South Beach is getting ready for another Lionel Messi masterclass as Inter Miami welcome winless Toronto FC to Chase Stadium this Monday. It's second versus fourteenth in the Eastern Conference — David versus Goliath on paper. Miami fell short against LAFC in their last encounter, but they've been scorching hot at home, especially with Messi finding his rhythm once again. Toronto simply can't seem to get a break. Their recent win now feels like it occurred in a previous lifetime, and their attacking spark has lost its venom. Miracles do happen in football, however. Is Toronto going to break their record, or is Messi and his team going to add to their woes?
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Javier Mascherano's team is red hot—apart from a 1-0 defeat to LAFC they've won four of their last five. The possession-starved team controlled 59% of the ball in that loss and created quality opportunities, but just couldn't get the ball into the back of the net. Their subsequent xG of 2.16 shows they are due a goalscoring explosion—expect fireworks again at home.
Defensively, though, cracks are starting to show—Miami have leaked in 3 on the trot. Yet, they prefer to draw first blood (8/10), forcing opponents to play catch-up.
Lionel Messi is aging like a fine wine: 5 goals, 2 assists, and the heartbeat of each Miami attack. With David Ruiz and Tadeo Allende missing, the bench depth of the team looks good. 2nd in the table (4W, 1D), they're well positioned to make a charge for top.
Strengths: Clinical finishing, home dominance, Messi
Weaknesses: Occasional lapses at the back, injury absences.
Toronto FC
Toronto are stuck in the mud. They have lost their last 14 MLS games and are rooted at the bottom of the table. Their recent 0-0 draw against Vancouver was a battle—42% possession, 4 shots on target, and an attackless offense translated into their resulting xG of just 0.94.
Coach Robin Fraser has his work cut out. Critical missing links in Kevin Long and Richie Laryea add to an already stumbling backline. While Lorenzo Insigne still shows flashes of brilliance, he can't do it alone.
They've conceded first in 5 of their last 7, and their build-up is asphyxiating. But they've preserved their discipline—low card totals (less than 4.5 in 4/5) and low corners too (less than 10.5 in 7/8), pointing towards a plodding, counter-attacking game.
Strengths: Disciplined defending, low cards
Weaknesses: Goal drought, fragile morale, passive midfield
Head to Head
It’s been one-way traffic in this matchup. Miami have won 9 of their last 11 against Toronto, including the last 4 in a row. The previous meeting ended 1-0 for Miami on 5 Oct 2024. Notably, Toronto has never kept a clean sheet in those 4 defeats.
Record: Miami 9W - Toronto 2W - 0D
Last Meeting: Miami 1-0 Toronto (Oct 2024)
Trends: Miami score first 9/10, Toronto concede 4/4, under 10.5 corners 7/7
History of Head-to-Heads
Major League Soccer 2025 
Inter Miami CF
Major League Soccer 2025
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer 2024
Inter Miami CF
Leagues Cup Final Stage 2024
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer 2024
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF Latest Games
Inter Miami CF
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF
Atlanta United
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire FC
Toronto FC Latest Games
Toronto FC
Orlando City
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Inter Miami CF
Toronto FC
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CF Montreal
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Columbus Crew
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Expert Betting Tips
BTTS - No (1.987) - Toronto have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and Miami may dominate possession.
Lionel Messi to Score/Assist (1.80) - With 5 goals in 5 matches, Messi against Toronto’s fragile defense feels inevitable.
Under 3.5 Cards (2.08) - Toronto games tend to stay clean—4 of their last 5 stayed under this line.
Other predictions
