Dallas vs New York City Prediction: Will the Texas grit be able to match up to the flair football from the East?

Dallas vs New York City: Prediction and odds on the Match on 26 July 2025

In Frisco this weekend, Dallas will host New York City on 26th July at 03:30 (GMT+3) in a must-win game for the home side after a couple of disappointing home games. Dallas has been playing some interesting attacking football and will be hoping to translate that home rhythm into results against the high-flying New York City. 

Dallas sits 12th in the West with just 25 points as the team struggles to convert chances and is very vulnerable at the back. New York City, on the other hand, has 35 points and is in 8th position. This is a difficult game considering the H2H data and team form but it is a game that promises entertainment.

Dallas: form and statistics

In their last five MLS matches, Dallas managed to win just 1 win (which is very disappointing), 1 draw, and 3 losses, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game at home. Their attack has scored 8 goals in that period, but the team has conceded a whopping 7 penalties so far, which gives an indication that the defensive mis-timings remain critical vulnerabilities. Despite the threat from Musa, there is a lot of work Dallas needs to put in when it comes to defending. their home form has been shaky and disorganised under pressure 

Dallas Lineup

Dallas will aim to press early, using Musa’s pace to stretch lines, but the defensive structure is an issue that Coach Quill will have to provide a solution to.

🔖  Dallas starting lineup (4–2–3–1)

Walfall; Cherundulo, Khan, Le, Acosta; Berhalter, Peña; Cifuentes, Isaac, Moffett; Musa

 👤 Head coach:  Eric Quill

New York City: form and statistics

The last 5 away games involving New York City have resulted in 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. In these 5 games, New York City has scored 1.2 goals per away match and conceded about 1.2. Their strengths lie in possession control, as the team averages 56% as well as efficient pressing that limits opponent impact. 

New York City Lineup

Coach Spinelli may deploy a possession-based structure to control the game and the tempo with players like Verratti playing in midfield. Wingers like Martinez and Wolf will also be very busy on the flanks and will be cutting in

🔖 Dallas starting lineup (4-4-2)

Robles; Matarrita, Burke, Pfeffer, Sands; Morález, Haak, Verratti; Martínez, Wolf, Boateng

 👤 Head coach: Matteo Spinelli

Dallas vs New York City: head to head statistics

Dallas and New York City have developed a pattern of deadlock over the years. Seven of their last eight meetings have ended in draws, including the high-scoring 3-3 and 2-2 games that showcase how evenly matched these teams are. Dallas last beat New York City in 2015, while the visitors claimed a rare win back in 2018. In all these games, both teams tend to score with BTTS occurring in 6 of the last 8 games. Expect a tight, cagey battle with little separating them once again.

Dallas vs New York City: Betting Tips & Odds

• In the last 6 of 7 games played between these 2 sides, over 1.5 goals has played. This option is offered on the Betway bookmaker website for 1.26 odds;
• Both teams have found the net in 6 of their last 7 meetings, and this option is offered on the Bet365 bookmaker website for 1.67 odds.
• New York City has won or drawn in 6 of their last 7 meetings, and this option is offered on the 1xBet bookmaker website for 1.48 odds.

Dallas vs New York City match prediction 26 July 2025

Dallas will aim to press early, using Musa’s pace to stretch lines. Defensive structure is a problem, especially when in transitions, and the midfielders must step up to contain NYCFC’s creative outlets. New York City may use a possession-based structure, with Haak and Verratti linking up central play while Martínez and Wolf create width and cut in. There is a high chance of both teams scoring, and this is the recommended bet. 

Dallas will have to be prepared for the pressure, and their recent defensive lapses and poor home record may allow New York City's attack to spark. We predict a 1-2 win for New York City.

Below are our predictions:

Our match prediction: Both teams to score for a coefficient of 1.69 in the 1xBet bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: A total of over 2.5 goals for 1.75 in the Betway bookmaker.

Lastly: W2 to win (bet no draw) for a coefficient of 1.87 odds in the Bet365 bookmaker.