Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio
UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
09.11.2025, 03:00
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio: Prediction and odds on the Match on 09 November, 2025
The UFC is back for another Fight Night card at The Apex as the Vegas 111 Main Card kicks off in the Middleweight (185) Division. England’s Christian Leroy Duncan is set to take on Brazil’s Marco Tulio as both fighters look to break through into the rankings.Who do you think will win?
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!Christian Leroy Duncan recent form
Christian Leroy Duncan recent form
Christian Leroy Duncan (12-2) has been one of the best MMA fighters in Britain since he joined the UFC in 2023. He is 6 feet 2 inches tall and has a reach of 79 inches. Every time he steps into the cage, he brings length, creativity, and style. He started his UFC career as an undefeated Cage Warriors prospect and has since gone 5-2, with four of those wins coming in his last five fights. He only lost to Gregory Rodrigues and Armen Petrosyan, but each fight made him a better player. Duncan looked great in his last fight, when he knocked out Eryk Anders with a spinning back elbow that earned him a bonus. This weekend, he's a slight underdog for the first time, but his recent performance shows that he's ready to make a statement.
Christian Leroy Duncan Strength
Duncan's sharp technique and Tulio's raw power and pressure are clearly at odds with each other in this fight. Duncan's key is space. He controls the pace if he keeps the fight going, mixes up his strikes, and uses his wrestling to keep his opponent guessing. The Englishman will try to make room, throw his jab, and get Tulio to swing at nothing.
Marco Tulio recent form
Marco Tulio recent form
Marco Tulio (14-1) is making a big splash in the UFC. He has won both of his fights since joining in 2025, both by knockout. Before that, he impressed on Dana White's Contender Series, where he won both of his fights to get a spot on the roster. Tulio is six feet tall and has a 74.5-inch reach. He fights with unending aggression. Every punch, kick, and knee is meant to knock someone out. Even though his wins over Tresean Gore and Ihor Poteria may have come against weaker opponents, the way he beat them made people in the division take notice. Now, he has to face his toughest test yet: a chance to show that his explosive power and pressure can work against the best.
Marco Tulio Strength
Tulio will try to change the story. He wants to catch Duncan, get closer, and make the fight a mess. When things get crazy, he shines, and this could end quickly if he gets in early. Duncan lost to Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 304, which showed that he has a weakness: constant pressure can push him back and mess up his rhythm. Tulio will try to test that again.
Marco Tulio Strength
Tulio will try to change the story. He wants to catch Duncan, get closer, and make the fight a mess. When things get crazy, he shines, and this could end quickly if he gets in early. Duncan lost to Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 304, which showed that he has a weakness: constant pressure can push him back and mess up his rhythm. Tulio will try to test that again.
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Betting Insights, Tips & Odds
- Gloucester’s Christian Leroy Duncan gets it done in round 1 to take his professional record to 12-2 (5-2 in UFC).
- Marco Tulio is one of the hottest prospects in the UFC. And it’s for a good reason he has some of the best striking in the Middleweight division.
- Tulio averages 7.5 SSPM. Which would equal 94 Significant Strikes assuming the fight goes 12.5 minutes and he keeps his average with 7.5 SSPM.
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Prediction
This fight is between a British technician and a Brazilian brawler, and their styles are very different. Both men have clear ways to win, but Marco Tulio seems to have the upper hand in terms of momentum and raw power. Expect fireworks from the beginning, and don't be surprised if it ends in a big way. Christian Leroy Duncan is a great striker with a smooth style. He has fought tougher opponents in the UFC and knows how to keep his distance with accuracy. If he gets into a rhythm, he can frustrate Tulio with his timing and movement, just like he did when he beat Eryk Anders in a very impressive way. Tulio, on the other hand, is one of the most dangerous fighters in the middleweight division. He hasn't fought any top-level fighters yet, but he's done exactly what great fighters should do: finish them quickly and violently. His knockout win over Yousri Belgaroui on Dana White's Contender Series looks even better now that Belgaroui has beaten Azamat Bekoev. Tulio's strength could make a big difference in a fight. He just needs one clear shot to change everything. Tulio's pressure and damage might be enough to take control before the final bell, even if Duncan lives.
Our first prediction is Marco Tulio to win - 1.61 odds for 1xbet
Our Second Prediction is +3.5 Spread Christian Leroy Duncan - 1.65 odds for Bet365
Lastly, Over 2.5 Rounds - 1.68 odds for Betway
Other predictions