Portugal vs Spain Prediction: Spain's Edge Meets Portugal's Ambition

Portugal
Portugal
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
08 Jun 2025 21:00
Spain
Spain
UEFA Nations League. League A. Final
Stadium: Allianz Arena

08.06.2025 21:00
Valeriia Shikhova
08 Jun 2025
00:30
All time statistics:
1332
1312
12
50.15%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,95
Bet Type BTTS+TO 2.5
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Portugal vs Spain: Prediction for the Match on June 8, 2025

Prediction for the UEFA Nations League match, which will be held on June 8. Who will be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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The Portuguese are strong at home. In away matches during the Nations League group stage, the Iberians secured a win against Poland and drew twice — with Croatia, who were relegated from League A, and with Scotland. In the quarterfinals, the Iberians lost 0–1 away to Denmark but managed to take revenge in the return leg at home with a 5–2 victory. In the semifinals, Portugal proved stronger than Germany — it's worth noting that the Final Four is being held in Germany. Interestingly, the Germans took the lead first, with Wirtz scoring in the 48th minute, but goals from Conceição and Ronaldo turned the game around for Portugal. It's also worth mentioning that, based on the xG index, the Portuguese created chances worth 2.56 expected goals, while the Germans had only 1.11 — a well-deserved win for the future formal hosts.

Spain is currently on a 19-match unbeaten run. It's worth recalling that La Roja are the reigning European champions and the winners of the Nations League. They confidently topped Group 4 of the Nations League, finishing eight points ahead of their closest rivals, Denmark. In the quarterfinals, Spain narrowly edged out the Netherlands in a penalty shootout after two high-scoring draws. In the semifinals, they defeated France in a thrilling 5–4 match. Spain had led 4–0 and later 5–1 during the game, but the French managed to score three more goals.

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Show more predictions

Portugal and Spain have faced each other 41 times. Spain holds the edge with 18 wins, 17 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal difference of 79–45 in favor of the Spanish national team.

  • Spain is currently on a 19-match unbeaten run. A double chance bet on Spain (X2) is available on Betway at odds of 1.25.
  • In each of Spain's last five matches, both teams have scored. Both Teams to Score bet is offered by 1xBet at 1.60 odds.
  • Over 2.5 total goals have been scored in Spain’s last six matches. A bet on TO 2.5 goals is available at Bet365 with odds of 1.63
  • Portugal is on a two-match winning streak. A home win for Portugal is priced at 3.90 on Betway.

Analysts at 1xBet consider the visitors, Spain, the favorites for the match. A Spanish win is priced at 1.90, implying a 53% probability. A victory for Portugal is offered at 3.90 (26% probability), and a draw is also priced close — at 3.85 (26% probability).

At Betway, Portugal’s win is available at 3.85 (also 26% probability), while Spain's win is offered at 1.93, reflecting a 52% probability.

Bookmakers suggest the match is likely to be high-scoring, with an expected total of around 3 goals. The TO 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.65 on Bet365, while TU 2.5 goals is offered at 2.25.

We’re about to witness a clash between two very high-scoring teams — especially true for Spain, who haven’t scored fewer than two goals per match in quite some time. However, La Furia Roja also tends to concede regularly — and often in bunches. France scored four times against them in the semifinal, the Netherlands found the net five times across two matches, and before that, Switzerland managed to score twice.

With this in mind, we expect the Nations League final to be another action-packed, goal-rich encounter, with chances on both sides and goals from both teams. As for the outcome, we lean toward the favorite. Spain looks stronger and more dominant overall.

Our main prediction: is BTTS+TO 2.5  for a coefficient of 1.95 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is W2+TO 2.5 for a coefficient 2.70 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is CS 1:3 for a coefficient of 15 in the bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 1,95
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Odds 2,70
Bet Type W2+TO 2.5
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Odds 15
Bet Type CS 1:3
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