Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Sounders seek redemption as in-form Earthquakes arrive unbeaten in six head-to-head encounters

Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
20 Jul 2025 03:30
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Football USA MLS
20 July 2025 | 03:30
Lumen Field Seattle USA
Raphael George
19 Jul 2025
19:05
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,6
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Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes: Prediction for the Match on July 20, 2025

The Sounders are in fifth place with 34 points and are seeking home consistency, while the Earthquakes are in ninth spot, just five points behind, and arguably with one of the most threatening attacks in the MLS. Chicho Arango, Josef Martínez, and Cristian Espinoza are threatening, combining for over 40 goals and assists and pitting a Sounders defense that has had lapses in the dying minutes of games, apart from being vulnerable to set plays. Recent results saw both teams getting draws: Seattle clawed back for a dramatic 3-3 at home, while San Jose also stitched up a 2-2 result away. This fixture, with postseason prospects on the line, will certainly feature in-the-moment reactions, tactical switches, and emotional highs. Here is the full preview, lineup details, betting trends, and my top-3 match picks.

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Seattle currently holds 5th in the Western Conference and sits on 34 points after clinching a 9‑6‑7 (W‑D‑L) record. They went 4 unbeaten (2‑0‑2) in all competitions from the time of the FIFA Club World Cup. Home form-wise, it's been somewhat shaky with points dropped twice in the recent draw; however, resilience was there in a magnificent comeback draw with Colorado, with a brace and an assist from Albert Rusnák. The defense, however, gave away two late penalties, and on the disciplinary front, Jackson Ragen and Nouhou Tolo are set to sit out due to yellow card accumulation. Stefan Frei remains in concussion protocol from a July 6 encounter; Andrew Thomas has since stepped up, delivering one win and a draw from his two outings while conceding five in the process. Yeimar, the central defender, joined back to help tighten the defence during midweek. From social media chats to podcasts, the "Throwback Week" featuring the club's Orca theme has generated quite a buzz and lifted team spirits. The task for Head Coach Brian Schmetzer has been to instill more focus and extra sharpness on finishing, a message that was backed by the recent post-interviews. Expect the Sounders to return home with focus and urgency to consolidate.

• Likely XI: Andrew Thomas, Yeimar, Jackson Ragen, Nouhou (out), Cristian Roldan, Obed Vargas, Albert Rusnák, Jesús Ferreira, Pedro de la Vega, Josh Atencio, Jordan Morris

• Out: Stefan Frei (concussion), Jackson Ragen (suspension), Nouhou (suspension), Jordan Morris (hamstring earlier but likely fit)  

• Head coach: Brian Schmetzer

Currently, San Jose is 9th in the West with a 7‑8‑8 record and aligned to 29 points. Early season form wavered-after all, 6 losses in the first 10 games-but those were behind them; only 1 loss in 13 would be recorded since May. Just a few highlights in their resurgence would be that 2-2 draw away at FC Dallas, with Josef Martínez netting the late equaliser and setting up the assist. Under the aegis of Bruce Arena, their attack has been fine-tuned, scoring 41 goals in 21 games—the second best tally in the MLS. The downside has been their leaky defence; only Kansas City and Montréal have been worse at conceding home goals this season. The recent social buzz was caused by the bold launch of the Rewind Kit, which taps into club nostalgia. Both Martínez and Arango spoke very enthusiastically about this new chapter under Arena, carrying the momentum with confidence and ambition. But while they have been scoring goals, the Earthquakes are cautious traveling away, letting opponents go late and defending with such weakness that their manager has often pointed out those sloppy lapses, especially in the dying minutes. San Jose will head to Seattle with one eye fixed on breaking that streak and the other on grabbing a vital scalp from the top half.

• Likely XI: JT Marcinkowski, Jackson Yueill, Cristian Espinoza, Chicho Arango, Josef Martínez, Nick Lima, Callum Kostecki, Brandon Bye, Cade Cowell, Cade Cowell, Jackson Yueill

• Out: None reported

• Head coach: Bruce Arena

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Show more predictions

In their last six meetings, San Jose remain unbeaten with three wins and three draws, including a 1‑1 draw in March 2025 at PayPal Park and a 2‑2 draw at Lumen Field last September.

  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 75% of San Jose’s matches this season.
  • Seattle have exchanged goals late—3+ conceding in two of last three.
  • Draw no‑bet on Sounders pays well considering home form.
  • Both teams to score in 8 of last 10 matches between them.
  • San Jose undefeated in last four away fixtures (W‑D).
  • Seattle blanked only once at home this season—maintaining scoring consistency.

I’m confident in the match producing goals and drama. A 2‑2 draw aligns with both teams’ tendencies and recent form—backed by stats, goalscoring threats and defensive lapses on both sides. Below is a summary of my top 3 picks:-

• BTTS + Over 2.5 goals @ 1.6 odds on Betway.com

With Seattle allowing penalties late and San Jose conceding heavily despite scoring prowess, I expect goals at both ends.

• Over 3 goals @ 1.61 odds on 1xbet.com

San Jose average nearly two goals per game; Sounders’ last few matches have also featured 6+ combined goals.

• Full time draw @ 4.3 odds on Bet365.com

Though Seattle have home edge, San Jose’s firepower and resilience mean a draw is the most likely result

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Odds 1,61
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Bet Type Full time draw
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