Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: Form Advantage Favors the Home Side

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction for the Match on September 27, 2025

Prediction for the La Liga match which will be held on September 27. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Villarreal: form and statistics

Before the start of the season, Villarreal played 8 friendly matches: a win against Arsenal, four draws, and three defeats against Sporting, Genoa, and Aston Villa. The “Yellow Submarine” started the season fairly well, with 4 wins in 6 La Liga rounds, alongside a draw with Celta and a defeat to Atlético. In the Champions League, they suffered an away 0–1 loss to the 2024/25 Europa League winners, Tottenham.

Before the start of the seventh round, Villarreal sits 3rd in the table with 13 points, five points behind leaders Real Madrid.

Athletic Bilbao: form and statistics

Athletic Bilbao started the season brilliantly, with three wins in three rounds against Sevilla, Rayo, and Betis. During the international break, the Basques played a friendly against Osasuna, losing 0–1.

After the break, the “Lions” suffered a series of setbacks: defeats to Alavés 0–1, Arsenal 0–2 in the Champions League opener, and Valencia 0–2. In the last round, they drew 1–1 at home against Girona. Before the start of the seventh round of La Liga, the visitors sit 6th with 10 points, eight points behind leaders Real Madrid. In the injury list for Athletic are Álvarez, Egiluz, Williams, and Prados Díaz.

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: head to head statistics

The teams have faced each other 56 times, with Athletic Bilbao winning 18, 18 draws, and 20 wins for Villarreal. The goal difference is 72:65 in favor of Athletic.

At Villarreal’s home ground, the teams have played 28 matches, with 43% wins for the home side, 32% draws, and 25% wins for the visitors, and a goal difference of 46:29.

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Betting Tips & Odds

• Villarreal has won 43% of their home matches against Athletic. A bet on W1 is offered on 1xBet at 2.10.
• Villarreal is on a 2-match winning streak. A bet on W1 is available on bet365 at 2.10.
• Athletic Bilbao has a 5-match winless streak. A bet on 1X is offered on 1xBet at 1.28.
• Athletic has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. On Betway, a bet on W1 is priced at 2.10.

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Bookmakers' odds for the match

1xBet analysts consider the home side as favorites. A Villarreal victory is priced at 2.10 (48% probability). A win for Athletic Bilbao can be backed at 3.70 (27% probability). A draw is given at 3.30 (30% probability).

A Villarreal win is also priced at 2.10 (48% probability) on Betway. A victory for Athletic Bilbao is offered at 3.70 (27% probability).

According to the odds, around 3 goals are expected in the match. A bet on TO 2.5 goals can be placed on bet365 at 1.97, while TU 2.5 goals is priced at 1.83.

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao match prediction 27 September 2025

The Basques sharply declined after the break. It’s hard to say what happened against the Lions, since in the first three rounds of La Liga, Athletic Bilbao had won all their matches against strong opponents — Sevilla, Rayo, and Betis. Meanwhile, Villarreal, after their setback in the Champions League in London, managed two 2–1 victories in La Liga. It’s clear that the home side is in better form, so we consider placing a bet based on current form. Regarding the total, Athletic has major problems with scoring — they’ve scored only one goal in their last five matches — so we don’t expect a high-scoring game.

Our main prediction: is W1 for a coefficient of 2.13 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W1+TU 3.5 for a coefficient 2.75 in the betway bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 1:0 for a coefficient 11 in the bet365 bookmaker.