Western Force vs Reds Prediction: Western Force to have a strong presence in third match up of the season

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28 Sep 2025 09:30
Super Rugby AUS
Match: Western Force vs Reds
Sunday, September 28th, 2025, 09:30 AM (AEST)
Olakunle Emmanuel
26 Sep 2025
07:37
Statistics of the month:
1
0
1
50%
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Western Force Double Chance
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Brumbies vs Waratahs Prediction and Bet Super Rugby AUS 28 September 2025

Check out our Western Force vs Reds prediction now! See all the Western Force vs Reds odds for the Super Rugby AUS - round 3. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities. 

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At exactly 09:30 AM on Sunday, September 28th, 2025, Waratahs and Reds will battle it out.

  • Match: Western Force vs Reds
  • Date: Sunday, September 28th, 2025
  • Kickoff Time: 09:30 AM
TV channelFox League
Free-to-air channel
Live streamKayo, Foxtel

Western Force: WWLLLL

  • Super Rugby Aus: Western Force 46-35 Brumbies
  • Super Rugby Aus: Waratahs 3-24 Western Force
  • Lions Tour World: Western Force 7-54 British & Irish
  • Super Rugby: Western Force 17-22 Waratahs
  • Super Rugby: Fijian Dura 38-7 Western Force

Western Force is in top form for the season. They've won two consecutive. These victories came against the Brumbies (46-35) and the Waratahs (3-24). Tompkins Park, home to Palmyra Rugby Club, will host the Force's final two round-robin matches. The Force are presently at the top of the Super Rugby AUS standings after defeating the Waratahs on bonus points in their first away encounter. Max Burey, the first-ever Super Rugby AUS Player of the Week, hopes to take advantage of the competition's immaculate start. The Force's performance was far from faultless, with the Waratahs' solid scrum base repeatedly thwarting their offensive aspirations. After so much time in the legs, Burey believes his team will be more prepared to tackle the powerful Brumbies set piece this weekend.

With four victories and a draw from 14 games, the Western Force finished ninth in Super Rugby Pacific after a strong start but a difficult second half. They lost their last five games after drawing with the Hurricanes and defeating the Highlanders at home in the middle of April. After that, they lost a warm-up match to the British & Irish Lions 54-7.

  • Marley Pearce
  • Albert Alcock
  • Tiaan Tauakipulu
  • Mitch Watts
  • Darcy Swain (c)
  • Will Harris
  • Kane Koteka
  • Vaiolini Ekuasi
  • Henry Robertson
  • Max Burey
  • Viliami Fine
  • Kurtley Beale
  • George Poolman
  • Justin Landman
  • Mac Grealy

Reds: LWLLW

  • Super Rugby AUS: Waratahs 47-19 Reds
  • Super Rugby AUS: Reds 36-26 Brumbies
  • Lions Tour World: Reds 12-52 British&Irish Lions
  • Super Rugby: Crusaders 32-12 Reds
  • Super Rugby: Reds 52-7 Fijian Drua

The Reds have lost three and won two of their previous five matches. The Reds lost their most recent match versus the Waratahs, 47-19. Faessler returns to action after missing the first British and Irish Lions Test due to a calf injury. Meanwhile, Flook was called up to the national team for the Lions series after initially being assigned to URC club Benetton. Faessler returns to action after missing the first British and Irish Lions Test due to a calf injury. Meanwhile, Flook was called up to the national team for the Lions series after initially being assigned to URC club Benetton.

Xavier Rubens and Faessler will take over for Theo Fourie and Flook, respectively. The Reds will be aiming to build on last year's victory over the Waratahs in Roma, which was their first in the event's short existence.

  • Aidan Ross (vc)
  • George Blake
  • Massimo De Lutiis
  • Connor Vest
  • Seru Uru
  • Joe Brial
  • Tom Robinson
  • Vaiuta Latu
  • Kalani Thomas
  • Jock Campbell (c)
  • Tim Ryan
  • Dre Pakeho
  • Isaac Henry
  • Lachie Anderson
  • Heremaia Murray

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Show more predictions

The last 10 times these sides played each other, the Western Force won 2 times and the Reds won 8 times. The last time they played, the Reds won 28-24.

  • 29.03.25: Reds 28-24 Western Force
  • 01.03.25: Western Force 24-28 Reds
  • 25.05.24: Reds 59-13 Western Force
  • 23.03.24: Western Force 40-31 Reds
  • 29.04.23: Reds 31-17 Western Force

Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Super Rugby AUS - round 3 match between the Western Force vs Reds 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Reds an 55% chance of beating Western Force in the Super Rugby AUS - round 3.

The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Super Rugby AUS - round 1 are shown here:

Head to Head: Western Force $1.69, Reds $2.257

Double Chance: Western Force $1.58, Reds $2.00

Handicap: Western Force -1..5 ($1.80), Reds +1.5 ($1.90)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Western Force at $1.690 and Reds at $2.257

The Western Force are listed as 27.5-point underdogs against the Reds, with odds of $1.80 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Western Force (-27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.96.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Reds (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.

Reds have named almost a Super Rugby starting lineup for this game v the Western Force who’ve decided to play a younger side and are missing Matt Philips from last week who is suspended. This could really end up being a blow out especially with the junk yard dog in red hot form. The Reds, eager to build on their recent win and prove themselves, will fight hard. With the odds in their favor, they will aim for a strong performance and a road win. However, I am backing the one in-from, Western Force, to get the victory.

Our first option is the -1.5 handicap Western Force with odds at 1.80 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our second option is the Western Force Double Chance with odds at 1.60 on Betway bookmaker.

Our last option is the Western Force to win with odds at 1.69 on Bet365 bookmaker.

Odds
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Western Force Double Chance
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type -1.5 handicap Western Force
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Odds 1,69
Bet Type Western Force to win
Bonus 250 USD
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