Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina: Prediction for the Match on May 01.2025

Belarus
Belarus
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
01 May 2025 22:30
Ukraine
Ukraine
Tennis, WTA 1000, Madrid, Spain, Quarterfinals
01-May-2025, 22:30
Manolo Santana Madrid Spain
Red Clay Surface 

Raphael George
01 May 2025
10:20
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,53
Bet Type Aryna Sabalenka to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina: Prediction for the Match on May 01, 2025

Prediction for the Tennis match which will take place on May 01. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the players conditions! Several betting options are available.

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Aryna Sabalenka still seems to have more left in store in her strong 2025 season, with yet another quarter-final appearance, this time concluding her spell at the Mutua Madrid Open. The Belarusian managed to win four out of her last five matches and counted up to four consecutive match-winning streaks. In her last match, she crushed Marta Kostyuk in two mighty-hitting but tight sets, winning 7–6, 7–6. Serving performance was two aces and five double faults, but 68 percent first served, 80 percent saved on breakpoints, and three out of four converted. Mental strength at the important moments helped her win both tiebreaks.

Sabalenka clinched the title in the Miami Open last March, winning every set, with world-renowned players like Jessica Pegula in the finals. It was her 19th career WTA title and her eighth WTA 1000 trophy. Even if she suffered an overwhelming loss to Jeļena Ostapenko in the finals of Porsche Tennis Grand Prix last month, that defeat does not lessen her credibility of being in good shape on clay. She is practically a favorite for the title here in Madrid, especially on a faster clay court that favors her power-based game. With aggressive playing style and recent successes, Sabalenka is favorite to win, but first, she'll have to find a way through Svitolina's counterpunching style and current winning streak and get as far as she can in the tournament.

Heading into this quarterfinal match, Elina Svitolina is buoyed with confidence and momentum. The Ukrainian has now racked up a total of eleven straight wins on clay (and hasn't lost a set this entire time). Most recently, she defeated Moyuka Uchijima with a 6–2 6–1 scoreline. Svitolina's stats: 4 aces, 0 double faults, 78 percent first-serve accuracy, and 66 percent breakpoint saves, in addition to breaking serve five times. Overall, it has been her consistent movement on the clay surface that has allowed her to dominate longer rallies and force errors by the opponents.

A foot surgery late in 2024 put a lot of questions on whether she'd bounce back quickly. With two screws in her ankle, Elina's inspirational comeback refuses to stop. Since the start of 2025, she has reached the quarterfinals of both Australian Open and Indian Wells, and more recently won the Open De Rouen without dropping a set. This makes her 18th career WTA title and reaffirms she is in the list of serious contenders. Her hardworking style of absorbing power and tactical intelligence in tennis is bearing its fruits on slower surfaces. Against Sabalenka, she would need to manage first-strike pressure and quickly switch from defense to attack.

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Over the course of their four-year careers on the WTA Tour, Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina have met on five occasions. Sabalenka is ahead of Svitolina at this point with four wins as opposed to Svitolina's one. The duo last faced off against each other at the 2024 WTA 1000, Cincinnati, with Sabalenka beating Svitolina in straight sets--7-5, 6-2. The latter has continued her winning streak against the former by winning the last three matches in a row. Svitolina's only win of 2020 was against Sabalenka, who now is considered the superior powerhouse with her superior shot-making on going into faster surfaces during the recent years. This will be the first encounter on clay since 2019 between the two women.

  • Sabalenka has a 64% career win rate on clay, indicating solid performance on the surface.
  • Svitolina is on an 11-match winning streak on clay, all in straight sets, highlighting her dominance.
  • Sabalenka's last match involved two tiebreaks, and given both players' strong serves, at least one set reaching a tiebreak is plausible.

This quarterfinal tussle at Madrid is without a doubt going to be an electrifying confrontation between raw power and extreme tactical precision. In short, Sabalenka has done her head-to-head, and she plays better on faster clay, but here is where the intrigue lies: Svitolina has an impeccable clay record in 2025. The two players come into this matchup on fantastic form, with Sabalenka aiming for another final in a WTA 1000 and Svitolina extending an incredible comeback run. Expect a tight match with long rallies and possibly momentum swings here and there. Small details—like second serve effectiveness and break point conversion—could ultimately determine this match. Classic offensive-defensive battle with a semi final ticket on the line.

Below are my betting tips for the match:- 

🔥 My prediction for the match is Aryna Sabalenka to win with a coefficient of 1.53 odds on 1xbet 

🔥 My betting tip for the match is Total Games Over 21.5 with a coefficient of 1.80 odds on Betway 

🔥 My main betting tip for the match is At Least One Tie-Break in Match with a coefficient of 3.25 odds on Bet365

Odds
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Odds 1,53
Bet Type Aryna Sabalenka to win
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type Total Games Over 21.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 3,25
Bet Type At Least One Tie-Break
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