Match: New Zealand vs South Africa
Eden Park, Auckland
Saturday, September 6th, 2025, 07:30 am (AEST)
Check out our New Zealand vs South Africa prediction now! See all the New Zealand vs South Africa odds for the Rugby Championship. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!New Zealand vs South Africa match start date and time
At exactly 10:005 AM on Sunday, the September 6th, 2025, New Zealand and South Africa will battle it out at Eden Park, Auckland.
- Match: New Zealand vs South Africa
- Date: Saturday, September 6th, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 10:05 am
- Stadium: Eden Park, Auckland
Where to Watch New Zealand vs South Africa: Free live stream, free-to-air channel
| TV channel | Fox League |
| Free-to-air channel | |
| Live stream | Kayo, Foxtel |
New Zealand: Form
New Zealand: LWWWW
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 29-22 New Zealand
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 24-41 New Zealand
- Friendly International: New Zealand 29-19 France
- Friendly International: New Zealand 43-17 France
- Friendly International: New Zealand 31-27
Heading into the third round of the Rugby Championship, New Zealand faces pressure to perform. Not only are they chasing the title, but they’re also defending a 50-match winning streak at Eden Park, which dates back to 1994. However, they come into this game without momentum after losing 29-23 to Argentina in their last match. New Zealand started the tournament strong, comfortably beating Argentina in the opening game. But they were beaten 29-23 by Los Pumas the following week, leaving all four teams with one win and one loss.
New Zealand: Team News
Saturday will mark a milestone for New Zealand vice-captain Ardie Savea, as he prepares for his 100th Test appearance. Coach Scott Robertson has some injury concerns and may rethink a few positions due to players struggling for form. Given Argentina’s dominance in the air, there could be a change, with Damian McKenzie starting at fullback and Will Jordan moving to the wing.
New Zealand: Expected Eleven
- Ethan de Groot
- Codie Taylor
- Fletcher Newell
- Scott Barrett (c)
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Simon Parker, Ardie Savea (vc)
- Wallace Sititi
- Finlay Christie
- Beauden Barrett
- Rieko Ioane
- Jordie Barrett (vc)
- Billy Proctor
- Emoni Narawa
- Will Jordan
South Africa: Form
South Africa: WLWWW
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 30-22 Australia
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-38 Australia
- Friendly International: South Africa 55-10 Georgia
- Friendly International: South Africa 45-0 Italy
- Friendly International: South Africa 42-24 Italy
It’s hard to fully judge the Springboks’ performance this year. They had strong wins against Italy, Georgia, and the Barbarians, but the competition wasn’t the toughest. They were underprepared in their first match against the Wallabies. South Africa started the 2025 Rugby Championship with a surprising loss to Australia but bounced back with a 30-22 win in Cape Town. They’ve won the last four meetings against the All Blacks, including the 2023 World Cup final, but haven’t won at Eden Park since 1937, with New Zealand maintaining an impressive 50-game unbeaten streak. While Australia played excellently, South Africa will be concerned about their 22-point lead slipping away in the first Test, something they don’t usually allow. In the second Test, they responded with a 30-22 win, adjusting their style of play. The wet conditions in Cape Town made the kicking game more effective, but they still faced significant pressure.
South Africa - Team News
Rassie Erasmus has delayed the team announcement until Thursday, instead of the usual Tuesday. There’s much speculation about the starting lineup, especially at flyhalf, and given Erasmus' history, surprises are expected. Siya Kolisi will play at number eight, and Jesse Kriel will captain the side from the centres.
South Africa - Squad for the Match
- Ox Nche
- Malcolm Marx
- Thomas du Toit
- Eben Etzebeth
- Ruan Nortje
- Marco van Staden
- Pieter-Steph du Toit
- Siya Kolisi
- Grant Williams
- Handré Pollard
- Canan Moodie
- Damian de Allende
- Jesse Kriel (c)
- Cheslin Kolbe
- Willie le Roux.
Another Rugby Prediction
New Zealand vs South Africa H2H Statistics
Considering the last five matches between New Zealand and South Africa, South Africa has been on top with four straight victories.
- 07.09.24: South Africa 18-12 New Zealand
- 31.08.24: South Africa 31-27 New Zealand
- 28.10.23: New Zealand 11-12 South Africa
- 25.08.23: New Zealand 7-35 South Africa
- 15.07.23: New Zealand 35-20 South Africa
Who will win the match, New Zealand vs South Africa?
Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Rugby Championship match between New Zealand and South Africa 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives South Africa W a 95% chance of beating Brazil W in the Rugby Championship.
New Zealand vs South Africa Betting Tips & Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Rugby Championship are shown here:
Head to Head: South Africa $2.93, New Zealand $1.59,
Handicap: South Africa +3.5 ($1.72), New Zealand -3.5 ($1.90)
Total: Over 47.5 $1.83, Under 47.5 $1.83
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has South Africa at $1.83 and New Zealand at $1.00
The South Africa are listed as 46.5-point underdogs against New Zealand, with odds of $1.80 available at Bet365.
For the favourite South Africa (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the South Africa W (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.
New Zealand vs South Africa Match Prediction
The loss to Argentina raised concerns, especially as they dominated the gainline, won the aerial battle, and stifled New Zealand's attack. While the All Blacks’ attack is expected to improve naturally, their struggles with the high ball remain a major worry. South Africa is likely to target this weakness and test New Zealand’s back three.
Our first option is South Africa to win with odds at 2.379 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.
Our second option is Over 48.5 total with odds at 1.89 on Betway bookmaker.
Our last option is Double chance South Africa with odds at 3.10 on Bet365 bookmaker.
Other predictions
