Argentina vs Germany Prediction: Argentina 22% Chance to Outlast Germany in Davis Cup 2025

Argentina
Argentina
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Day
Hours
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Seconds
Finished
Live
20 Nov 2025 19:00
Germany
Germany
Tennis Davis Cup Finals Quarterfinals
20.11.2025 | 19:00 MSK 
SuperTennis Arena - BolognaFiere Bologna Italy
Hard Surface
Raphael George
20 Nov 2025
11:35
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Under 2.5 set
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Argentina vs Germany: Prediction for the Match on November 20, 2025

Tonight at 19:00 MSK, the SuperTennis Arena in Bologna will be charged with excitement as Argentina faces Germany in an eagerly anticipated Davis Cup quarterfinal. Argentina, thriving on the momentum from their thrilling victory over the Netherlands last September, challenges a rejuvenated German team under Captain Michael Kohlmann. The matchup is a classic example of Davis Cup rivalry, with the South American team, traditionally strong on clay, now contending on the fast-paced indoor hard surface. They will be pitted against a formidable German lineup, led by world No. 3 Alexander Zverev and featuring one of the most formidable indoor doubles teams. Nostalgia for the 1989 final adds an extra layer of intensity, as both teams vie for high stakes, including potential seeding for the 2026 Turin championships. Argentina possesses only a 22% chance of advancing, reflected in their +355 odds, while their recent indoor hard record stands at 2–1 compared to Germany's 3–1. This match promises fierce competition and undeniable passion from both sides.

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Argentina has established a reputation in Davis Cup history through its ability to overcome challenges, with their sole Salad Bowl victory in 2016 serving as testament to the power of heart over sheer strength. Their September qualifying match exemplified this spirit: after falling behind 0-1 in Groningen, they rallied to secure a 3-1 victory against a Netherlands team that had reached the 2024 final. Tomás Martín Etcheverry balanced the score, followed by Francisco Cerúndolo's decisive win over Tim van de Zandschulp with a score of 7-6(4), 6-1. The doubles team of Andrés Molteni and Horacio Zeballos then sealed the triumph [ATP]. 

Captain Javier Frana has assembled a strong roster, including Cerúndolo (No. 21), Etcheverry (No. 30), Sebastián Báez, and the renowned doubles duo of Molteni and Zeballos. Their recent ties include: wins against the Netherlands (3-1) and Kazakhstan (3-0), a loss to Italy (0-2 in the 2024 final), a victory over Chile (4-0), and a defeat by Brazil (1-3). 🗣️ “This group lives for these moments — we fight until the last ball,” Frana remarked following their remarkable comeback against the Netherlands [ATP presser, Sep 2025]. 

Molteni and Zeballos boast a record of 14-4 in Davis Cup rubbers since 2022, achieving an impressive 82% success rate in live deciders. They typically force an average of 3.2 breaks per tie when indoors. With Argentina maintaining a YTD Davis Cup record of 6-2, a semifinal appearance without a dominant No. 1 would stand out as one of the most significant accomplishments in Argentine Davis Cup history.

Germany is currently the dominant team on indoor hard courts and is determined to end a 32-year title drought. Their recent 4-0 victory over Japan in Tokyo was particularly impressive: Alexander Zverev did not even need to compete in the final matchup, while Jan-Lennard Struff secured an emphatic win against Yoshihito Nishioka with a scoreline of 6-4, 7-6(4), 6-4. Additionally, Kevin Krawietz and Tim Pütz displayed remarkable resilience, saving three set points in a crucial doubles decider.

Under the leadership of Captain Michael Kohlmann, the team includes world No. 3 Alexander Zverev, No. 36 Jan-Lennard Struff, Yannick Hanfmann, and experienced doubles specialists Krawietz and Pütz, all of whom are proven performers on indoor surfaces. Their recent tie record reflects their strength: they have won their last five encounters, including victories over Japan (4-0), Israel (3-1), and Ukraine (4-0), with a solitary loss to Canada in the 2024 quarterfinals.

Kohlmann expressed confidence following the match in Tokyo, stating, 🗣️ “We have the weapons and the belief to go all the way.” The team is averaging 26 aces per indoor tie and has converted 89% of their service games this season. They hold an impressive year-to-date Davis Cup record of 8-1, including 5-1 on hard courts. A victory in the upcoming tie would mark Germany's most significant achievement since the reign of Boris Becker and Michael Stich in the 1990s.

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H2H: Argentina 7–3 overall vs Germany [ITF]

The most notable encounters in this rivalry include the finals, where Germany triumphed with scores of 3-2 in 1988 and 1989, largely due to Becker's exceptional performances, and 3-0 in 1993. On hard courts, Germany has secured four victories in the last six rubbers played between the two countries. Additionally, over 2.5 rubbers have occurred in six of the ten previous ties.

  • Germany ML @ 1.231 (1xbet) – Zverev’s indoor dominance is too wide a gap.
  • Over 2.5 total sets – Rivalry history and Argentine fight almost always force doubles.
  • Germany -1.5 sets – Zverev and Struff likely take both singles.

Germany advance 2–1

Alexander Zverev's formidable power makes him a dominant force on hard courts, though Argentina's doubles team could potentially claim a match. The implied odds are Germany at -400 and Argentina at +355.

In the first singles match, Francisco Cerúndolo (Argentina, ranked No. 21) faces off against Alexander Zverev (Germany, ranked No. 3). Cerúndolo, who has emerged as Argentina's top player after a successful qualifying round against the Netherlands, is set to challenge Zverev. The latter, renowned for his prowess on indoor surfaces, will look to reaffirm his standing following the Turín final. Zverev holds an 85% edge in this matchup, having won three of four prior meetings, all on clay; however, the hard court favors him. The predicted score is 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Zverev.

In the second singles match, Tomás Martín Etcheverry (Argentina, ranked No. 30) takes on Jan-Lennard Struff (Germany, ranked No. 36). Etcheverry secured a victory for Argentina in the qualifiers, while Struff played a key role in Germany's defeat of Japan. Struff holds a 65% advantage, given his current indoor form and a 1-0 head-to-head record. 

The forecasted score is 6-4, 6-3 for Struff, putting Germany in a strong 2-0 position should no upset occur.

Top 3 Recommended Bets

Germany ML @ 1.231 on Betway

Under 2.5 set @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet (odd is speculative)

Germany -1.5 set @ 1.6 odds on Bet365 (odd is speculative)

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Odds 1,6
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Odds 1,231
Bet Type Germany ML
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Germany -1.5 set
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