Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction: Top seed Zverev faces defending champion Popyrin

Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
04 Aug 2025 19:30
Alexei Popyrin
Alexei Popyrin
Tennis ATP 1000 Toronto Canada Quarterfinal
04 August 2025 | 19:30
Centre Court Toronto Canada 
Outdoor Hard
Raphael George
03 Aug 2025
16:02
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type Popyrin to win a set
Bonus 250 USD
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Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin: Prediction for the Match on August 04, 2025

In the National Bank Open in Toronto, the Zverev vs Popyrin prediction holds the spotlight in this fascinating ATP 1000 quarter-final clash. Zverev, world No. 3, top seed of the tournament, aims at his second Canadian Open title. On the other hand, Alexei Popyrin, currently ranked No. 26, defends his 2024 crown by storm, making the race very much his to lose. Blending pressure and experience, this one will witness some deep exchanges on hard courts, filled with tactical drilling, according to this Toronto ATP betting preview. 

Keywords: Zverev vs Popyrin prediction, Toronto ATP 1000 betting tips, Canadian Open 2025 preview, Zverev Popyrin odds, ATP Toronto quarter-final analysis, Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin, Canadian Open betting trends, tennis predictions today. 

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Entering the quarterfinal stage as the world No. 3, Alexander Zverev certainly has been the prime focus of the words "stellar 2025 season" and "wins indoors and on hard courts with consistency." In Toronto, his run-in with Adam Walton witnessed him cruising past 7-6(6), 6-4, and he got past Matteo Arnaldi 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-2 before moving on against Francisco Cerundolo who retired 6-4, 1-0 down in that match, thereby recording his 500th ATP Tour-level match victory. The social media space had admired his mind's composure and resilience, pointing particularly towards his display of controlled aggression in eliminating Cerundolo. In a recent statement, Zverev admitted to a "tough stretch" this season, mentioning the mental demands that come with the ATP Masters 1000 schedule and how recovery and focus are indispensable. Zverev entered fully prepared for this Canadian Open quarterfinal, having already tasted success in Canada - winning the title in 2017, and bolstered by the potent serve-versus-return combo.

Alexei Popyrin, ATP world No. 26, remains the Canadian Open defending champion, having charted a breakthrough run in 2024 as a non-seeded wunderkind, just world No. 62 at the time. In Toronto 2025, after cruising past Nicolas Arseneault 7-6 (9-7), 6-3 in the second round, Popyrin upset world No. 10 Daniil Medvedev 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, coming back from behind and then did the same against world No. 9 Holger Rune, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, even though he squandered 11 break points in the first set. He has won seven of the last nine matches against top-10 players, his Canadian Open win record being extended to nine matches. Fans and commentators on social media praised his calmer mental approach and his aggressive forehand in these matches. Speaking in interviews, he talked about "letting go of the pressure" and with an assertive, proactive return game powering his title defense. Popyrin rides on momentum, confidence, and hunger to replicate his Masters 1000 run, posing actual threats for this high-stakes Toronto ATP match.

Zverev leads their head‑to‑head series 3‑0, including a straight‑sets victory over Popyrin at the 2024 Paris Olympics (7‑5, 6‑3).

  • Zverev dominates on serve: Wins 71.5% of service points vs Popyrin’s 69.8%.
  • Return edge to Zverev: Wins 40.8% of return points vs Popyrin in H2H.
  • Popyrin struggles on hard courts: Under 50% win rate on hard in 2025.
  • Break-point efficiency favours Zverev: Converts 33.5% vs Popyrin’s 26.4%.
  • Popyrin record vs top-10: 7 wins vs top-10 players in past 12 months.

Zverev’s H2H dominance and superior serve game make him the favourite, but Popyrin’s recent form demands respect. I believe Alexander Zverev will prevail in what should be a close, tactical quarter-final:

Top 3 betting tips for the match are:- 

Popyrin to win a set at 1.84 odds on Betway.com – Popyrin beat Medvedev and Rune, playing fearless tennis. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)

–––

Over 22.5 games at 1.787 odds on 1xbet.com – Both serve well; potential for a decider or tiebreak. (Rating ⭐⭐⭐)

–––

Zverev 2–1 correct score at 3.66 odds on Bet365.com – Popyrin could grab a set before Zverev closes. (Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,84
Bet Type Popyrin to win a set
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,787
Bet Type Over 22.5 games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 3,66
Bet Type Zverev 2–1 correct score
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