New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips | MLS May 4, 2025
Expert analysis and betting tips for New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati on May 4, 2025. Discover odds, team news, and predictions for this MLS showdown at Citi Field.
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New York City FC (NYCFC) presently occupies the 10th slot in the Eastern Conference with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They had a recent victory against Toronto, where they won by a score of 1-0, a rewarding note after a series of mixed results. At home, NYCFC seems to do well, winning three of their last four matches.
Discipline-wise, the team favors a less-carded match, as in six of their last seven matches there have been under 4.5 cards. They also seem to procure plenty of corners, with over 10.5 corners occurring in four of the last five matches.
To strengthen their midfield, NYCFC signed Australian international Aiden O'Neill from Standard Liège until 2028. Veteran midfield maestro Maxi Moralez is back with the club for the 2025 season, adding character and creativity. They have, however, sold 18-year-old left-back Christian McFarlane to Manchester City, reaffirming their drive to develop players for the big European leagues.
📝 New York City FC Lineup
🔖 Expected Lineup: Freese; O'Toole, Thiago Martins, Gray; Moralez, Haak, Parks; Wolf, Shore, Martínez, Ojeda.
⛔️ Out: Mitja Ilenic, Jacob Arroyave, Malachi Jones.
👤Head coach: Pascal Jansen
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✈️ FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati holds the position of third in the Eastern Conference with a glorious record of 7-1-2, and five of these wins have been consecutive. Their most recent victory was a 2-1 triumph at the expense of Sporting Kansas City and demonstrated the tactical attacking strength and resilience they have in their style of play. At the very least they have assured three wins straight while away, a clear indication of adaptability and strength on the road.
Key contributors to the team's success are Kevin Denkey and Evander, who have scored six goals each this season and powered offense. The defense has been strengthened by the returns of Miles Robinson and Matt Miazga, making the balance better.
The tactic focuses on the attacking play with a different strategy that contrives rapid transitions and exposes spaces into the field to beat the back line of NYCFC. Their most recent form and confidence are surely going to frighten any opponent.
📝 FC Cincinnati Lineup
🔖 Expected Lineup: Celentano; Engel, Yedlin, Robinson, Hagglund, Miazga; Bucha, Anunga, Evander; Denkey, Orellano.
⛔️ Out: Yuya Kubo, Teenage Hadebe.
👤Head coach; Pat Noonan
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New York City vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head Statistics
Out of a total of 10 meetings so far between both franchises, 6 have been won by FC Cincinnati, 2 by NYCFC, and 2 others have ended in draws. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, with NYCFC winning 6-5 when penalties were taken. Noteworthy is high card counts being seen between these two teams, four out of the last five meetings having gone over 4.5 cards, while the trend towards fewer corners can be seen in five of the last six with under 10.5 corners.
History of Head-to-Heads
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New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati Betting Trends
- BTTS has occurred in 8 of NYCFC's last 10 home matches and in 7 of FC Cincinnati's last 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of NYCFC's last 10 home matches and in 7 of FC Cincinnati's last 10 away matches
- Cincinnati has scored the first goal in 6 of their last 10 matches, while NYCFC has done so in 3 of their last 10
- NYCFC's matches have featured under 4.5 cards in 6 of their last 7 games; FC Cincinnati's matches have had under 4.5 cards in each of their last 5
- NYCFC's matches have had over 10.5 corners in 4 of the last 5 games
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