Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Prediction – Rome WTA 2025 Tips
WTA Rome 2025: Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova prediction, stats, betting tips, and match preview. Who wins this WTA 1000 clay court clash?
Claim Welcome Bonus🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka: The Reigning Queen of Power Tennis
Aryna Sabalenka, the World No. 1, enters the tournament in Rome on another wave of dominance. For her, nothing comes off except perfect form and confidence. She currently has a streak of six wins and has not been taken to a set by anyone in any of her last 10 matches. She was crowned champion a few days back, winning the Madrid Open for the third time with a straight-sets victory over Coco Gauff, a milestone of her 20th career WTA title. She did not give her May 5 birthday any thought; she's pursued the rarified Madrid-Rome double, an accomplishment last seen by Serena Williams in 2013.
Her 2025 stats stand to show why she is the favorite: 117 aces; 68.2% of points won on the first serve; 77.5% service game win rate; returns that are lethal, winning 61.6% of second serve return points and breaking conversion of over 51%. She served a first serve percentage of 69 and converted 4 break points to 1 of 3 against Gauff on the last occasion that these two met.
Sabalenka embraced her on-court intensity in calling herself a "very unpleasant person" between the lines, a ruthless competitor who thrives on pressure. With nine WTA 1000 titles, she has learned the art of winning on big occasions, and the clay court has now become one of the biggest threats on her surface portfolio.
🇷🇺 Anastasia Potapova: The Comeback Kid with Clay Confidence
Fans favorite Potapova, ranked 34, heads into this second-round clash in great current form. Her recent performances (WWWLW) saw her earn a title at the 2025 Transylvania Open—though she also managed to get into the fourth round in Madrid by toppling bigger names such as Zheng Qinwen and Sofia Kenin before succumbing to Marta Kostyuk. Potapova's opening win in Rome went down to the wire: she saved a match point against Dayana Yastremska in the third set, showing grit and mental toughness.
Potapova's 2025 numbers paint a picture of strength and weaknesses. She is an inconsistent server, with 84 double faults recorded this season, a dismal 54.4% on the first serve. Yet, the good serve percentages follow with Potapova winning close to 71% of her service games and 49.7% of the points on the second serve. Decent return stats follow with such figures as 56.8% on the second serve returns and 37.3% break agenda converted. Against Yastremska, she returned well, winning 46 percent of first serve return points and converted five break points.
While Potapova has shown she can push through adversity, stopping Sabalenka will require a near-perfect game. Yet if her serve begins to shine, this match might be closer than many expect; however, with the player at the top of the ranking, the margin for error is too slender to even consider.
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🤝 Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Head-to-Head Statistics
Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova have met before on two occasions, with Sabalenka winning both. However, there had been an unplayed walkover win for Sabalenka in their latest scheduled meeting at the 2024 Stuttgart Open, leaving much to speculation about their actual game. Their only other completed match took place back in 2021 in Dubai, where Sabalenka came away with a straight sets victory. While Sabalenka has had the advantage in the past, Potapova has matured as a competitor since they have last played against each other. Still, Sabalenka's consistency and firepower could become the deciding factors in this matchup.
📉 Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Betting Trend
- Sabalenka is on a 10-set win streak, making a straight-sets victory a high-probability outcome.
- Potapova has committed the fourth-most double faults on tour this year, which could give Sabalenka easy points on return.
- Sabalenka’s break point conversion rate is over 51%, and Potapova’s break point save rate is under 55%—an edge for Sabalenka in clutch moments.
- Sabalenka has won 77.5% of service games, compared to Potapova’s 70.8%, indicating a stronger baseline on serve.
🏆 Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Match Prediction
Another round-two clash in Rome, and a showdown of the powers due to a battle testing the resoluteness of the latter! Meanwhile, Sabalenka enters this contest full of momentum, confidence, and the ability to dominate every facet of the game, Potapova comes with form and fight but cannot display consistency when really put under pressure. Clay does give a slight advantage to Potapova, but unless she can drastically improve her serve and cut down on unforced errors, the aggression from Sabalenka from the baseline, together with her returns, should dictate the pace. Potapova will probably attempt to extend rallies and grind out some chances, but with the way Sabalenka has been playing lately, she must be considered the strong favorite to shine through with ease.
Below are my betting tips for the match:-
🏅 My prediction for the match is Sabalenka to win 2-0 with a coefficient of 1.57 odds on Betway
🏅 My betting tip for the match is Under 21 total games with a coefficient of 1.63 odds on 1xbet
🏅 My main betting tip for the match is Over 5 total double faults by Potapova with a coefficient of 2.00 odds on Bet365
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