Date: Saturday, September 27th, 2025;
Kickoff Time: 08:05 am;
Stadium: Eden Park, Auckland
Check out our New Zealand vs Australia prediction now! See all the New Zealand vs Australia odds for the Rugby Championship - round 5. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!New Zealand vs Australia match start date and time
At exactly 08:05 AM on Sunday, September 27th, 2025, New Zealand and South Africa will battle it out at Eden Park, Auckland.
- Match: South Africa vs Argentina
- Date: Saturday, September 27th, 2025
- Kickoff Time: Allianz Stadium, Sydney
- Stadium: 07:00 am
Where to Watch New Zealand vs Australia
| TV channel | Fox League |
| Free-to-air channel | |
| Live stream | Kayo, Foxtel |
New Zealand: Form
New Zealand: LWLWW
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 10-43 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 24-17 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 29-22 New Zealand
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 24-41 New Zealand
- Friendly International: New Zealand 29-19 France
New Zealand are on the verge of getting redemption after falling short against South Africa by 10-43. In the last five matches, they have been able record three wins and two losses. The second loss came against the same Argentina by 29-22. It came through a narrow margin. Other victories were against Argentina by 24-41 and France by 29-19.
New Zealand: Team News
The Springboks would have to rely on other outcomes before their final two games against Argentina if New Zealand won, as they currently lead the standings with 10 points. The likelihood of them recovering would be low, despite their track record of success.
New Zealand: Expected Eleven
- Ethan de Groot
- Codie Taylor
- Fletcher Newell
- Scott Barrett (c)
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Simon Parker, Ardie Savea (vc)
- Wallace Sititi
- Finlay Christie
- Beauden Barrett
- Rieko Ioane
- Jordie Barrett (vc)
- Billy Proctor
- Emoni Narawa
- Will Jordan.
Australia: Form
Australia: WLWWL
- Rugby Championship: Australia 26-28 Argentina
- Rugby Championship: Australia 28-24 Argentina
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 30-22 Australia
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-38 Australia
- Lion Tour: Australia 22-12 British&Irish Lions
The Argentina`s has gotten the better of Australia in their fourth fixture of the season. They won the rugby match by 26-28, almost a flip score in which Australia won with last two weeks. The Australia time are on the verge with a serious challenge against New Zealand. With an enhanced set-piece and seasoned players supporting the scrum and maul defense, Australia will strive for a more organized strategy that emphasizes powerful kicking to control territory and pace. Paisami plays his first Test of the year in place of Ikitau, while Tane Edmed makes his debut as a starter, taking Lynagh's place after he was injured. James Slipper returns for his 149th Test after missing the last two with a concussion, and Jeremy Williams is recalled to the second row. Captain Harry Wilson, Fraser McReight, and Rob Valetini are still in the back row.
Australia: Team News
Tom Lynagh returns at fly half after missing Australia’s last two Tests, while captain Harry Wilson is back at number eight after a leg injury. Andrew Kellaway replaces the injured Tom White at fullback, and Tom Hooper steps in for Will Skelton in the second row after Skelton’s return to the French Top 14.
Australia: Expected Eleven
- Tom Robertson
- Billy Pollard
- Taniela Tupou
- Nick Frost
- Tom Hooper
- Rob Valetini
- Fraser McReight
- Harry Wilson
- Nic White
- Tom Lynagh
- Corey Toole
- Len Ikitau
- Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii
- Max Jorgensen
- Andrew Kellaway
Another Rugby Prediction
New Zealand vs Australia H2H Statistics
Considering the last five matches between New Zealand and Australia, New Zealand has been on top with five straight victories.
- 28.09.24: New Zealand 33-13 Australia
- 21.09.24: Australia 28-31 New Zealand
- 05.08.23: New Zealand 23-20 Australia
- 29.07.23: Australia 7-38 New Zealand
- 24.09.22: New Zealand 40-14 Australia
Who will win the match, New Zealand vs Australia?
Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Rugby Championship - round 5 match between New Zealand and Australia 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Australia a 85% chance of beating New Zealand in the Rugby Championship - round 5.
New Zealand vs Australia Betting Tips & Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Rugby Championship are shown here:
Head to Head: Australia $7.80, New Zealand $1.11,
Handicap: Australia +10.5 ($2.50), New Zealand -10.5 ($1.52)
Odd/Even: Odds $1.86, Even $1.84
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Australia at $7.80 and New Zealand at $1.11
Australia are listed as 46.5-point underdogs against New Zealand, with odds of $1.80 available at Bet365.
For the favourite New Zealand (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Australia (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.
New Zealand vs Australia Match Prediction
Last weekend, New Zealand defeated South Africa 24–17, extending their undefeated record at Eden Park since 1994. The stadium remained a fortress. The All Blacks know that another victory in Wellington would put them in a strong position to win the Rugby Championship again, and they currently lead the standings by one point. Despite not playing at their best last week, South Africa is committed to improving. Rassie Erasmus, the head coach, has changed the backline and pushed his players to play with greater conviction. We anticipate a robust response from the Springboks because New Zealand's record at Sky Stadium isn't as good as it is at Eden Park.
Our first option is -10.5 Handicap New Zealand with odds at 1.60 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.
Our second option is Odds Total with odds at 1.86 on Betway bookmaker.
Our last option is +12.5 Handicap Australia with odds at 2.16 on Bet365 bookmaker.
Other predictions
