Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza Prediction: Ketlen Souza to pull the upset

Venezuela
Venezuela
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
03 Aug 2025 01:00
Brazil
Brazil
UFC Women's: Strawweight Division
Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza
UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
03.07.2025, 01:00
Muhydeen Murphy
02 Aug 2025
05:19
All time statistics:
1240
888
13
57.92%
Statistics
Odds
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Odds 1,66
Bet Type +5.5 Spread Ketlen Souza
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Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza: Prediction and odds on the Match on 03 August, 2025

Scheduled as the Preliminary Card (fight 2 of 12) under the weight class of 115 lbs (52.2 kg), this match is expected to be highly exciting. It will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. Piera Rodriguez was able to get some redemptions last year with a win, while Ketlen Souza suffered a loss this year. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

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Piera Rodriguez is a fighter with a reputation for being a nasty striker with incredible finishing ability. She moves forward with her head high, engaging in a controlled brawl that is both calculated and wild. Rodriguez's punches are winged and thrown with intent, making her a dangerous opponent to face in the octagon. With a takedown defense rate of 77%, Rodriguez is defensively sound on the ground and also has a good record of 11 takedowns in three UFC fights. She is particularly strong in the clinch, though she does struggle to keep her opponents down on the mat once she gets the takedown. Also, her wrestling cardio may be lacking for three rounds, though she does have this skill in her back pocket. Despite her striking prowess, Rodriguez's ground game is still a work in progress, which could be a weakness against an opponent like Robertson. Nevertheless, Rodriguez is a well-rounded fighter with impressive speed, agility, and reflexes, making her a force to be reckoned with in the octagon. With a background in boxing, Rodriguez's striking skills are top-notch, and she has the potential to finish the fight at any moment.

Piera Rodriguez fights out of the orthodox stance, she constantly shoots for takedowns. She has an okay cardio.

The Brazilian, Ketlen Souza, is coming into this fight from a victory over Mexico`s Yarmin Jauregui in style. She won the fight through submission in the first round. Before this, the 29-year-old fighter recorded a victory over USA Marnic Mann around April last year. She got the victory through decision in the 3rd round. Before joining the Strawweight Division, she recorded a loss in 2023 in her time at the Flyweight division. She faced fellow compatriot Karine Silva and lost through submission in the first round.

Ketlen Souza throws very hard kicks and has solid cardio. She throws real hard overhand with a good ground game.

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  • Ketlen Souza has fought more fights in the last two years compared to Piera Rodriguez. She has more fight experience and wins than Piera Rodriguez. The bookies have Ketlen Souza to win at 2.80 odds and Piera Rodriguez to win at 1.45 odds at the 1xbet bookmark.;
  • In the last five (5) matches, three were by unanimous decision. Piera Rodriguez ended up winning all three. The bookies have Piera Rodriguez by decision or technical decision at 1.83 odds in the 1xbet bookmaker.;
  • Ketlen Souza has recorded a higher number of wins and match experience. He has a good amount of experience and should be able to drag the match to the very last rounds. The option is available at 1.36 odds in the 1XBet bookmaker for the fight to go to the decision.

Judging from the fact that none of the two female fighters have an enviable knockout percentage, the judges will likely decide this game. Ketlen Souza has the better experience in terms of the number of wins and total fights. She is also younger, so recovery for her is very possible. Piera Rodriguez is the favourite (2/1) in this game by the bookies, however I believe Ketlen Souza can pull off the upset and cover the spread. For fans who don't understand the +3.5 spread, If you take the +3.5 spread and the fighter you pick loses. You need the scorecards to be no worse than 29-28 on all 3 judges' scorecards because that's only a 3 point loss and you have +3.5. You would also win if it's a draw or your fighter wins or gets a stoppage. Souza has developed a dangerous submission arsenal and a solid striking game with her ability to transition smoothly between striking and grappling, is undoubtedly a formidable opponent. My prediction is that Ketlen Souza wins, but not by knockout.

Our First prediction is Ketlen Souza to win at 2.80 odds on 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is a +5.5 Spread Ketlen Souza with odds at 1.66 odds on bet365

Out third prediction Ketlen Souza to win by decision or technical decision at 4.40 odds on Betway

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Odds 1,66
Bet Type +5.5 Spread Ketlen Souza
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Odds 2,80
Bet Type Ketlen Souza to win
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Odds 4,40
Bet Type Ketlen Souza to win by decision or technical decision
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