Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Tactical preview, form analysis and betting insights

Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
13 Jul 2025 03:30
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Football USA MLS 
13 July 2025 | 03:30
Allianz Field Saint Paul USA
Raphael George
12 Jul 2025
23:04
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,955
Bet Type Minnesota United win
Bonus 250 USD
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Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction for the Match on July 13, 2025

On July 13, 2025, the San Jose Earthquakes will take center stage at Allianz Field for a Western Conference contest. The Loons, placed third in the conference at present, intend to develop upon their good recent form while San Jose, in seventh position, looks to close the gap with an enhancing result. Both teams come into this encounter on a strong wave of momentum with points on offer as the playoff race for MLS playoff intensifies.

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Minnesota, positioned third in the Western Conference and seventh overall, are in good form, having won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 matches. At home, they have always been solid—with over 1.5 goals scored in 11 of their 15 home matches this season, and with over 2.5 goals in 9 of those matches. The Loons lost 1-4 in their last away match in San Diego, but they fought hard afterward and showed resilience in their competitor spirit. In attack, Tani Oluwaseyi tops the scoring charts with 8 goals in MLS, and Kelvin Yeboah follows with 6. Additionally, Minnesota's expertise in set-pieces—labeled as the most aggressive in the world in a recent study—remains a raison d'être. The club teased fans with some lineup hints on social media today, indicating the confidence ahead of kickoff. Head coach Eric Ramsay placed strong emphasis on defensive organization during a recent interview: “We control the game through organization and intensity.”

Lineup: Dayne St. Clair, Michael Boxall, Wil Trapp, Joaquín Pereyra, Tani Oluwaseyi, Kelvin Yeboah, Robin Lod, Anthony Markanich, Nicolás Romero, Bongokuhle Hlongwane, Jefferson Díaz

Out: Nicolás Romero (knock – doubtful)

Head coach: Eric Ramsay

Presently the club ranks seventh in the Western Conference. Form: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in 5. They average about 1.8 goals per away match, with 86 percent of the away matches going over 1.5 goals. Their most recent league result was a draw against New York Red Bulls; it is almost becoming the trend of late to witness very tight results. Defensively San Jose has gotten fine in recent times, but there has been no clean sheet since 6 matches ago. Headed by Camilo Arango with 10 goals, Christo Espinoza leads in assists with 9. Chris Leitch reported via twitter: "Proud of our consistency and fight on the road"—alluding to their grit lately. DeJuan Jones will miss this match due to suspension.

Lineup: Daniel Bentancur; Simon Dawkins; Jahmir Hyka; Camilo Arango; Christo Espinoza; Nick Lima; Cade Cowell; Shea Salinas; Shea Groom; Jackson Yueill; Chris Wondolowski

Out: DeJuan Jones (suspended)  

Head coach: Chris Leitch

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Show more predictions

Minnesota United hold a slight edge in H2H matchups: 8 wins to San Jose’s 6, with 5 draws across 19 meetings . The Loons have won three straight encounters, including a narrow 1–0 away victory in March 2025.

  1. Minnesota United favored, with ~52% home win probability.
  2. San Jose matches often exceed 1.5 total goals in away games (86%).
  3. Both teams have scored in recent H2H fixtures (5 of last 8).
  4. Under 2.5 goals occurred in 7 of last 8 H2H games.
  5. San Jose’s draw and loss results in 4 of their last 5 road matches.

I expect a tight match with fresh betting angles based on recent trends. First, I favor Minnesota United to win, supported by their strong form, home advantage, and three straight H2H wins. The odds reflect a ~52% probability, which I consider realistic. Second, Both Teams to Score seems sound: all recent head-to-head fixtures saw goals from both sides, and Minnesota’s defense has conceded recently while San Jose often scores one away. Lastly, I’m confident in Under 2.5 goals—seven of the last eight H2H meetings ended this way, and recent matches have been low-scoring. Combining these, my top betting picks are:

Minnesota United win @ 1.955 odds on Betway 

Both teams to score (Yes) @ 1.6 odds on Bet365

Under 3.5 goals @ 1.63 odds on 1xbet 

Odds
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Odds 1,955
Bet Type Minnesota United win
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Both teams to score (Yes)
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Odds 1,63
Bet Type Under 3.5 goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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