Match: Australia vs New Zealand
Optus Stadium, Perth
October 4th, 2025, 12:45 PM (AEST)
Check out our New Zealand vs Australia prediction now! See all the Australia vs New Zealand odds for the Rugby Championship - round 6. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!Australia vs New Zealand match start date and time
At exactly 12:45 PM on Saturday, October 4th, 2025, New Zealand and South Africa will battle it out at Optus Stadium, Perth.
- Match: Australia vs New Zealand
- Date: Saturday, October 4th, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 12:45 PM
- Stadium: Optus Stadium, Perth
New Zealand: Form
New Zealand: WLWLW
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 33-24 Australia
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 10-43 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 24-17 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 29-22 New Zealand
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 24-41 New Zealand
New Zealand has struggled to maintain consistency, going from a rough patch in a win to a loss the very next game. In the wake of their 10-43 loss to South Africa, they sought atonement. The winning margin was 33-24 in the match versus Australia. Three victories and two losses make up their most recent five-match record. Losing against Argentina by a score of 29-22 was the second defeat. It passed by just a hair's breadth. Other wins came against France (29-19) and Argentina (24–41).
New Zealand: Team News
With 10 points, New Zealand is presently atop the standings; a win would put the Springboks in a position where they would need other results before their last two matches against Argentina. Even if they have a history of success, the chances of them getting well are slim.
New Zealand: Expected Eleven
- Ethan de Groot
- Codie Taylor
- Fletcher Newell
- Scott Barrett (c)
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Simon Parker, Ardie Savea (vc)
- Wallace Sititi
- Finlay Christie
- Beauden Barrett
- Rieko Ioane
- Jordie Barrett (vc)
- Billy Proctor
- Emoni Narawa
- Will Jordan
Australia: Form
Australia: LLWLW
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 33-24 Australia
- Rugby Championship: Australia 26-28 Argentina
- Rugby Championship: Australia 28-24 Argentina
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 30-22 Australia
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-28 Australia
After losing two in a row, the Australian rugby team is eager to get back on track. The last one was a 33-24 loss against New Zealand. Prior to it, they had a disappointing loss to Argentina (26-28), a score that was nearly reversed when Australia prevailed in the previous two weeks. When it comes to New Zealand, the Australian time is about to face a formidable opponent. With a stronger set-piece and experienced players to back up the scrum and maul defence, Australia will aim for a more structured approach that prioritises forceful kicking to dictate pace and control geographic areas. Paisami replaces Ikitau in the opening Test of the year, and Tane Edmed starts for the first time after replacing the injured Lynagh. After missing the previous two Tests due to a concussion, James Slipper is back for his 149th appearance, and Jeremy Williams is called up to play in the second row. Rob Valetini, Fraser McReight, and Captain Harry Wilson remain seated at the rear.
Australia: Team News
After sitting out the last two Tests, Tom Lynagh is back in the starting lineup at fly half, and skipper Harry Wilson is healthy enough to play at number eight again following a leg injury. In the fullback position, Andrew Kellaway takes over for the injured Tom White, while in the second row, Will Skelton is replaced by Tom Hooper following Skelton's return to the French Top 14.
Australia: Expected Eleven
- Tom Robertson
- Billy Pollard
- Taniela Tupou
- Nick Frost
- Tom Hooper
- Rob Valetini
- Fraser McReight
- Harry Wilson
- Nic White
- Tom Lynagh
- Corey Toole
- Len Ikitau
- Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii
- Max Jorgensen
- Andrew Kellaway
Australia vs New Zealand Prediction Head-to-Head Statistics
Considering the last five matches between New Zealand and Australia, New Zealand has been on top with five straight victories.
- 27.09.25: New Zealand 33-24 Australia
- 28.09.24: New Zealand 33-13 Australia
- 21.09.24: Australia 28-31 New Zealand
- 05.08.23: New Zealand 23-20 Australia
- 29.07.23: Australia 7-38 New Zealand
Who will win the match, Australia vs New Zealand ?
Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Rugby Championship - round 6 match between New Zealand and Australia 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives New Zealand a 85% chance of beating Australia in the Rugby Championship - round 6.
Australia vs New Zealand Betting Tips & Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Rugby Championship are shown here:
Head to Head: Australia $2.80, New Zealand $1.54,
Handicap: Australia 4.5 ($1.82), New Zealand -4.5 ($2.00)
Total: Over 54.5 $1.89, Under 54.5 $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Australia at $2.80 and New Zealand at $1.54
Australia are listed as 46.5-point underdogs against New Zealand, with odds of $1.10 available at Bet365.
For the favourite New Zealand (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Australia (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.
Australia vs New Zealand Match Prediction
Last weekend, New Zealand defeated South Africa 24–17, extending their undefeated record at Eden Park since 1994. The stadium remained a fortress. The All Blacks know that another victory in Wellington would put them in a strong position to win the Rugby Championship again, and they currently lead the standings by one point. Despite not playing at their best last week, South Africa is committed to improving. Rassie Erasmus, the head coach, has changed the backline and pushed his players to play with greater conviction. We anticipate a win for New Zealand.
Our first option is -4.5 Handicap New Zealand with odds at 2.00 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.
Our second option is Over 54.5 Total with odds at 1.89 on Betway bookmaker.
Our last option is New Zealand to win with odds at 1.60 on Bet365 bookmaker.
Other predictions
