Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne Prediction: Ode Osbourne is very unlikely to bounce back on his last victory for motivation

Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne: Prediction and odds on the Match on 10 August, 2025

Scheduled as the Co-Main Event (fight 11 of 12) under the 135 lbs (61.2 kg) weight class, this match is expected to be highly exciting. It will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. Stephen Erceg is looking to get some redemption, while Ode Osbourne has won two of his last five matches. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

Stephen Erceg: Form and Statistic

Steve Erceg is a well-rounded Australian flyweight standing 5′8″ with a 68.5″ reach. He’s a composed fighter who blends clean boxing with opportunistic takedowns and has proven durable and technical across three rounds. He made an impressive UFC debut with a win over David Dvořák, followed by a highlight KO of Matt Schnell. Steve Erceg later stepped up on short notice to face flyweight champ Alexandre Pantoja, where he lost a competitive decision, and also went toe-to-toe with elite names like Kai Kara-France and Brandon Moreno. Erceg doesn’t rely on volume, but he mixes up his attack well and uses strong positional grappling to win rounds or hunt finishes. Steve Erceg could have been UFC champion, but he decided to wrestle one of the best grapplers in the UFC in a round that he needed to win. In Steve Erceg’s 4th, 5th, and 6th UFC fights, he got thrown in there with top 5 guys. Two were close, competitive fights as well.

Stephen Erceg Strength

Steve Erceg is known for his submission grappling base. Erceg holds multiple wins by rear-naked choke and has shown improved striking with each fight. 

Ode Osbourne's recent form

Ode Osbourne, nicknamed “The Jamaican Sensation,” is a dynamic and explosive striker standing 5′7″ with a 73″ reach, giving him a notable reach advantage in most flyweight matchups. He boasts an impressive professional UFC record of 5-6, with three of those being knockouts. He has scored UFC victories over Charles Johnson, C.J. Vergara, and Zarrukh Adashev. In 2019, he earned his spot in the UFC by impressing on Dana White's Contender Series. However, he’s also been inconsistent, with submission losses to Brian Kelleher and Jafel Filho and KO defeats to Manel Kape and Tyson Nam. His takedown defense and ground game have shown vulnerabilities, particularly when pressured by high-output grapplers. While Osbourne thrives in open space and early exchanges, he tends to fade if dragged into extended wrestling or clinch battles.

Ode Osbourne`s Strength

Ode Osbourne is known for his unpredictable movement and fast-twitch counters from the southpaw stance, with 5 of his 13 wins coming by KO or TKO. He can dictate the pace early. Osbourne's offensive strategy revolves around his exceptional grappling abilities. His victory over Zarrukh Adashev won the Performance of the Night.

Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Three of the last matches for Stephen Ecreg ended in points. The bookies have Stephen Erceg to win by Decision or Technical Decision at 2.87 odds in the 1xbet bookmaker.
• Ode Osbourne has recorded a higher number of wins and match experience. He has a good amount of experience and should be able to drag the match to the very last rounds. The option is available at 2.50 odds in the 1XBet bookmaker for the fight to go to the decision.

Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne Expert Betting Tip

Osbourne, who has not fought in the octagon for nearly four months, will be facing the challenge of fighting a relatively strong opponent. Steve Erceg is a strong pick because of his well-rounded skill set, consistent pace, and ability to win rounds clearly. He fights with composure, mixing clean striking with smart grappling, and rarely gives opponents the kind of wild, scrappy exchanges that Ode Osbourne tends to thrive in. After conducting a thorough analysis of this matchup, it becomes evident how challenging it can be to accurately predict outcomes in fights of this nature. Osbourne is athletic and explosive early, but he often fades and gives up control time or stalls offensively when pressured. In contrast, Erceg maintains solid round-to-round output, defends well, and makes smart adjustments. His ability to control the pace, avoid big moments, and stay active on the feet or mat gives him a clear path to winning at least two rounds or potentially all three. On the feet, Ode Osbourne will have a lot of advantages (power, speed, volume). Must win for Erceg on the edge of 4 4-fight loss streak, Ode poses a threat early, but I think Erceg will take over through rounds 2 and 3. Ode is a southpaw, which could cause issues, but expect Erceg to grapple later on to secure the win. Unless Osbourne lands something huge early, Erceg’s technical approach and cardio make him a reliable play to cover the -3.5 spread.

Our First prediction is Fight to go the distance (no) at 1.60 odds on 1xbet

Our Second Prediction is a +3.5 Spread Ode Osbourne with odds at 3.25 on bet365

Our third prediction is under 2.5 rounds at 1.66 odds on Betway