Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny Prediction: Can Neil Magny seek back-to-back wins?

Australia
Australia
Start
Day
Hours
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Finished
Live
28 Sep 2025 06:00
USA
USA
UFC Fight Night: Welterweight Division
Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny
RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia, Australia
28.09.2025, 06:00
Muhydeen Murphy
27 Sep 2025
03:27
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type W1 by submission or decision
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Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny: Prediction and odds on the Match on 28 September, 2025

Neil Magny owns the most wins in UFC welterweight history. With over a decade in the division, he has built a career on toughness and consistency. Now he looks to push that record even higher. Across from him stands Jake Matthews. Fighting at home in Perth, this bout means more than just another appearance. The Australian veteran carries both excitement and determination into the cage. For Matthews, facing Magny is a true test. For Magny, it is another chance to remind everyone why he has lasted so long at the top. Sunday in Perth, durability meets momentum. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

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With a professional record of 22-7-0, Jake Matthews has recorded 5 knockout victories, 6 gavazins, and 6 decision wins. He has also recorded 3 submission losses, 3 decisions, and 1 knockout loss. Beginning his professional MMA career in 2012, Jake Matthews kept a 9-win streak, being knocked down by two consecutive losses against Kevin Lee and Andrew Holbrook in 2016. Jake’s last five bouts have been two submission wins against Andre Fialho and Darrius Flowers, along with three losses to Sean Brady (submission), Matthew Semelsberger (KO), and Michael Morales (KO). Jake Matthews also aims to put a stop to losing, and if he wins, it will mark a great achievement for his 20th professional win.

The Australian once carried the shine of a top prospect and, at times, he’s lived up to it. Wins over names like Andre Fialho and Chidi Njokuani showed flashes of world-class skill. But for every high, there’s been a stumble—losses to Sean Brady and Michael Morales still linger on his record. After more than a decade inside the Octagon, Matthews sits at 15-7. Now, momentum is finally on his side. Riding a three-fight win streak, he enters Saturday night in his best form in years, ready to remind the division of his true ceiling.

Neil Magny (30-13) is the man with the most wins in UFC welterweight history. A veteran since 2013, he has been a constant presence in the division for more than a decade. His style—heavy on clinch work and grinding grapples—doesn’t always thrill the crowd, but it wins fights. Magny’s career has often swung between extremes. He can get sparked out early, or he can drown opponents with bottomless cardio and steal the fight late. After back-to-back first-round losses to Carlos Prates and Michael Morales, many thought his run was over. Yet he silenced doubts with a second-round TKO of Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos in his last outing. Over the years, Magny has stacked up big moments. In 2022, he choked out Daniel Rodriguez with a D’arce and grabbed a Performance of the Night bonus. He also earned the spotlight at UFC Fight Nights, finishing Hyun Gyu Lim with ground-and-pound and submitting Kiichi Kunimoto with a rear-naked choke. Now, even after setbacks like his submission loss to Gilbert Burns, Magny still pushes forward. With 20 UFC victories to his name, “The Haitian Sensation” remains one of the most tested and experienced welterweights of his era.

Neil Magny has a tricky fighter who finds ridiculous ways to get his victory.

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Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny Prediction: Can Neil Magny seek back-to-back wins?
O: 1,60
28 Sep 2025
06:00
Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny Prediction: Can Neil Magny seek back-to-back wins?
Muhydeen Murphy
Muhydeen Murphy
MMA
Finished
Show more predictions
  • In the last five fights for Jake Matthews, he has won only three. Within those three, two were by decision. They were also his earliest matches.
  • In the last five (5) matches, three were by technical decision. Neil Magny ended up winning one.

Jake Matthews enters this fight with momentum. His game looks sharper than ever. Once known as a grappler, he has transformed into a confident volume striker. Now he picks his shots at range with precision, while still carrying the threat of takedowns. His defense has also leveled up. With takedown defense climbing past 67%, Matthews makes it hard for Magny to lean on his wrestling. Magny’s takedown accuracy has dropped to 39%, leaving him less able to control the fight on the mat. On the feet, Matthews stands out. His striking is cleaner and carries more finishing power. Magny, with a defense rate of just 51%, has become easier to hit. That gap creates danger. If the fight hits the ground, Matthews still holds the edge. He owns six UFC submission wins and knows how to snatch opportunities in scrambles. Momentum matters too. Matthews rides a three-fight win streak, while Magny comes in with just one. With sharper tools, stronger finishing chances, and better form, Matthews looks like the safer bet on the Moneyline.

Our First prediction is Over 2.5 rounds at 1.64 odds on 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is a W1 by submission or decision with odds at 1.60 odds on bet365

Our third prediction is -3.5 Spread Jake Matthews at 1.60 odds on Betway

Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny: Preview, Prediction, Where to Watch & Latest Betting Odds
Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny: Preview, Prediction, Where to Watch & Latest Betting Odds
Odds
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type W1 by submission or decision
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Odds 1,64
Bet Type Over 2.5 rounds
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type -3.5 Spread Jake Matthews
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