Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito Nishioka Prediction: Andrey May Be Overestimated

Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito Nishioka: Prediction for the Match on October 4, 2025

As part of the 1/32 final of the tournament in Beijing, Andrey Rublev, the number 14 in the world rankings, will face Yoshihito Nishioka, who is currently ranked 157 in the world. These two players have crossed paths five times before in their career, with Rublev winning three times and Nishioka winning twice. The bookmakers have favored Rublev in this match, believing he has the best chance of success. We will see if the bookies are right when the game takes place.

Andrey Rublev: form and statistics

After the US Open, where Rublev reached the fourth round and lost to Auger-Aliassim at that stage, he played two more matches at tournaments in Hangzhou and Beijing. In the first match, he faced Frenchman Royer and lost with a score of 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Royer. The match lasted for an hour and 53 minutes, during which Rublev made four aces, with four double faults, and won 71% of the points on his first serve and 45% on his second serve. His reception statistics were 22% and 50%, and his winners/forced error statistics were 11-21.

Yoshihito Nishioka: form and statistics

Last week, Nishioka failed to qualify for the tournament in Tokyo. He lost in the first round to the Italian player Darderi, in two sets. However, he has already won three tournaments in Shanghai. In the qualifying rounds, he defeated Noguchi and Vukic, and in the main draw, he beat Kazakh player Shevchenko, also in two sets. The score was 6-1, 6-2 in his favor, and the match lasted one hour and twelve minutes. During the match, Nishioka made two aces, with no double faults, and won 68% of the points on his first serve, and 56% on his second serve. His reception statistics were 30% and 88%, and he had 9 winners and 12 errors.

Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito Nishioka: Head-to-Head Statistics

Nishioka and Andrey Rublev have played five times, with Andrey winning three matches. Their last meeting was at the 2023 Masters tournament in Paris, where Andrey won in two sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito Nishioka: Match Prediction, October 4

Considering Rublev's recent performance, it has been a losing streak of three matches without winning sets. During this period, Andrey has failed in two Chinese tournaments, being eliminated from both after the first rounds. In Hangzhou and Beijing, his defeats against Roye and Cobolli are not against top rivals. Nishioka has not had much success recently either, but in Shanghai, he had three solid victories in two sets against the Asian opponent Shevchenko. In addition, we doubt that Nishioka respects the representative of the top 15 ranking because he has already defeated the Russian twice, both times on hard courts. We believe that Rublev may be overestimated, and we are backing the underdog in this matchup.

Our main prediction: W2 for a coefficient of 4.00 in the betway bookmaker.

Our betting tip on the match: IT2O (9.5) for a coefficient 1.69 in the 1xbet bookmaker.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1:2 for a coefficient 7.00 in the bet365 bookmaker.