Germany vs Italy Prediction: The Germans will once again be stronger

Prediction for the UEFA Nations League Germany vs Italy match will occur on March 23. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

Germany

The German national team is unbeaten in the last four major international tournaments, which is hardly satisfactory. Hopes were high for Germany at Euro 2024, where they progressed through the group stage, beating Denmark 2-0 in the last eight before falling to the Spaniards 2-1 in the quarter-finals.

While Julian Nagelsmann's charges await selection for the 2026 World Cup, they also want to win a trophy in the UEFA Nations League. They finished top of their group with 14 points from a possible 18. The Germans beat the Italians 2-1 in the first quarter-final to take a big step towards the semi-finals.

Italy

The Italian national team's performance has been even more disappointing of late. The Italians triumphed in Euro 2020, where they sensationally won the title, but they missed out on the last two World Cups in a row and failed to defend their title in Euro 2024, losing 2-0 to Switzerland.

In the UEFA Nations League group stages, Luciano Spalletti's charges were in fine form. They finished second in their group with 13 points from a possible 18. The Azzurri looked capable of giving the Germans a run for their money in the quarter-finals, but they were beaten 2-1 at home.

History of Head-to-Heads

UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025

23.03.25

Germany

3 - 3

Italy

UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff 2024/2025

20.03.25

Italy

1 - 2

Germany

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023

14.06.22

Germany

5 - 2

Italy

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 3 2022/2023

04.06.22

Italy

1 - 1

Germany

Friendlies 2016

15.11.16

Italy

0 - 0

Germany

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Germany Latest Games

Germany

17.11.25

Germany

6 - 0

Slovakia

14.11.25

Luxembourg

0 - 2

Germany

13.10.25

Northern Ireland

0 - 1

Germany

10.10.25

Germany

4 - 0

Luxembourg

07.09.25

Germany

3 - 1

Northern Ireland

04.09.25

Slovakia

2 - 0

Germany

23.03.25

Germany

3 - 3

Italy

20.03.25

Italy

1 - 2

Germany

14.10.24

Germany

1 - 0

Netherlands

11.10.24

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1 - 2

Germany

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Italy Latest Games

Italy

16.11.25

Italy

1 - 4

Norway

13.11.25

Moldova

0 - 2

Italy

14.10.25

Italy

3 - 0

Israel

11.10.25

Estonia

1 - 3

Italy

08.09.25

Israel

4 - 5

Italy

05.09.25

Italy

5 - 0

Estonia

23.03.25

Germany

3 - 3

Italy

20.03.25

Italy

1 - 2

Germany

14.10.24

Italy

4 - 1

Israel

10.10.24

Italy

2 - 2

Belgium

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H2H Stats

The national teams of Germany and Italy have met 38 times in history. The Germans have 10 wins to their name, while the Italians have 15 wins and 13 draws. The goal difference is also on the side of Italy - 54:49. Julian Nagelsmann's side won the first leg 2-1.

Expert Betting Tips

Italy's progress in the group stages of the UEFA Nations League has been impressive. Luciano Spalletti's men hope to challenge the Germans to win a place in the semi-finals. The Azzurri could not cope with their opponents at home, losing 2-1, and will face an even more challenging task in Dortmund. Julian Nagelsmann's side are on a winning streak at home and are well placed to extend that run. As a result, we can back Germany to win.

Both Germany and Italy have been playing prolific football of late. The Germans scored 20 goals in their last seven matches (2.86 goals per game), while the Azzurri scored 14 goals in the same period (2.00 goals per game). 

W1 - 1.85 Bet365

TO 2.5 - 1.80 Betway

BTTS - Yes - 1.75 1XBET