NYCFC vs Chicago Fire: MLS 2025 Preview, Odds & Betting Tips
The MLS 2025 season cotinues on the 25th of May, as New York City FC (9th in the East) welcomes Chicago Fire (11th in the West) at Yankee Stadium. NYCFC, coming off a 2-0 victory against NY Red Bulls and Chicago, on the other hand, were unbeaten for five straight games, and most recently, defeated New England 3-1 in the U.S. Open Cup. NYCFC leads the matchups 5-4-1; however, with the 1.8 goals per game pace that Chicago is running, it is definitely a threat.
This contest definitely looks pretty tight from a betting standpoint as NYCFC is priced at 2.12, while Chicago is available at 3.145. Off the field, the new stadium plans for NYCFC and shifting venues with Chicago add flavor to the rivalry.
So, let's take a deeper look at the lineups, statistics, and the trends to give you cutting, sharp insights to bet on for this cross-conference battle.
Claim Welcome BonusNew York City FC: Pigeons Ready to Soar at Home
New York City FC flies to Yankee Stadium like determined pigeons defending their nests with precision and flair. NYCFC is sitting in ninth place in the Eastern Conference with W-L-L-D-W form and L-W-W-L-W at home, showing resilience crowned by a 2-0 Hudson River Derby victory versus NY Red Bulls with 36% possession, 6 corners, 3 yellow cards, and 1 shot on target.
The season statistics are: 36% possession, 6 corners, 3 yellow cards, and 1 shot on target. The season stats have it at 1.1 goals scored per game, 5.1 corners per game, 1.0 goal conceded per game, and 1.4 yellow cards per game, with streaks such as under 2.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches and over 10.5 corners in 7 of 9.
And beyond the field, their Etihad Park stadium (opening 2027) and an expected Luka Modrić signing show great ambitions for the club, while the USMNT call-up for goalkeeper Matt Freese is a huge morale boost.
New York City FC Starting Lineup
🔖 NYCFC Lineup: Freese, Gray, Thiago Martins, Risa, Moralez, Haak, Perea, ONeill, Wolf, Martínez, Fernández,
⛔️ Injuries/Suspensions: Keaton Parks, K O'Toole, Malachi Jones,
👤 Head Coach: Pascal Jansen
New York City FC Latest Games
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Chicago Fire FC Latest Games
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Chicago Fire: Blazing Form on the Road
Like a blazing inferno, Chicago Fire charges into Yankee Stadium, with the newest developments fueling hopes for an upset. In record number 11 in the Western Conference, the last few matches are telling: D-W-W-W-W for home matches and W-L-L-W-W for away matches, topped off by a 3-1 U.S. Open Cup victory over New England (63% possession, 2 corners, 2 yellow cards, 3 shots on target), all highlighting their attacking flair. Season stats hold at 1.8 goals/game, 4.4 corners/game, 1.8 goals conceded/game, and 2.2 yellow cards/game, with the highs coming from 4 wins, 5 unbeaten, and 6/7 for over 2.5 goals.
Off the pitch, the venue switches to SeatGeek Stadium for August and September matches, owing to Soldier Field clashes and call-ups for homegrown defender Christopher Cupps to the U-17 USMNT.
Chicago Fire Starting Linuep
🔖 Chicago Fire Lineup: Brady, Gutman, Dean, Elliott, Rogers, Pineda, Gutiérrez, Oregel, Cuypers, Bamba, Zinckernagel,
⛔️ Injuries/Suspensions: C. Terán, Leonardo Barroso, D. Poreba, Chase Gasper, C. Mueller,
👤 Head Coach: Gregg Berhalter
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Head-to-Head: NYCFC vs Chicago Fire
In their last 10 meetings, NYCFC holds the 5-4-1 record with the last game drawing 2-2. Until recently, the H2H records were favorable to NYCFC with them remaining unbeaten for seven matches, under 2.5 goals in eight out of nine matches, scoring first in six out of seven, and under 4.5 cards in eight out of 10.
At Yankee Stadium, NYCFC has won 7 out of 10 home meetings, with a goal difference of 16-6. Contrasting Chicago's recent scoring form (1.8 goals per game) with NYCFC's defensive steadfastness (1.0 goal conceded per game), this should set up quite the tactical battle where NYCFC's home advantage could very well be tested by Chicago's attacking momentum.
History of Head-to-Heads
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Top Betting Trends for NYCFC vs Chicago Fire
- Under 2.5 goals streak (8/8) and 1.0 goals conceded/game make under 2.5 goals a safe bet at 2.33 odds.
- Chicago’s 1.8 goals/game and scoring first in 4/5 matches support BTTS Yes at 1.6 odds.
- NYCFC’s 7/9 over 10.5 corners and 5.1 corners/game, paired with H2H data, back over 9.5 corners at 1.742 odds.
- Chicago's W-L-L-W-W away record and 5-unbeaten streak make them a value pick at 3.145 odds.
- Both teams’ under 4.5 cards in 8/10 H2H matches, with NYCFC at 1.4 and Chicago at 2.2 yellow cards/game, support under 4.5 cards at 1.85 odds.
MLS 2025 Match Predictions and Betting Picks
The NYCFC (2.12) holds slight preferential odds with their 5-4-1 H2H record and home form (L-W-W-L-W), whereas Chicago Fire (3.145) strains it ahead to a 5-game unbeaten streak, 1.8 goals/game, and 6/7 for over 2.5 goals. The 1.1 goals/game for NYCFC and under 2.5 goals in 8/8 matches contradict Chicago's scoring form, while the 1.0 goal conceded/game and 5.1 corners/game for NYCFC create control. It will be a very tight match with NYCFC's defense holding treasure and Chicago's attack scoring.
Below are our top betting picks for the match:-
Pick: NYCFC 1-1 Chicago Fire @ 7.50 odds on Bet365
Bet Tip: BTTS Yes @ 1.6 Odds on Betway
Value Tip: Over 9.5 corners @ 1.742 on 1xbet
Other predictions
