Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev Prediction: Can Della Maddalena’s defensive grappling hold up in this fixture?

Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev: Prediction and odds on the Match on 16 November, 2025

The MMA world is graced with another intriguing fixture under UFC 322, which will air on ESPN+. Islam Makhachev will take on Jack Della Maddalena in the Main Event (fight 12 of 12). In this match, there is something to fight for (UFC Welterweight Championship), a title that Della Maddalena currently holds. Both players are coming into this match was five wins in their last five fights. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

Jack Della Maddalena's recent form

Jack Della Maddalena has won 18 of his 20 fights, with 12 by knockout and 2 by submission. He is one of the new generation of MMA fighters who focus on striking first. JDM is a black belt in BJJ under Ben Vickers. He is known for his smart defense and precise strikes. He uses feints well, jabs sharply, and doesn't waste movement very often. When his opponents go too far, he punishes them with short hooks and body shots that wear them down over time. Jack had a 10-2 record when he joined the UFC, thanks to a successful run on Dana White's Contender Series. In his first fight in January 2022, he knocked out Pete Rodriguez in less than three minutes. The 29-year-old Australian has been on a roll ever since. He knocked out Ramazan Emeev and Danny Roberts in the first round and then submitted Randy Brown in the first round. In the summer of 2023, his streak of stoppage wins came to an end, but he kept winning, beating Bassil Hafez by split decision. His next fight, against Kevin Holland, ended in another split decision win. In 2024, he did better in his only performance.

Jack Della Maddalena's Strength

Jack Della Maddalen has quickly become a contender because he is such a good striker. He moves well, changes stances, and throws with both brains and strength. He doesn't have great size or speed, but he often hits opponents who are more naturally talented than he is. He hits the body and head in most of his combos, rarely falls for feints, often gets his opponents to fall for his feints, and always hits the right strike at the right time. One of the most obvious changes Della Maddalena can make is to make his jab louder. That strike has caused Burns problems in the past, especially when it comes to countering his kicks.

Islam Makhachev`s recent form

Since moving up from the hard 155-pound weight cut, Islam Makhachev has looked better. His coaches at AKA say he has more endurance and power, but he still has the same level of discipline. He is the best wrestler because he can easily switch between singles, body locks, and back control. His pressure on the ground is stifling, and every time he moves, he sets a trap. Makhachev, a former UFC lightweight champion, has a record of 27 wins and 1 loss, with 5 KOs and 13 submissions. He joined the UFC in 2015 and had a great start by submitting Leo Kuntz in the second round. But a knockout loss to Adriano Martins in the first round stopped his momentum. The 34-year-old Russian has been on a 14-fight winning streak since then. He won all of his fights against Chris Wade and Nik Lentz, then knocked out Gleison Tibau and submitted Kajan Johnson in the first. Makhachev kept winning, getting unanimous decisions over Arman Tsarukyan and Davi Ramos. He won three straight submissions after that, beating Drew Dober in the third, Thiago Moises in the fourth, and Dan Hooker in the first. He defended his title twice, once by unanimous decision and once by knocking Alexander Volkanovski out in the first round. He beat Dustin Poirier in the last round in 2024 and Renato Moicano in the first. He gave up the lightweight title to go after the welterweight title. Makhachev has won 15 fights in a row since 2016. He is 5'10" tall, weighs 170 pounds, and fights from a southpaw stance with a reach of 70 inches. He hits 2.63 significant strikes per minute with 58% accuracy, takes 1.55 strikes per minute, and blocks 61% of significant strikes.

Islam Makhachev Strength

Makhachev is one of the best grapplers of all time. He averages 3.20 takedowns every 15 minutes, with a 53% success rate, and he stops takedowns 90% of the time. He has won thirteen times by submission.

Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev: Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Islam Makhachev is on a 15-fight win streak, with 8 of his last 9 victories coming by stoppage. He has won 13 of his bouts via submission and averages 3.20 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 53% accuracy.
• On the other hand, Jack Della Maddalena has suffered both of his career losses by stoppage. He has only won two fights by submission and averages just 0.16 takedowns per 15 minutes, with an accuracy of 11%.

Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev Prediction

Makhachev will probably start with body kicks and feints, then try to get a clinch. Della Maddalena will try to hit Makhachev with a counter left hook as he moves up and down. The fighter who wins the first takedown will probably be in charge of the round. If JDM stays away and works on Makhachev's body, he can slow down his shots and feints. But if Makhachev gets the upper hand on the mat, he'll use pressure and wrist traps to wear JDM down. If Makhachev has to stand in the later rounds, he might have trouble with JDM's sharp boxing. But if JDM stays on his back for too long, Makhachev's control of the position will start to add up. This is a tough test for Makhachev in his first welterweight fight, but he has trained with fighters who weigh 170 pounds before. His extra size and strength should only make his grappling better. We think Makhachev will take Della Maddalena down and end the fight to win the title.

Our match prediction is W 1 to win by points with odds at 3.05 on 1Xbet.

Our betting tip on the match is Over 3.5 rounds odds at 1.80 on Bet365.

Lastly, Win in the distance (Yes) odds at 2.31 on Betway