Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction: don’t underestimate Rublev

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Prediction for the Match on August 3, 2025

As part of the round of 16 of the tournament in Toronto, the 11th racket of the world Andrey Rublev will compete with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, now the 19th number of the world ranking. The guys had crossed paths 6 times before in the Tour, the score of the confrontation is 5:1 in favor of the Russian, and the bookmakers are paired on the side of Alejandro, they believe that the 19th racket of the world has the best chance of success in the upcoming game. Let's find out if the bookmakers are right in putting up such a line for a meeting.

Andrey Rublev: form and statistics

Andrey played well at Wimbledon, reached the fourth round of the Major, knocking out Gyeres, Harris and Mannarino, losing to future finalist Alcaraz. Rublev played three matches in Los Cabos after Wimbledon. In Mexico, the Russian has two wins, over the local player Hernandez in two sets and over the American Nava in three games and a defeat by the American Kovacevich in three sets. Rublev had an unsuccessful trip to Washington last week, where he lost to American Thien in two sets in the first match. In Toronto, Andrey won in two sets over Frenchman Gaston and in three games over Italian Sonego. The score of the match against Sony 5:7, 6:4, 6:3 in favor of the Russian, the match lasted two hours and 33 minutes. During the game, Andrey made 6 aces with two double faults, won 88% of the points on the first serve and 32% on the second.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: form and statistics

For Alejandro, the Toronto tournament was the third hard-hitting tournament after Wimbledon, where the Spaniard reached the 3rd round. In Los Cabos, the Spaniard lost to Duckworth in two sets. In Washington, Davidovich Fokina has victories over compatriot Munyar, Americans Thien, Fritz and Shelton and a defeat in the final by Alex De Minaur. In Toronto, Alejandro beat Frenchman Moute and Czech Menshik in two sets. The score against Menshik was 6:2, 6:4 in favor of Alejandro, the match lasted an hour and 17 minutes. During the game, the Spaniard made 2 aces with one double fault, won 68% of the points on the first serve and 74% on the second.

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: head to head statistics

Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina played each other six times, 5:1 in favor of Rublev. The guys crossed paths twice on the hard court, 2:0 in favor of Rublev, Andrey won in 2023 in Dubai and in 2024 in Beijing. In 2025, the guys played one personal meeting in Barcelona, which the Spaniard won in two sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match prediction 3 August 2025

Both have good playing practice on the hard courts, last week the Spaniard even reached the finals of the tournament in Washington. The bookmakers are paired on Alejandro's side, however, it is important to note that Rublev won both matches against the Pyrenean on the hard surface, and Alejandro's only victory over Andrey happened on the ground. We are paired on the side of the outsider, we believe that the bookmakers underestimate Rublev. As for the total, we are waiting for a protracted match.

Our main prediction: is W1 for a coefficient of 2.00 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: is Total Over 22.5 for a coefficient 1.82 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: is Correct Score 2:1 for a coefficient of 4.33 in the bet365 bookmaker.