Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction: Sevilla Aim to Extend Unbeaten Run

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla: Prediction for the Match on September 28, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on September 28. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Rayo Vallecano: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, the Madrid side played four friendly matches: a draw with Genk, a loss to West Bromwich, and wins over Zwolle and Sunderland. The “Bees” won their La Liga opener away against Girona with a 3–1 scoreline. In the second round, Madrid lost away to Athletic 0–1, in the third they drew 1–1 with Barça at Vallecas, in the fourth they suffered a 0–2 away defeat to Osasuna, in the fifth they drew 1–1 at home with Celta, and in the sixth they lost the derby away to Atlético. It’s worth noting that the “Bees” reached the main stage of the Conference League, knocking out Neman in qualification. Ahead of our clash, Rayo sit in 14th place in the Spanish league table with five points. Luis Felipe, Mumin, and Nteka remain in the infirmary.

Sevilla: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Sevilla played seven friendlies, losing only once — to Birmingham — and winning twice, against Wydad and Schalke. Ahead of Matchday 7 in La Liga, the Andalusians sit in 12th place with seven points, three behind Athletic, who occupy a European spot. Sevilla began the season with two high-scoring defeats, 2–3 to Athletic and 1–2 to Getafe. In the third round, the Nervionenses beat Catalan side Girona 2–0, in the fourth they drew 2–2 at home with Elche, in the fifth they won 2–1 away against Alavés, and in the sixth they lost at home to Villarreal. Sevilla’s injury list includes Joan Jordán, González, and Kouassi

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla: head to head statistics

The teams have faced each other 58 times, with a record of +13=12–33 and a goal difference of 60–111 in Sevilla’s favor. At Rayo’s home ground, 29 matches have been played: 38% wins for the hosts, 31% draws, and 9% wins for the visitors, with a goal difference of 33–32.

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla: Betting Tips & Odds

• Rayo have won 38% of their home games against Sevilla. A bet on W1 is offered at odds of 2.05 on Betway.
• Rayo are on a four-match winless streak. A bet on X2 is available at 1.77 on 1xBet.
• In Sevilla’s last three matches, both teams have scored. A bet on BTTS is available at 1.90 on bet365.
• Sevilla are unbeaten against Rayo in their last five meetings. On Betway, the line for X2 is priced at 1.77.

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla: Bookmakers' odds for the match

Analysts at 1xBet consider the home side the favorites. A Rayo win is priced at 2.05 (49% implied probability). Sevilla’s victory is offered at 4.00 (25% probability), while a draw is listed at 2.95 (30% probability).

At Betway, Rayo’s win is valued at 2.30 (49% implied probability), while Sevilla’s triumph is available at 3.85 (26% probability).

According to the odds, around three goals are expected in the match. At bet365, betting on TO 2.5 goals is priced at 2.08, while TU 2.5 goals is set at 1.72.

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla match prediction 28 September 2025

here’s a sense that the bookmakers may be overrating Rayo a bit. In La Liga 2025/26, the Madrid side have only one win, which came in the opening round, whereas Sevilla already have two away victories — against Girona and Alavés. On top of that, historically Sevilla have performed well in the Balearics and are on a five-match unbeaten run against Mallorca.

Our first betting option is the double chance on the visitors, and overall, it wouldn’t be surprising if the upcoming match ends in a draw — for example, 1–1.

Our main prediction: is X2 for a coefficient of 1.73 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is X for a coefficient 3.42 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:1 for a coefficient 6 in the bet365 bookmaker.