Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction: who will be stronger?

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction for the Match on October 4, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on October 4. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Real Madrid: form and statistics

Madrid have played 9 official matches in the 2025/26 season, two in the Champions League and seven in La Liga. In the Champions League, the Cream are doing great, two matches - two wins, 2:1 over Marseille and 5:0 over Kairat away. In La Liga, six wins and an unpleasant defeat from Atletico in the last round of the championship with a score of 2:5. Before the start of the eighth round, Real lost the leading position, and now concedes one point to Barcelona, which occupies the first place. On their own field at Real Madrid in La Liga 100% result, three wins in three meetings with a goal difference of 5:1.

Villarreal: form and statistics

In midweek Villarreal played the match of the second round of the Champions League, on their home field they made peace with Italian Juventus. Before that, Castellontsy in the Champions League lost away to Tottenham 0:1. After five rounds played, the future guests have 16 points, which allow Villarreal to take third place in the peloton of La Liga. Lagging behind the leading Barça, three points. Villarreal have a win over Sevilla, a draw with Celta and a defeat against Atletico.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: head to head statistics

The teams have met 53 times, +30=17-6, 109:56 goal difference in favour of Real Madrid. On the field of Real there are 26 matches, 69% wins for the home team with 23% draws and 8% wins for the visitors, 62:26 goal difference.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Betting Tips & Odds

• Real has not played in a draw in the season 2025/26. Bet on 12 is offered on the website of 1xbet for odds of 1.16
• Real have 89% of wins in the season. A bet on W1 is available on the website of bookmaker bet365 for odds of 1.45
• Real Madrid have a 100% result in home matches of the season. The bet on W1 is available on the website of bookmaker betway for odds of 1.45
• In the last three matches with Real Madrid, TO (4.5) was played. On the website of 1xbet the line for TO (4.5) is estimated at odds of 3.20

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Bookmakers' odds for the match

1xbet analysts consider the home team to be the favourites. Real Madrid's victory is quoted at 1.45 (69% probability). The triumph of Villarreal can be bet at 5.90 (17% probability). A quote of 5.20 and 19% is given for a draw.

The victory of Real in the match is estimated at odds of 1.44 (69% probability) in the bookmaker betway. On the victory of Villarreal is offered to bet with odds of 6.80 (15% probability).

According to the quotes, in the match will be scored about 4 goals. On the total over (3.5) goals can be bet in 1xbet with odds of 2.03, and on the total under (3.5) - for 1.77.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal match prediction 4 October 2025

Villarreal for Real is a convenient opponent, which is evident from the statistics of head-to-head meetings, in addition, Madrid will play on their own field, which is also in favour of betting on the the team. Both teams have played in the Champions League in the midweek. Real Madrid players are hardly tired of beating Kairat, but two flights to Kazakhstan and back may affect their tone. Yellow played against Juve on their own field, but the match against the Zebras, clearly took strength from the Castellonians. We believe that we should not expect a very eventful match due to the secondary reasons we have mentioned above.

Our main prediction: is W1 + Total Under 4.5 for a coefficient of 2.10 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Handicap 1 (-1.5) for a coefficient 2.18 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 2:0 for a coefficient 9.50 in the bet365 bookmaker.