Patricio "Pitbull" Freire vs Losene Keita Prediction: The battle of Veteran skill versus rising talent

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire vs Losene Keita: Prediction and odds on the Match on 06 September, 2025

This Saturday at UFC Fight Night, in the Featherweight Division, Patricio "Pitbull" Freire and Losene Keita will face off in the octagon, aiming to impress fans once again. Scheduled as the Main Card (fight 9 of 14) under the 145 lbs (65.8 kg) weight class, this match is expected to be highly exciting. It will take place at the Accor Arena, Paris, France. Losene Keita is coming into this match from a five-match winning streak, while Patricio "Pitbull" Freire has won two and lost three in the last five matches. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire's recent form

Pitbull made his UFC debut earlier this year, losing a competitive decision to former interim champion Yair Rodriguez. He quickly bounced back with a tough win over Dan Ige, showing his durability and well-rounded skills. Freire stands 5'6", weighs 145 lbs, and has a 67" reach. With a record of 37-8, most of his experience comes from Bellator, where he was a two-division champion. In the UFC, he’s 1-1 so far, having lost to Rodriguez and then winning a solid unanimous decision against Ige. Freire lands 2.68 significant strikes per minute with 43% accuracy. He absorbs 4.23 per minute, but his defense is at 57%, helping him stay competitive. His grappling is strong, with 1.49 takedowns per 15 minutes and 88% takedown defense. He’s tough to take down and controls positioning well. His submission threat is moderate at 0.6 per 15.

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire`s Strength

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire boxes from an orthodox stance. He is a kickboxing black belt and a hard puncher. He has a good takedown and a solid ground game.

Losene Keita's recent form

Losene Keita, famously known as "Black Panther," joined the Oktagon MMA promotion in 2021 and has since built an impressive record, securing six knockouts from nine victories. He is now preparing for his second showdown with Ronald Paradeiser, their first encounter dating back to 2022. In that match, the two competed for the vacant OKMMA Interim Lightweight Championship, with Keita emerging victorious by unanimous decision. Just four months later, Keita faced Ivan Buchinger for the OKMMA Lightweight Championship. In a spectacular performance, he claimed the title with a first-round technical knockout, delivering a decisive hook that left no doubt about his dominance. Before joining Oktagon MMA, Keita spent a year in the World Fighting League (WFL) from 2020 to 2021. There, he achieved a significant milestone by winning the WFL Welterweight Championship against Bartosz Gorczyca, securing victory in the first round via KO/TKO. Despite a setback against Mate Sanikidze, which cost him his interim title, Keita bounced back wildly. He faced Niko Samsonidse for the vacant OKMMA Featherweight Championship and delivered a thrilling win with a right hook followed by ground punches in the early seconds of the second round.

Losene Keita`s Strength

Losene Keita has a powerful right hand with a good take-down defense. He will be making a debut in the UFC despite his vast experience in MMA

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire vs Losene Keita Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Patricio Pitbull is a technical boxer with 4.12 significant strikes per minute at 46% accuracy. While his knockout power (eight in Bellator) is less prominent in the UFC, his precision and counterstriking remain dangerous.
• Pitbull’s cardio is proven over five rounds, although his output dipped slightly in later rounds against Ige. At 38, he's still durable but not untouchable.
• His weaknesses include age-related declines in speed and reaction time, as shown in his fight with Rodriguez. His 44% striking defense also leaves him vulnerable to high-volume strikers.
• Losene Keita is a dynamic and explosive striker with a 62.5% finish rate, including 10 KOs in 16 wins. He lands 5.88 significant strikes per minute at 58% accuracy, using speed and creativity to overwhelm his opponents.
• While Keita’s fights often end early, his five-round win over Ronald Paradeiser in December 2024 proves he can go the distance if needed.
• His weaknesses include limited UFC experience and a 2023 TKO loss due to a foot injury, which raises questions about his durability against a seasoned veteran.

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire vs Losene Keita Expert Betting Tip

This fight is a high-stakes clash between Pitbull’s proven resilience and Keita’s rising potential. Keita has the edge in striking, landing 5.88 strikes per minute with 58% accuracy. His speed could exploit Pitbull’s 44% striking defense and age-related slowdown. However, Pitbull’s grappling (1.89 takedowns per fight) and BJJ black belt make him dangerous if the fight goes to the ground, where Keita’s inexperience could show. Keita’s 75% takedown defense worked in Oktagon, but Pitbull’s chain wrestling presents a different challenge. I believe Keita is set to win his UFC debut bout.

Our First prediction is W2 to win and over 2.5 rounds at 1.85 odds on 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is a W2 to win by decision or Technical Decision with odds at 2.08 odds on bet365

Our third prediction is Fight to go the distance (yes) at 1.60 odds on Betway