Tenerife vs Granada Prediction: A home victory is expected to advance to the next round

Tenerife
Tenerife
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Day
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Finished
Live
05 Dec 2025 00:00
Granada
Granada
Spain: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals
Tenerife vs Granada
Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
05.12.2025, 00:00
Fransisca Hellen Taiwo
04 Dec 2025
01:02
All time statistics:
883
806
10
51.97%
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Odds 1,68
Bet Type Under 2.5
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Tenerife vs Granada: Prediction for the Match on December 5, 2025

The Copa del Rey always brings drama, and the match between Tenerife and Granada CF is no different. Tenerife come into this game on a high, having found strong recent form, while Granada CF are looking for consistency after a tough run of matches. The tactical battle between managers Álvaro Cervera and Pacheta adds another layer of intrigue. Both are known for their pragmatic and adaptable styles.

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Tenerife have been strong at home, winning four of their last five matches at Estadio Heliodoro. They beat Arenteiro, Celta Vigo II, and Zamora, keeping two clean sheets. Their only loss came against Athletic Club II, but that was an exception to their overall consistency.Their last two league games highlight their attacking strength, with four goals scored in each match against Arenas Getxo and Celta Vigo II. Across all venues, Tenerife have won four of their last five competitive matches. Three of those wins came with clean sheets, showing their solid balance. They also have a strong home record against Granada, winning the last two meetings here without conceding.

The 1-0 win over Arenteiro showed Tenerife’s tactical maturity, with solid defense and patience in attack. Álvaro Cervera's team has conceded just twice in their last five matches, balancing pressing with a compact shape. The 4-1 win over Arenas Club and the 4-0 win over Celta Vigo B highlight their attacking power when given space. The narrow loss to Athletic Bilbao B was more about missed chances than defensive issues.

🔖 Tenerife Expected Lineup

GK: Dani Martín

DF: Anthony Landazuri, José León, Ander Zoilo, David Rodríguez Ramos

MF: Aitor Sanz, Josep Calavera, Christian Montes, Nacho Gil

FW: Jesús De Miguel Alameda, Waldo Rubio

Granada's away form has been inconsistent, with just two wins from their last five matches. They beat Cultural Leonesa and had a big cup win at Roda, but lost to Valladolid and drew at FC Andorra. Their defense often lets them down in key moments. Granada has struggled in their recent trips to Tenerife. They lost both of their last visits, conceding twice each time. With Tenerife’s rising form, Granada faces a tough challenge to change this.

In their latest match, Granada edged Cultural Leonesa 1-0, showing grit but lacking control. Their form has been mixed: a 1-1 draw with Cordoba exposed defensive weaknesses, while a 3-1 win over Real Zaragoza showed their clinical finishing. However, inconsistency remains, with a 1-2 loss to Valladolid. Pacheta's side presses high but struggles to recover, leading to disciplinary issues and yellow cards.

🔖 Granada Expected Lineup

GK: Ander Astralaga

DF: Manuel Lama Maroto, Baïla Diallo, Loïc Williams, Diego Hormigo

MF: Sergio Ruiz, Manu Trigueros, Rubén Alcaraz

FW: Jorge Pascual, José Manuel Arnáiz, Souleymane Faye

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In their recent La Liga 2 meetings, each team has won once, making this cup clash even more crucial. Tenerife return home with strong momentum, thanks to an attack that’s firing and a defense that’s tightened up. Granada, on the other hand, have been inconsistent on the road, though they’ve shown some signs of improvement recently.

  • In their last 10 games, Tenerife scored over 2.5 goals 4 times and under 2.5 goals 6 times. Granada had over 2.5 goals 5 times and under 2.5 goals 5 times.
  • Tenerife won 6, lost 3, and drew 1 in the last 10 games. Granada won 4, lost 1, and drew 5.
  • Tenerife scored 18 goals in 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. They conceded 7 goals, averaging 0.7 goals against.
  • Granada also scored 18 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per game. They conceded 9 goals, averaging 0.9 goals against.
  • At home, Tenerife won 6 of the last 10 games, lost 3, and drew 1. Granada won 3 of their last 10 away games, lost 2, and drew 5.
  • In their last 5 matches, Tenerife won 4, lost 1, and drew 0. They scored 11 goals and conceded 2. Tenerife's win rate is 80%, with an Asian Handicap win rate of 50% and an Over rate of 40%. At home, Tenerife won 2 of 3 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 1.
  • Granada won 2, lost 1, and drew 2 of their last 5 matches. They scored 8 goals and conceded 6. Granada's win rate is 40%, with an Asian Handicap win rate of 60% and an Over rate of 50%. Away, Granada won 1 of 3 matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4.

Tenerife to win is the best bet. They’ve been strong at home and have improved both defensively and offensively. They’ve controlled recent games and look more secure than Granada in key moments. The next best option is under 2.5 goals and both teams to score – no. Tenerife has kept several clean sheets, and Granada struggles to score away from home. Tenerife’s wins have often been low-scoring, while Granada fails to create enough chances on the road. My top pick is Tenerife Draw No Bet. Their recent form, home advantage, and solid defense make them the safer choice. While Granada has talent, their pressing style leaves them exposed, especially against Tenerife’s tight defense.

Our match prediction is Tenerife to win with odds at 2.45 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip is Under 2.5 with odds at 1.68 on the Betway bookmaker.

Our last match prediction is BTTS (no) with odds at 1.80 on 1Xbet bookmaker.

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Odds 2,45
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