Match: New Zealand vs South Africa
Sky Stadium, Wellington
Saturday, September 13th, 2025, 10:05 am (AEST)
Check out our New Zealand vs South Africa prediction now! See all the New Zealand vs South Africa odds for the Rugby Championship. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.
Claim Your Welcome Bonus!New Zealand vs South Africa match start date and time
At exactly 10:05 AM on Sunday, September 13th, 2025, New Zealand and South Africa will battle it out at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
- Match: New Zealand vs South Africa
- Date: Saturday, September 13th, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 10:05 am
- Stadium: Sky Stadium, Wellington
Where to Watch New Zealand vs South Africa: Free live stream, free-to-air channel
| TV channel | Fox League |
| Free-to-air channel | |
| Live stream | Kayo, Foxtel |
New Zealand: Form
New Zealand: WLWWW
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 24-17 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 29-22 New Zealand
- Rugby Championship: Argentina 24-41 New Zealand
- Friendly International: New Zealand 29-19 France
- Friendly International: New Zealand 43-17 France
Following a difficult defeat in Auckland, the All Blacks make their way back to Wellington. In order to guide the team's response, coach Scott Robertson has bolstered the pack and called upon seasoned players like Ardie Savea and Beauden Barrett. They will concentrate on using tactical kicking, fast ruck recycling, and strong set-piece execution to control territory. Anticipate a fast-paced start as New Zealand looks to recover from a performance that had flashes of strength but broke under duress. They have a strong desire to finish strong when playing at home. The Springboks have only won one of their first three games, defeating Australia in Johannesburg before winning in Cape Town. Despite having a negative points differential and being tied on points, they are third in the standings and ahead of Argentina in terms of tries scored.
New Zealand: Team News
The Springboks would have to rely on other outcomes before their final two games against Argentina if New Zealand won, as they currently lead the standings with 10 points. The likelihood of them recovering would be low, despite their track record of success.
New Zealand: Expected Eleven
- Ethan de Groot
- Codie Taylor
- Fletcher Newell
- Scott Barrett (c)
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Simon Parker, Ardie Savea (vc)
- Wallace Sititi
- Finlay Christie
- Beauden Barrett
- Rieko Ioane
- Jordie Barrett (vc)
- Billy Proctor
- Emoni Narawa
- Will Jordan.
South Africa: Form
South Africa: WLWWW
- Rugby Championship: New Zealand 24-17 South Africa
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 30-22 Australia
- Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-38 Australia
- Friendly International: South Africa 55-10 Georgia
- Friendly International: South Africa 45-0 Italy
The Springboks are finding their rhythm, with strong defensive play and powerful forward carries. Under Rassie Erasmus, the team blends raw strength with structured strategy, and their kicking game remains one of the best. Key players like Siya Kolisi, Damian Willemse, and Malcolm Marx will be crucial in breaking New Zealand’s defense. A win in Wellington would keep their title defense hopes alive. On the bench, the Springboks have a 5-3 split, with scrumhalf Williams, flyhalf Manie Libbok, and center Andre Esterhuizen as the three backs.
South Africa - Team News
Scott Robertson has named sevens star Leroy Carter as the ninth debutant of the year, starting on the wing ahead of Rieko Ioane. Will Jordan moves to the right wing to cover the injured Emoni Narawa, with Damian McKenzie shifting to fullback, creating space for Rueben Love on the bench.
South Africa - Squad for the Match
- Ox Nche
- Malcolm Marx
- Thomas du Toit
- Eben Etzebeth
- Ruan Nortje
- Marco van Staden
- Pieter-Steph du Toit
- Siya Kolisi
- Grant Williams
- Handré Pollard
- Canan Moodie
- Damian de Allende
- Jesse Kriel (c)
- Cheslin Kolbe
- Willie le Roux.
Another Rugby Prediction
New Zealand vs South Africa H2H Statistics
Considering the last five matches between New Zealand and South Africa, South Africa has been on top with four straight victories.
- 06.09.25: New Zealand 24-17 South Africa
- 07.09.24: South Africa 18-12 New Zealand
- 31.08.24: South Africa 31-27 New Zealand
- 28.10.23: New Zealand 11-12 South Africa
- 25.08.23: New Zealand 7-35 South Africa
- 15.07.23: New Zealand 35-20 South Africa
Who will win the match, New Zealand vs South Africa?
Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Rugby Championship match between New Zealand and South Africa 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives South Africa a 55% chance of beating New Zealand in the Rugby Championship.
New Zealand vs South Africa Betting Tips & Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Rugby Championship are shown here:
Head to Head: South Africa $2.496, New Zealand $1.59,
Handicap: South Africa +1.5 ($1.67), New Zealand -1.5 ($2.12)
Total: Over 48.5 $1.83, Under 48.5 $1.83
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has South Africa at $1.83 and New Zealand at $1.00
South Africa are listed as 46.5-point underdogs against New Zealand, with odds of $1.80 available at Bet365.
For the favourite New Zealand (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the South Africa W (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.
New Zealand vs South Africa Match Prediction
Last weekend, New Zealand defeated South Africa 24–17, extending their undefeated record at Eden Park since 1994. The stadium remained a fortress. The All Blacks know that another victory in Wellington would put them in a strong position to win the Rugby Championship again, and they currently lead the standings by one point. Despite not playing at their best last week, South Africa is committed to improving. Rassie Erasmus, the head coach, has changed the backline and pushed his players to play with greater conviction. We anticipate a robust response from the Springboks because New Zealand's record at Sky Stadium isn't as good as it is at Eden Park.
Our first option is South Africa to win with odds at 2.379 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.
Our second option is Over 48.5 total with odds at 1.89 on Betway bookmaker.
Our last option is +6.5 Handicap South Africa with odds at 1.66 on Bet365 bookmaker.
Other predictions
