Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys: Prediction for the Match on November 03, 2025
As the arena lights shine down on Center Court in Riyadh, the atmosphere buzzes with excitement—two Americans, two stories, one night. For the 24-year-old Amanda Anisimova from Florida, 2025 has started as a comeback story: Champion titles in Doha and Beijing, finals appearances at Wimbledon and the US Open, all after taking a step back for her mental health. Now ranked No. 4 in the world, she is looking to cap the year off with a Finals trophy.
Across the net, 30-year-old Madison Keys, fresh off her first Grand Slam win in Australia in January, is experiencing a comeback of sorts herself—middle of a fierce match against Swiatek, she won after saving match point and then went on to beat Sabalenka.
Keys, facing injuries and a disappointing US Open, is back at the Finals for the first time since 2016 and is desperate for a win after facing Swiatek. Anisimova is given a solid 68% chance of winning, primarily due to her impressive 45.3% breakpoint conversion. Anisimova has the speed and the powerful flat shots that the court in Riyadh loves, while Keys has the 67.8% first serve percentage to dictate the pace of the match. A win for Anisimova will flip Group B, bury old scores, and cement her in the top 5.
2025 indoor hard season: Anisimova 10-2, Keys 6-4.
Claim Welcome Bonus🇺🇸 Amanda Anisimova: Form and Statistics
This year, Anisimova has gone 45-16, earning 14 wins against top-10 players (WTA). Her wins at Doha and Beijing and finals at Wimbledon and the US Open undoubtedly silenced the criticisms she had received during her 2023 break. In the WTA final, she beat Noskova 6-0, 2-6, 6-2, managing to save 8 of 10 break points and winning a very close final. In her last five matches played indoors, she recorded 6-1, 6-2 wins over Gauff; 6-0, 2-6, 6-2 against Noskova; and 7-5, 6-4 against Paolini; lost to Rybakina 3-6, 1-6; and 6-3, 6-2 against Ostapenko (Tennis Abstract).
In the WTA presser after Beijing on October 6, she declared, “This is for everyone who stuck with me—I’m only getting started,” while her eyes shined with excitement. More impressive is her US Open semi-final match on September 5, where she beat Osaka 6-7(4), 7-6(3), 6-3. She ended the year with 206 aces, an increase of 22% from 2024 (WTA). Anisimova wins 48% of her points from rallies lasting 10 shots or longer (Tennis Abstract). Against Keys, she will rip inside-out forehands to the backhand, a move that pulled 28 errors in practice sets (WTA) and will rush Keys on the fast courts.
🇺🇸 Madison Keys: Form and Statistics
Keys' record stands at 37-13, including 12-2 on Slam which was capped by the Australian Open title, and Adelaide gold which pushed her to 7th, despite thigh niggles all year. She opened Riyadh with a 6-1, 6-2 loss to Swiatek, saving 4 of 7 breaks but spraying 18 unforced errors in 61 minutes (WTA). That sting echoes her AO fire, with husband-coach Bjorn Fratangelo and therapy-forged calm. Last five indoors: lost to Swiatek 1-6, 2-6; beat Pegula 6-4, 7-5; beat Sabalenka 7-6(5), 6-3; lost to Gauff 4-6, 6-3, 3-6; beat Pliskova 6-2, 6-4 (Tennis Abstract). “Therapy changed everything—it’s about owning the journey,” she said after Australia on January 25 (WTA presser). Zoom in: Indian Wells semis on March 15 she hit 11 aces against Sabalenka before the thigh acted up (WTA). She averages 7.2 aces indoors and wins 67.8% of first-serve points, 52% on second under pressure (Tennis Abstract). Against Anisimova she’ll blast crosscourt forehands at the second serve, winning 61% of thorn with those points in hard-court drills, and force mistakes in long rallies.
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Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Statistics
Head-to-head: 0-0 (WTA). They’ve been avoiding each other since juniors and not played yet on tour—Riyadh writes the first chapter. No history means pure styles: Anisimova’s backhand missiles versus Keys’ forehand freight train, zero baggage. Indoor hard: Anisimova 10-2 with 45.3% break conversions; Keys 6-4 with 79% holds (WTA)—expect lots of service games. Prop tease: over 21.5 games @ 2.005—models say 22+ in 65% of sims. Keys +3.5 games @ 1.946—her serve saves margin in 70% of close sets (Tennis Abstract)
Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys Betting Tips and Odds
- Anisimova ML @ 1.465 (1xbet, 03-Nov 15:30) — 68% edge plus Beijing heat beats Keys’ rust.
- Anisimova -3.5 games @ 1.915 — She covers by 4+ in 62% of indoor wins off Keys’ double-faults.
- Under 21.5 games @ 1.86 — 70% of Anisimova’s big deciders stay short.
Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys Match Prediction
Predicting who wins? Amanda Anisimova with 68%. Here is Anisimova turning firefighting Beijing into gold in Riyadh, her 45.3% (WTA) break conversion chip stats against Keys before the vet finds her flow.
Set one: Anisimova serves over 66.1% first serve points in the sets and breaks serves in the three games of first set, ripping 14 backhand winners and 6-3 staving off Keys while she was later in thigh trouble.
Set two: Keys serves her first serves. Anisimova’s long reaches win 48% on l rally at the 3-3 breaks to snag the re-break and claim 6-4.
No third set—Anisimova’s stamina (up 18% since return) shuts the door. Keys needs 75% first serves and her AO magic for straights; anything less and the returns feast. 20%, is the 1 in the 20 for upset.
Final scoreline: 6-3, 6-4.
In the last take, Anisimova plants a flag. Anisimova’s fire is for the next fight.
Top 3 Recommended Bets:
Anisimova -1.5 games @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)
Anisimova -3.5 games @ 1.915 odds on Betway (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)
Under 21.5 games @ 1.86 odds on Bet365 (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)
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