Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo promises to “break the bank” at UFC Fight Night Rio

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson: Prediction and odds on the Match on 12 October, 2025

This weekend, Montel Jackson has a great chance to win when he fights Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC Rio. On Saturday night, the two fighters, who are both in the top 15 of the bantamweight division, will fight. Both want to make a big statement by winning. Who will win? We're taking a closer look at this exciting matchup at Telecom Asia and giving people the chance to bet for free.

Deiveson Figueiredo Form and Statistics

As he faces the rising Montel Jackson, Deiveson Figueiredo wants to get back on track in Brazil. Figueiredo has a record of 24 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw. He is known for his chaotic fighting style. The former flyweight champion is 5'5" tall, weighs 135 pounds, and fights with an orthodox stance. He isn't as explosive as he was when he was a champion at 37, but he's still dangerous no matter where the fight goes. Figueiredo hits 2.82 significant strikes per minute with 54% accuracy when he is on offense. But he has trouble on defense, taking 3.64 strikes per minute and only blocking 49% of incoming attacks. If Jackson is a better striker, this could be a problem.

Deiveson Figueiredo: Strength

Figueiredo is still strong on the ground. He gets 1.69 takedowns every 15 minutes, but only 35% of the time. He also has a 58% takedown defense. His jiu-jitsu is still dangerous, with an average of 1.4 submissions every 15 minutes. Figueiredo has lost two fights in a row, the first by TKO due to a knee injury to Cory Sandhagen in May 2025 and the second by unanimous decision to Petr Yan in November 2024. He wants to get back on track in front of his home crowd after winning three fights in a row. But at 37, people are starting to wonder if his best days are behind him, especially when he fights someone younger like Jackson.

Montel Jackson: Form and Statistics

Montel Jackson is on a six-fight winning streak and will fight Figueiredo, a former champion, at UFC Fight Night Rio. Jackson is a rising bantamweight contender with a record of 15-2. He has recently beaten Daniel Marcos by decision and knocked out Da'Mon Blackshear and Rani Yahya. At 33, he's focused and ready to keep his streak of wins going since 2021. Jackson is 5'10" tall, has a 75-inch reach, and fights from a southpaw stance. His size gives him a clear edge in this fight. He is in his prime and has learned how to fight in a calm and effective way. He hits 3.22 significant strikes per minute with 53% accuracy. More importantly, he only takes 1.39 hits per minute and defends 62% of attacks, which gives him a huge advantage in defense. Jackson isn't flashy, but he gets the job done by keeping his distance and making as few mistakes as possible. This fight is the biggest chance he's ever had in his career. Jackson has won six in a row and is ready to make a name for himself in the octagon against Figueiredo. His last win came in May when he became the first man to defeat Daniel Marcos.

Montel Jackson: Strength

Jackson's size, speed, and ability to hit should be too much for Figueiredo. He is younger, stronger, and a better wrestler and defender. Figgy is dangerous on the mat, but Montel has a better chance of winning because he is more durable and athletic.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Cory Sandhagen stopped Figueiredo in his last fight with a TKO. This fight made it clear that there is a big difference in durability at bantamweight.
• Figueiredo had trouble with distance and couldn't get his offense going. As he moves up to 135 pounds, he has to deal with new durability issues because longer, more accurate strikers tend to find him.
• Even so, Figueiredo is still dangerous because of his fight IQ, strength, and grappling instincts. He does well in crazy situations, and as long as he can make one happen, he always has a chance.
• Figueiredo has lost two fights in a row and is 4-4 in his last eight fights since 2021. Jackson, on the other hand, has won six in a row, three of which were by knockout and three by decision.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Expert Betting Tips

Figueiredo has done very well in the bantamweight division, especially when he uses his speed. But at 37, it's not clear if he can keep that edge. He has relied more on wrestling since moving to 135 pounds, but I don't think he has the skills to keep Montel Jackson on the ground for three rounds. Jackson's speed, power, and relentless pace will break down Figueiredo's defenses if he can avoid Figueiredo's early submission attempts and find his striking rhythm. Jackson is likely to either knock out his opponent or win by a dominant decision, which will help him get closer to a title shot. Figueiredo's hopes of winning the title at UFC Rio could end with this fight. I think Jackson will win big tomorrow night, and I'm betting that he will finish the fight before the end.

Our first prediction is Fight to go the distance (yes) - 1.67 odds for 1xbet

Our second prediction is W1 to win by unanimous decision - 2.70 odds for bet365

Our third prediction is W2 to win by points - 2.10 odds for Betway