Athletic vs Manchester United Prediction: the Visitors Might Pull a Surprise

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 May 2025 22:00
Manchester United
Manchester United
UEFA Europa League.
Semifinals.
Stadium: San Mames (Bilbao).
Referee: Espen Eskaas.
1.05.2025     22:00
Natalia Okina
30 Apr 2025
22:22
All time statistics:
2108
1724
26
54.64%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,73
Bet Type X2
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Athletic vs Manchester United: Prediction for the Match on May 1, 2025

In the first semifinal match of the Europa League, Athletic Bilbao will be hosting Manchester United. The game will kick off on May 1st at 10pm. Do you think the guests will be able to stand up to the powerful hosts? Telecomasia has got you covered with a prediction and all the key stats for the Atlético vs. Manchester United showdown.

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In the Europa League quarterfinals, Athletic played against Rangers. The first game was in Glasgow and it didn't go to plan. In the second leg, the Basques did better than their opponents and scored two unanswered goals. After this game, the team under Ernesto Valverde played two matches in the Spanish championship. First, Athletic lost away to Real Madrid 0:1, then returned to their arena and achieved a minimal 1:0 win over Las Palmas. In the La Liga, Athletic is fourth from the bottom and could still qualify for the Champions League.

History of Head-to-Heads

Europa League Final Stage 2024/2025 Europa League Final Stage 2024/2025
08.05.25
Manchester United Manchester United
4 - 1
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
Europa League Final Stage 2024/2025 Europa League Final Stage 2024/2025
01.05.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
0 - 3
Manchester United Manchester United
Club Friendlies 2023 Club Friendlies 2023
06.08.23
Manchester United Manchester United
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
Europa League Final Stages 2011/2012 Europa League Final Stages 2011/2012
15.03.12
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Manchester United Manchester United
Europa League Final Stages 2011/2012 Europa League Final Stages 2011/2012
09.03.12
Manchester United Manchester United
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao

In the Europa League quarterfinals, Man U played French side Lyon. The first game for the Mancunians was away, and they scored four goals, ending up with a 2:2 draw. The match at Old Trafford is definitely going to be one for the history books, as it was one of the best games in the tournament. By halftime, the Devils were ahead by two goals, but then started to make mistakes. The first half finished 2:2, and in extra time Lyon scored two more goals while they were down to 10 men, but United weren't going to give up that easily and made a fantastic comeback, scoring three goals and winning the match 5:4.

Then the club played two matches in the English championship. They lost 1:0 at home to Wolverhampton and drew 1:1 away against Bournemouth. With 39 points in the asset, Ruben Amorim's team is in 14th place in the EPL standings.

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The last time the clubs met was in 2023 in a friendly match. In this match, the two teams scored one goal each, so it was a pretty even game. So, the official meetings happened during the 2011-12 season, in the Europa League's last 16, in the first game at Old Trafford, Bilbao won 3:2, and then in the return match the Basques also outplayed the Red Devils, with a 2:1 result.

Athletic Bilbao Latest Games

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18.12.25
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14.12.25
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2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
10.12.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
PSG PSG
06.12.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
03.12.25
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
0 - 3
Real Madrid Real Madrid
29.11.25
Levante Levante
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
25.11.25
Slavia Prague Slavia Prague
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Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
22.11.25
Barcelona Barcelona
4 - 0
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Real Oviedo Real Oviedo
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Newcastle United Newcastle United
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Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao

Manchester United Latest Games

Manchester United Manchester United
15.12.25
Manchester United Manchester United
4 - 4
Bournemouth Bournemouth
08.12.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers
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Manchester United Manchester United
04.12.25
Manchester United Manchester United
1 - 1
West Ham United West Ham United
30.11.25
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Manchester United Manchester United
24.11.25
Manchester United Manchester United
0 - 1
Everton Everton
08.11.25
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Manchester United Manchester United
01.11.25
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
Manchester United Manchester United
25.10.25
Manchester United Manchester United
4 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion
19.10.25
Liverpool Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester United Manchester United
04.10.25
Manchester United Manchester United
2 - 0
Sunderland Sunderland
  • The team from Bilbao didn't lose in the last three matches against Manchester United. 1X is estimated to have odds of 1.29 on the 1xbet bookmaker website.
  • Both didn't manage to get a cleansheet in the last three matches. The odds for the line 'both will score' are about 1.93, and this is based on the bookie company 1xbet.
  • In seven of the last eight matches of Athletic, the bets on the total number of goals under worked out 2.5. You can bet on this option on the 1xbet site for odds of 1.74.
  • Man U have let in the first goal four times in their last five matches. It looks like the bookmaker company 1xbet Athletic is going to be the first to score, with odds of 1.72.
  • In five of the last six matches of Man U, the bet on yellow cards total over 4.5 worked out. You can bet on this line on the 1xbet bookie website, with odds of 2.38.

The bookies at 1xbet think the team led by Ernesto Valverde is the one to beat. The hosts won, and the odds for that were 2.03. The guests won, and the odds for that were 3.97. A draw was the most likely result, with odds of 3.48.

At the same time, the pros at the betting company are predicting low productivity. There's a 2.14% chance of more than 2.5 goals, and a 1.73% chance of the reverse line with TU.

Even with all the problems, Man U has never lost in the current Europa League draw and will try to keep this perfect record when they go to Bilbao. The home team will have the home crowd behind them, but the visitors have a big advantage: de Ligt and Amad Diallo are back on the field. Diallo's been one of the top scorers for the Devils this season. We're expecting a low-scoring game, but we reckon both clubs will score.

Our main prediction: X2 for a coefficient of 1.73 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: BTTS for a coefficient 1.94 in the 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: CS 1:1 for a coefficient of 6.50 in the betway bookmaker.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,73
Bet Type X2
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Odds 1,94
Bet Type BTTS
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 6,50
Bet Type CS 1:1
Bonus 250 USD
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