Luzern vs Lugano Prediction: Both teams will find the back of the net

Luzern vs Lugano: Prediction and odds on the Match on 04 May 2025

We are back to Swissporarena where Luzern will take on Lugano in round one of the championship group playoffs. This season, both teams have shown hunger and desire and will be confident of ending their season on a positive note. While the league title is not mathematically out of reach, a place in Europe next season will surely be their best shot. How will this game unfold? Below, I will preview this game and offer best betting possibilities. 

Luzern: Form and Statistics

Luzern will hope they can secure a win as they tak on 6th placed Lugano. Having missed out from the top spot following a number of poor and inconsistent winning results, Luzern will now focus on a Europa League or Conference League spot. 

The previous time out, this team played Servette away from home and they ended on the losing end. In that contest, they went behind within four minutes of kickoff, with Anthony Baron netting for their opponent. However, opening the second half, they conceded another goal, this time, Miroslav Stevanovic striking from the spot for Servette. However, Luzern got a consolation in the Donat Rrudhani in the 72nd minute and could not force a draw at full time. 

Ahead of this game, Luzern have picked up 51 points from 33 league matches, leaving them seated 4th place. In those matches, Luzern scored 61 goals and conceded 51. 

Luzern Lineup

LuzeIsmajl Beka has a metatarsal fracture, while Thibault Klidjé had a torn muscle fiber and will not be available for this game. Also, Nando Toggenburger, and Sofyan Chader remain sidelined for this home game. 

Luzern Expected Lineup (4-3-1-2)

Pascal Loretz (GK), Pius Dorn, Stefan Knezevic, Bung Meng Freimann, Rúben Dantas Fernandes, Nicky Beloko, Aleksandar Stankovic, Tyron Owusu, Donat Rrudhani, Lars Villiger, Kevin Spadanuda.

⛔️Unavailable: Thibault Klidjé, Sofyan Chader, Nando Toggenburger, LuzeIsmajl Beka (all injured) 

👤 Head Coach: Mario Frick

Lugano: Form and Statistics

Lugano are coming off a league defeat to Lausanne and they will hope to turn the tables in this one. In that encounter, this team had the control of possession with 68 percent in their favour, attempted eleven shots but failed to convert any of those chances. In the meantime, they conceded twice before the break, as Fousseni Diabate and Morgan Poaty strikes made the difference. 

Ahead of this game, Lugano have only one win in their last five matches. That win was against Yverdon in gameweek 30 ending 0-2. Away from home, Lugano have lost four times, playing Celje, Sion, Basel and Lausanne. This season, the visiting team has 49 points from 33 matches as they sit 6th in the league’s log. 

Lugano Lineup

Lugano has four players ruled out of this road trip. Milton Valenzuela and Ignacio Aliseda who both have hamstring injuries are among the list.

Lugano Expected Lineup (4-3-3)

Amir Saipi (GK), Mattia Zanotti, Antonios Papadopoulos, Lars Lukas Mai, Albian Hajdari, Ousmane Doumbia, Anto Grgic, Uran Bislimi, Renato Steffen, Georgios Koutsias, Yanis Cimignani

⛔️Unavailable: Kevin Rüegg, Sebastian Osigwe, Milton Valenzuela, Albian Hajdari, Ignacio Aliseda (all injured) 

👤 Head Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Luzern vs Lugano Head-to-Head Statistics

Luzern and Lugano have met 13 times since 2022. In those matches, Lugano won five times, while Luzern won four. However, four other encounters ended in a draw. 

In their last five meetings, Lugano scored ten goals, while Luzern scored four. 

Their most recent meeting was in the middle of February and Lugano won 2-0. Yanis Cimgnani, and Mohamed Belhadj scored in the second half of that game to give Lugano maximum points. 

Luzern vs Lugano Betting Betting Tips & Odds

• Lugano have won four times in the last five meetings against Luzern. Their winning odds is 2.20 on Betway.
• Luzern have won only one of their last five home matches. However, with their possibility of making it to the Conference League playoff hanging on this game, they will be confident of winning. A win option is available at 3.01 on 1Xbet.
• The two teams' recent matches have produced fewer corners. The bookmaker favours under 10 corners on Bet365 with odds at 1.90.
• Four of the last five matches between Luzern and Lugano at the Swissporarena have ended with at least four goals. An over 3.5 goals option is available on Betway with odds at 2.50.

Luzern vs Lugano Prediction 04 May 2025

I expect a very competitive game from kickoff as this looks like an open one where both teams could win. While Lugano have won in recent fixtures between these two teams, Luzern at home will surely be confident of producing a good result. This season, the major strength of Luzern have been goals, and I feel they will not struggle. Also, with Lugano not failing to score in any of their last fifteen matches of this fixture, both teams scoring option is another possibility. 

Our match prediction: is over 2.5 goals with odds at 1.66 on 1Xbet bookmaker. 

Our betting tip: is under ten corners with odds at 1.90 on Bet365 bookmaker. 

Our last betting tip: is over both teams to score and over 2.5 goals with odds at 1.90 on Betway bookmaker.