Alexander Bublik vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction: Can in-form Alexander Bublik stop Arthur Cazaux from winning his first ATP title on red clay?

Alexander Bublik
Alexander Bublik
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Finished
Live
26 Jul 2025 15:30
Arthur Cazaux
Arthur Cazaux
Tennis ATP 250 Kizbuhel Austria Final
26 July 2025 | 15:30
Centre Court Kitzbuehel Austria
Red Clay
Raphael George
25 Jul 2025
23:12
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
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Odds 1,89
Bet Type Bublik straight win in straight sets
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Alexander Bublik vs Arthur Cazaux: Prediction for the Match on July 26, 2025

The Generali Open Kitzbühel final of 2025 will be revealing Alexander Bublik and Arthur Cazaux for an encounter on July 26 at 15:30 hours local time on the Centre Court. The matchup brings together a contrasting tale: Bublik walks in red-hot from securing his maiden clay title at Gstaad, and Cazaux is just making his maiden breakthrough to an ATP final. Experience and momentum of Bublik are pitted against youthful exuberance and determination of Cazaux, ensuring a thrilling incident to crown the tournament.

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Alexander Bublik, at No. 30 in the ATP ranking, goes into the Kitzbühel final on a five-match winning streak, having won his first clay-court trophy last week in Gstaad-the sixth of his career. In the final at Gstaad, he defeated Juan Manuel Cerúndolo 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 after dropping 13 aces and 47 winners against him.

A terrific 2025 season started off with the quarterfinals of Roland Garros, defeating Jack Draper and Alex de Minaur, followed by winning the grass-court title in Halle, overcoming Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner. Bublik claims his success on clay to be a different racquet and a more balanced state of mind concerning the sport.

Social media has supported his "strategic and inventive" playing style and "very animated" post-match interviews. Riding high on confidence and form, Bublik should again add a trophy in his 2025 resurgence by winning Kitzbühel.

Arthur Cazaux (currently ranked No. 100 in live ATP rankings; highest was No. 63) is having a career week at Kitzbühel, winning his first-ever ATP Tour final at only 22 years of age. Having come back from injuries earlier in the season, the young Frenchman has given a good account of himself in Kitzbühel, beating Francisco Comesana, Jan-Lennard Struff, Ignacio Buse, and Arthur Rinderknech (7–5, 6–3) in the final. 

Cazaux now ranks about 25 places higher than before and sits just outside his career-best position. He has been lauded for maintaining composure in rain delays and for finishing on an upbeat note, saying after his semifinal triumph: "I'm really happy... tennis is tough... I hope I can continue on this way tomorrow."

Also earlier in the month, he reached the Gstaad semifinals, only to lose to Bublik, so this draw sets the stage for potential revenge. Many on social media and post-match interviews hail Cazaux as one of the greatest French prospects on clay.

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Alexander Bublik leads 2–0 against Arthur Cazaux in their head-to-head record. He just recently defeated Cazaux in the Gstaad semifinal (6–1, 7–5), and also earlier in 2024 at Wimbledon (6–4, 7–6(1), 6–4). Topically, Bublik has never lost a set against Cazaux.

  • Clay-court form: Bublik has been on a five-match unbeaten streak, including titles at Gstaad and really deep progress in Kitzbühel, and he's thriving on the clay.
  • Cazaux thriving despite adversity: He managed to reach his inaugural final despite terrible weather and heavy rains, thereby displaying his mental fortitude.
  • Head to head: Bublik has a 2–0 record against Cazaux with no sets dropped and with the last meeting on clay as well.
  • This is where serving matters: Bublik will win more than 80% of his first-serve points, whereas Cazaux's numbers dwindle the moment the pressure is on.
  • Underdog value for Cazaux: This being his first ATP final may make him an underrated pick betting-wise-an interesting prospect for those willing to lay down some cash weighing for an upset.

In the lead-up to the Kitzbühel final, Bublik is the outright favorite, and his clay-court form is right there with him. Still, there is less to be diluted with Cazaux underdog's story. Below are three of the best betting tips:

Bublik straight win in straight sets at 1.89 odds on Bet365.com — Bublik is 2-0 in the head-to-head, has never dropped a set to Cazaux, and is now fully prepared for clay. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐)

Total games under 24.5 at 1.6 odds on 1xbet.com — Prior encounters were won in under 20 games. Mostly owing to Bublik’s huge serving and Cazaux might get nervous being in his first final, short sets can be expected. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

First set over 9.5 games at 1.74 odds on Betway.com — Cazaux has been holding serve fairly well at the start of matches this week. While Bublik usually starts a little bit slow, it is likely to be a tight opening set before Bublik pulls away. (Rating: ⭐⭐)

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Odds 1,89
Bet Type Bublik straight win in straight sets
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Odds 1,6
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