Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira Prediction: Bo Nickal to record a jaw dropping comeback

USA
USA
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
16 Nov 2025 05:30
Brazil
Brazil
MMA: Middleweight Division
Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira
Madison Square Garden, New York, New York
16.11.2025, 05:30
Muhydeen Murphy
14 Nov 2025
01:32
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type fight to go the distance (yes)
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Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira: Prediction and odds on the Match on 16 November, 2025

At 29 years old, Bo Nickal is stepping into the ring for the first time. He has a 7-1 record. He is 6 feet 1 inch tall and weighs 185 pounds. Rodolfo Vieira is 6 feet tall, weighs 185 pounds, and has an 11-3 record. He's an orthodox fighter who is up against a tough opponent. This fight is going to be exciting. Who will win? We have the preview and free betting options for you at Telecom Asia.

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Bo Nickal has a 7-1 record in professional MMA. He fights for American Top Team in State College, Pennsylvania. He is known for his wrestling skills and has won 2 fights by knockout, 4 by submission, and 1 by decision. He last fought on November 16, 2024, at UFC 309, where he won by unanimous decision over Paul Craig. Before that, he beat Cody Brundage at UFC 300 with a rear-naked choke submission in the second round. Nickal is now the 23rd best middleweight in the world. He did well on the Dana White Contender Series, winning both of his fights before joining the UFC, where he has won four times. He can finish fights in a lot of different ways, as shown by his four submissions and two knockouts. Nickal still has a strong overall record, even though he lost for the first time to Reinier de Ridder by TKO in the second round in May 2025. He has a 53% takedown accuracy, a 100% takedown defense, and a 59% striking accuracy. Nickal quickly rose through the UFC ranks thanks to his dominant grappling and finishing skills. He was a three-time NCAA wrestling champion. He wants to bounce back from his first career loss by doing well against Vieira.

Bo Nickel's striking is a problem. Bo Nickal combines a massive ego with a polite demeanor - he's the Bono of MMA in a way. He is heavy.

Rodolfo Vieira had a great start in the UFC, but since then he hasn't lived up to the high expectations. He came back to win by submission in the second round, even though he was scared at first. Before joining the UFC, Vieira had a perfect record of 6-0 and was known for his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills and strong wrestling. But his cardio has been a problem, and it has led to two losses in the UFC. Before MMA, Vieira was a top submission grappler, winning six world gold medals. He has fought tough fighters in the UFC, such as Chris Curtis and Dustin Stoltzfus. He has an 11-3 record and nine submission wins, six of which were in the first round. This shows how good he is. He also has a perfect 100% takedown defense and a good 56% accuracy when striking. Still, more experienced strikers can beat him, like Andre Petroski did in February 2025. The best way for Vieira to win is to take advantage of a mistake or a scramble from Nickal. He'll look for chances to submit quickly. Sportsbooks and analysts think that Vieira is less likely to win by submission than Nickal, but they still think it's the best way for him to win.

Nickal's wrestling is going to be hard for Vieira because he has a background in BJJ. At six feet tall and with a reach of 73 inches, Vieira has the skills to scare anyone on the roster.

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  • Nickal’s path to victory starts with his perfect takedown defense. He’ll need to keep Vieira from getting him to the mat. In the standup game, Nickal has an edge with 59% striking accuracy, compared to Vieira’s 55%.
  • He should use his wrestling skills defensively to keep the fight in areas where his striking can shine. Controlling the distance is key, especially with his reach advantage—193 cm versus Vieira’s 185 cm.
  • The most important thing is for Nickal to stick to his technical discipline. He shouldn’t get pulled into a grappling battle with Vieira, where the submission threat is highest.
  • Nickal’s wrestling will clash with Vieira’s Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, creating a tactical battle on the mat. Both men are coming off losses—Nickal to de Ridder’s ground and pound, and Vieira to Petroski’s takedown defense.
  • A win here could push either fighter into the Top 15, setting them up for bigger fights in 2026.
  • Nickal’s stats show his efficiency. He lands 59% of his strikes and has perfect takedown defense. His 2.36 strikes per minute may seem low, but his 58% defense shows he’s calculated. He averages 3.34 takedowns per 15 minutes, proving his wrestling is still a key part of his game. Vieira has improved as a fighter. He lands 3.77 strikes per minute, showing better striking, but his 51% striking defense leaves room for growth. His high submission attempts and grappling skills make him a threat on the ground.
  • Vieira’s game plan should focus on landing more strikes and creating grappling opportunities. His 3.77 strikes per minute will help him close the distance and set up takedowns. While his takedown accuracy is lower, his persistence with 3.09 attempts per 15 minutes shows he can get the fight to the ground.
  • To win, Vieira will need to weather Nickal’s initial defense, apply pressure, and eventually use his grappling to exploit his submission skills.

Not only is Bo Nickal a fan favorite, but he is also one of the best MMA wrestlers right now. He grew up in Pennsylvania, where wrestling is a way of life, and he fights with that mindset every time. He never stops moving, his level changes are the best in the business, and his transitions on the mat are smoother than those of most UFC fighters. What makes Bo even more dangerous in this fight is that it’s practically in his backyard. Fighting close to home makes him more confident, helps him focus better, and gives him more energy. When Bo starts chaining takedowns together, his opponents have to do something. And when they do, Bo uses his ability to put pressure on them, threaten them with submission, and scramble to win.

Our match prediction is for Over 2.5 rounds with odds at 1.87 on 1Xbet.

Our betting tip on the match is fight to go the distance (yes) odds at 1.60 on Bet365.

Lastly, Bo Nickal to win with odds at 1.60 on Betway

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Odds 1,87
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