South Africa vs Australia Prediction: Can South Africa bounce back from a shocking round 1 defeat to Australia?

South Africa
South Africa
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Day
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Finished
Live
23 Aug 2025 18:23
Australia
Australia
Rugby Championship - Round 2
Match: South Africa vs Australia
Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town
Saturday, August 23rd, 2025, 18:10 pm (AEST)
Olakunle Emmanuel
21 Aug 2025
22:17
Statistics of the month:
3
2
2
42.86%
Statistics
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Odds 1,86
Bet Type +13.5 Handicap for Australia
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South Africa vs Australia Prediction and Bet Rugby Championship 23 August 2025

Check out our South Africa vs Australia prediction now! See all the South Africa vs Australia odds for the Rugby Championship - Round 2. At Telecom Asia, we look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities. 

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At exactly 18:10 PM on Saturday, the 23rd of August 2025, South Africa and Australia will battle it out atCape Town Stadium, Cape Town.

  • Match: South Africa vs Australia
  • Date: Saturday, 23rd of August 2025
  • Kick-Off TIme: 18:10 PM
  • Stadium: Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town
TV channelSky Sports, UK
Free-to-air channel-
Live streamSky Go, NOW, SuperSport Rugby, FloSports Rugby

South Africa: LWWWW

  • Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-38 Australia
  • Friendly International: South Africa 55-10 Georgia
  • Friendly International: South Africa 45-0 Italy
  • Friendly International: South Africa 42-24 Italy
  • Friendly International: South Africa 54-7 Barbarians

The Wallabies are back in South Africa for the first time in more than two years. They suffered a loss to Australia by a score of 22-38. The Boks quickly took control of the game with tries from Kurt-Lee Arendse, Andre Esterhuizen, and captain Siya Kolisi. However, the away side refused to surrender without a fight. South Africa Were On A Four-Game Win Streak Against Australia In Men's Tests, Outscoring Them By An Average Of 22.8 Points Per Game During That Stretch. 

The Springboks will line up with a much-changed side this weekend. Coach Erasmus has dropped 10 players from the side that lost to Australia in Johannesburg. This suggests Erasmus is desperate to avenge the first match loss. They have the firepower to punish the Wallabies.

  • Tom Robertson
  • Billy Pollard
  • Taniela Tupou
  • Nick Frost
  • Will Skelton
  • Tom Hooper
  • Fraser McReight
  • Rob Valetini
  • Nic White
  • James O’Connor
  • Corey Toole
  • Len Ikitau
  • Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii
  • Max Jorgensen
  • Tom Wright

Australia: WWLLW

  • Rugby Championship: South Africa 22-38 Australia
  • Lions Tour: Australia 22-12 British&Irish Lions
  • Lions Tour: Australia 26-29 British&Irish Lions
  • Lions Tour: Australia 19-27 British&Irish Lions
  • Friendly International: Australia 21-18 Fiji

Australia has shown clear progress under coach Joe Schmidt. Last weekend’s historic win has boosted their confidence. They will aim to cause another upset against the hosts. However, this will not be easy. They have lost seven straight matches at DHL Stadium in Cape Town. Even so, Australia made those games competitive. In each match, they did not allow the Springboks to score more than 30 points.

Australia reshuffled their bench for the Rugby Championship clash with South Africa, replacing Nick Champion de Crespigny with fly-half cover Tane Edmed after Ben Donaldson’s injury. James O’Connor returns after three years, partnering with Nic White for experienced halfback leadership.

  • James Slipper
  • Billy Pollard
  • Taniela Tupou
  • Nick Frost
  • Will Skelton
  • Tom Hooper
  • Fraser Mcreight
  • Harry Wilson (C)
  • Nic White
  • Tom Lynagh
  • Dylan Pietsch
  • Len Ikitau
  • Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii
  • Max Jorgensen
  • Tom Wright

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Both teams, South Africa and Australia, have faced each other since 2008. In the last five encounters between the two teams, South Africa has recorded four wins and a loss.

  • 16/08/25: South Africa 22-38 Australia
  • 17/08/24: Australia 12-30 South Africa
  • 10/08/24: Australia 7-33 South Africa
  • 08/07/23: Australia 43-12 South Africa
  • 03/09/22: Australia 8-24 South Africa

Using advanced computer power and data, Telecom Asia has simulated the result of the Rugby Championship - Round 2 South Africa vs Australia Rugby match 10,000 times. Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives South Africa an 85% chance of beating Australia in the Rugby Championship - Round 2 season.

The latest Bet365 betting odds for the Rugby Championship - Round 1 are shown here:

Head to Head: South Africa $1.12, Australia $6.00,

Handicap: South Africa -13.5 ($1.92), Australia +16.5 ($1.86)

Total: Over 53.5 $1.89, Under 53.5 $1.89

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Australia at $6.00 and South Africa at $1.12

Australia is listed as 13.5-point underdogs against South Africa, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite South Africa (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.12.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the South Africa (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay over 55% of the time.

Two giants of rugby clash again. The Wallabies made a change to their bench ahead of Round 1 of the Rugby Championship game between South Africa and Australia. Edmed is in, and De Crespigny is out. Hard yards on the training pitch will ensure South Africa is operating at full throttle. They kick off their Rugby Championship campaign against Australia in Johannesburg on Saturday. South Africa are unbeaten in their last eight men's tests against Australia in South Africa. They have seven wins and one draw. They haven't lost at home to the Wallabies since a 9-14 defeat in 2011. Their 43-12 win in their most recent home test against the Wallabies was their biggest win against them since 2008. It was also their third-biggest ever. Through their touring history in South Africa since 1933, Australia has found the going tough. This is backed by their 10 wins in 48 matches on these shores. These two teams have played three times at the Rugby World Cup. First, South Africa won one game. Then Stephen Larkham scored an amazing drop goal to win the match. Next, they played again in 2011. This was in the Rugby World Cup quarterfinal. Many people say this was one of the most controversial games ever. During the match, South Africa played better than Australia. However, Australia still won 11-9. Even today, many critics question the referee's decisions from that game. I predict Australia covering the +13.5 spread against South Africa in Cape Town.

Our first option is +13.5 Handicap for Australia with odds at 1.86 Odds on 1Xbet bookmaker.

Our second option is Over 53.5 round with odds at 1.89 on Betway bookmaker.

Our last option is Under 35.5 Team 1 with odds at 1.952 on Bet365 bookmaker.

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Odds 1,86
Bet Type +13.5 Handicap for Australia
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Odds 1,89
Bet Type Over 53.5 round
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,952
Bet Type Under 35.5 Team 1
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