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Betting Tips & Odds

• Osasuna has won 46% of their home matches against Rayo. A bet on Osasuna to win (W1) is available at odds of 2.60 on the 1xBet website.
• In the last three head-to-head meetings, both teams scored. A BTTS bet is offered by bet365 at odds of 1.98.
• In Osasuna's last four matches, the Total Over 1.5 goals line was not covered. A bet on Under 1.5 goals (TU 1.5) is available at odds of 1.45 on Betway.
• So far in the 2025/26 season, Osasuna has not recorded a single draw. The 1 or 2 line is priced at 1.35 on 1xBet.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Betway analysts consider the home side the favorite. An Osasuna win is priced at 2.60 (implied probability: 38%). A Rayo victory is offered at 2.95 (34% probability), while a draw is listed at 3.20 (31% probability).

At Bet365, an Osasuna win is slightly shorter, with odds of 2.55 (39% probability). The odds for a Rayo win remain at 2.95 (34% probability).

Based on the odds, the bookmakers expect around 3 goals in the match. The Over 2.5 goals market is available at 2.25 on 1xBet, while the Under 2.5 goals line is priced at 1.60.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano match prediction 14 September 2025

The statistics clearly show that Osasuna is a low-scoring team. 100% of their matches this season have been very tight affairs, with even the Over 1.5 goals line not being covered in any of them.

We believe this trend is likely to continue — at the very least, we don't expect to see more than two goals scored in this match. Therefore, our first pick for the game is Under 2.5 goals.

As for the match outcome, the home advantage plays a significant role when two fairly evenly matched teams meet. That being the case, we’re backing the home side — we believe Osasuna will come out on top in Sunday’s clash.

Our main prediction: is TU 2.5 for a coefficient of 1.93 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W1 for a coefficient 2.71 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:0 for a coefficient 6.50 in the bet365 bookmaker.