New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction: The Boys in Blue can’t afford to lose back-to-back matches

New York City FC
New York City FC
Start
Day
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Finished
Live
04 Jul 2025 02:30
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Football: USA, MLS, Round 21
Stadium: Yankee Stadium 
Time: 04.07.2025, 02:30 AM

Kingston James
02 Jul 2025
13:50
All time statistics:
2509
2426
27
50.56%
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Odds 1,70
Bet Type Home Win
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New York City FC vs Toronto FC: Prediction for the Match on July 04, 2025

The Boys in Blue will hope to recover from their recent setback when they lock horns against a resurgent Toronto FC side at the Yankee Stadium on Friday. The Reds, who have now played back-to-back games without a loss for just the second time since October last year, will be keen to amass all the points against their opponent later this week. 

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Last five games: WLDWL

The Boys in Blue suffered a loss on the road as they were beaten by CF Montreal. New York City, who had won against Atlanta FC and shared the spoils against Nashville SC, failed to convert their chances a few days ago. NY City operated without one of their star men, Alonso Martinez, and it was apparent the Costa Rican man wasn’t on the pitch. The game started with CF Montreal getting all the attention, and after several threats, they broke the deadlock in the 22nd minute. NY City failed to create meaningful chances at the break, firing just a shot at goal. It wasn’t their day at all, as the second half began at the same pace. Unfortunately, New York City couldn’t find a leveller as CF Montreal secured the maximum points.

The loss ended their run of back-to-back matches without a loss as they dropped down on the standings. NY City have picked up seven points from their last five games, scoring nine and conceding seven. 

NY City have been very direct at home, as they have won seven of their previous ten home games. The Boys in Blue sit in ninth spot on the log, having accumulated twenty-eight points from a combined fifty-seven.

The Boys in Blue were unable to operate in their usual manner the last time they played, as Alonso Martinez (8 goals) failed to feature. They managed just two shots in the entire game, and I expect them to respond positively this time with his return. 

New York City Potential Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Romero—Risa, Haak, Martins, Tanasijevic—Moralez, Perea—Wolf, Fernandes, Ojeda—Aloso Martinez 

Out: Jones, Gray, Sands, Parks

Head coach: Mehdi Ballouchy

Last five games: LLLDW

The Reds moved up a place on the standings following their emphatic victory over the Portland Timbers. Everything worked for Toronto FC against a solid opposition at home as Alonso Coello opened the scoreline with just eleven minutes of play. It was total dominance for the team at home as they restricted their guests to zero shots at the break. The second half began in similar conditions as Toronto FC doubled their lead in the 56th minute, courtesy of Tyrese Spicer. Just as if the game was going to end with just two goals, Portland Timbers put the ball into their own net to wrap up a disastrous display on the road. After Toronto FC (1-1) stalemate against New York Red Bulls, they secured the maximum points in a (3-0) win over Portland Timbers.

Robin Fraser’s men were one of the most inconsistent teams in the division this campaign, but they have been pretty impressive in their last two games. With four wins in their last nineteen MLS games, Toronto FC are now three points above the bottom of the Eastern Conference. 

Toronto FC have picked up seventeen points from a combined fifty-seven, scoring twenty-two (22) and conceding twenty-five (25).

Robin Fraser’s men have won twice, lost three and drawn twice on the road this season. 

Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi's contracts have now been terminated by the club after three years with NY City. Robin Fraser's men operated in another formation against Portland Timbers, and since it worked out, they might just stick with it against NY City.

Toronto FC Potential Starting Lineup (4-1-4-1)

Sean Johnson—Thompson, Long, Rosted, Petretta—Alonso Coello—Longstaff, Corbeanu, Spicer, Maxime Dominguez—Ola Brynhildsen

Out: Kerr, Derrick Etienne, Henry Wingo, Franklin, Gomis, 

Head coach: Robin Fraser

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New York City FC have won six, while Toronto FC have managed two wins and two games ending in a tie across their previous ten matches. New York City FC have won five consecutive matches against Toronto FC, and the guests have failed to keep a clean sheet in five games. 

  • New York City FC have conceded first in four of their last five MLS games in the league. You can try out a Toronto FC score first for 2.80, which is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website.
  • New York City FC are winless at the break in four of the last five MLS matches. You can try out Toronto FC halftime win, which is available for 5.20 on the Betway bookmaker website.
  • Fewer than four cards have surfaced in four of the last five Toronto FC MLS games. A total of under 4.5 cards might surface here for 1.80 on the 1xbet bookmaker website.
  • More than two goals have surfaced in four of the last five New York City games. You can try out a total of over 2.5 goals, which is available for 1.70 on the Betway bookmaker website.

New York City FC failed to play their usual style as they were beaten by CF Montreal a few days ago. In the entire game, they managed just two shots on goal, making it one of their worst outings in a long time. Meanwhile, Toronto FC humbled their guests, scoring three times to amass all the points. 

New York City FC are one of the most consistent teams at home; in fact, they are third on the home form chart. They have not drawn a game on their ground since October 2024. Moreover, they have won all their previous five games against Toronto FC. 

New York City FC, who lost their most recent game, will be keen to respond positively against a resurgent Toronto FC, and the fact that they play on their home ground makes it a perfect match to recover from their setback.

Toronto FC have been pretty decent in their last two games, and if they maintain such momentum, they might likely find the back of the net. The hosts will dictate this game, and except for a slip-up, NY City will win and score more than a goal.

My match prediction is for New York City to win with a coefficient of 1.70 on the Betway bookmaker.

My betting tip for this game is for Toronto FC to score before the break for a coefficient of 2.60 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

My final prediction is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.76 on the 1xbet bookmaker.

Good luck!

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Odds 1,70
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Odds 2,60
Bet Type Away HT Over 0.5 goal
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Odds 1,76
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