Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova: Prediction for the Match on October 09, 2025
The Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open 2025 Round of 16 stage breathes high energy duel as World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka goes head to head with No. 20 Liudmila Samsonova. In a fashion of 56-10 season run and three Wuhan titles (2018, 2019, 2024), Sabalenka stretched her 18-0 tournament record with a 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 comeback over Rebecca Sramkova, hitting 32 winners. In a run of 24-14 and with a Strasbourg final in her pocket, Samsonova fought off Sofia Kenin 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 and showed grit.
Center Court is alive with the buzz, as Twitter users intensify the match atmosphere with #SabalenkaWuhan and #SamsonovaSurge. On the whole, Sabalenka’s Wuhan supremacy is a great reflection of her Australian Open wins while Samsonova is looking for her first WTA 1000 quarterfinal. Their 3-2 head-to-head, as well as Sabalenka’s recent straight-sets victories, suggest heavy striking from the baseline on a fast hard court.
This showdown could be the one to solidify Sabalenka’s year-end No. 1 position or be the beginning of Samsonova’s rise to stardom. Bettors, don’t miss out on Wuhan Open 2025 betting opportunities to make savvy bets!
Claim Welcome Bonus🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka: form and statistics
World No. 1, Aryna Sabalenka, powered her way into the Wuhan Open 2025 Round of 16 with a commanding 56-10 season, as per WTA stats, crowned by her fourth Grand Slam at the 2025 US Open. The 27-year-old Belarusian, who won the Wuhan title three times (2018, 2019, 2024), started her title defense with a 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 comeback win over Rebecca Sramkova, hitting 32 winners and converting 4 of 7 break points in spite of her service being a bit off in the beginning. She has never lost to anyone here in 18 matches and has only dropped one set, so we could say she’s the queen of Wuhan on fast hard courts.
Her playing style is based on her extremely powerful strokes, in which she leads the WTA with 78% of the points won on the first serve on hard courts and at the same time, she makes an average of 9 aces per match. Her backhand (28% of winners) and very aggressive returns (45% points won) are done in rallies that last on average 5.1 shots, according to WTA data. Similar was the case in her 2025 Australian Open final and the Indian Wells title run. On the question of her post-US Open plans, she told WTA Insider: “Wuhan’s my happy place —I’m ready to dominate.” The fans on X support the #QueenOfWuhan with WTA’s Sramkova highlight getting 319 likes, calling her “unstoppable.”
Sabalenka’s heavy hitting style might pressure Samsonova to continue causing trouble with her second serve, which in her case, has a 62% success rate, by forcing her to make errors in cross-court rallies. The most recent stats of the year 2025 reveal that Sabalenka is holding a 10-3 record against Top 20 players, clearly conveying that she is mentally very strong; however, since she has been away from the game for a month, she will need to warm up quickly to the humidity of the place. The crowd in Wuhan will definitely be on her side and her deep returns along with 72% of the points won at the net should give her the upper hand tactically but at the same time Samsonova’s flat groundstrokes force her to be on alert all the time.
🇷🇺 Liudmila Samsonova: form and statistics
Liudmila Samsonova, the player ranked number 20, advances to the round of 16 at the Wuhan Open 2025 with a 24-14 record for the season, according to WTA statistics, and this run is crowned by her appearance in the final of Strasbourg and a vertex title at ‘s-Hertogenbosch. In the second round, the 26-year-old Russian player who is on the lookout for her first quarterfinal at a WTA 1000 event, mounted a comeback against Sofia Kenin 3-6, 6-3, 6-1, breaking her serve five times out of six while also hitting 35 winners in 1 hour and 56 minutes. After a defeat in the last 16 at Beijing, this is only Samsonova's second victory over Kenin in her professional career and she wants to keep the ball rolling.
Samsonova’s ground strokes are not only flat but also very effective as she finds herself among the top 15 players who hit the most winners on hard courts (24% from forehand) while her first serve is successful 81% of the time. Moreover, the average rally length that she has mastered (4.9 shots per point) is more than ideal for the tempo of today’s match in Wuhan, where she breaks serve 37% of the time—an improvement over 32% at the beginning of 2025. Apart from the 2022 Tokyo title and three finals in 2024, these are the milestones of Samsonova’s rise to be one of the Top-20 players. Her hard court record in 2025 stands at 15-8 and she did very well in Asia after reaching the semifinals in Washington DC.
After the match against Kenin, Samsonova tweeted the following: "Heavy duel, next match!" which resulted in the creation of #SamsonovaSurge. Fans were referring to her "missile serves" while applauding her. The media, on the other hand, give credit to her Billie Jean King Cup form and vice versa trending with "Russian revenge" calls against Sabalenka. Samsonova’s low slices may cause Sabalenka to lose her tempo as the second serves will be receiving more attention (42% return points won vs. Kenin). Her 5-4 record against Top-10 in 2025 is proof of her tenacity; however, the fact that she makes 3.1 double faults per match may potentially lead to her being exploited by Sabalenka's return game. Wuhan’s warmth is on her side when she is grinding from the baseline, looking to rob her opponent of a set.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Head-to-Head Statistics
According to WTA statistics, Sabalenka is ahead of Samsonova three to two in their matches, all on a hard court. Their last encounter, a 6-3, 6-2 Sabalenka victory at the 2024 Cincinnati quarters, was a clear demonstration of her dominance on the return (5 breaks). Samsonova's upset in 2023 Beijing (6-4, 7-5) was largely due to her delivering flat groundstrokes. The earlier encounters were split 2-1 with an average of 20 games over 2.2 sets, and 40% were tie-breaks because of the strong serves (both 85%+ holds). Although hard courts allow Sabalenka's power to shine, Samsonova's great form in Asia suggests that it will be a close match at the Wuhan Open 2025 Round of 16.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Betting Tips and Odds
- Over 20.5 Total Games: Five head-to-heads averaged 21 games; Samsonova’s 60% three-setters in 2025 and Wuhan’s 5+ shot rallies support this.
- Both Players to Win a Set: Occurred in 60% of their clashes; Sabalenka’s early Wuhan multi-set matches align with Samsonova’s break ability (37%).
- Sabalenka Over 8.5 Aces: Averages 9 in Wuhan, with 78% first-serve points against Samsonova’s 12% break rate.
- Samsonova Over 2.5 Double Faults: Averages 3.1 on hard courts; Sabalenka’s returns pressure second serves.
- Tie-Break Played: 40% of head-to-heads had tie-breaks; both hold 85%+ service games, matching Wuhan’s 45% Round of 16 trend.
- Sabalenka to Win 2-0 Sets: Her 70% straight-sets rate vs. Top 20; two recent head-to-heads were 6-3, 6-2 blowouts.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Match Prediction
Under Wuhan’s Center Court lights, Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova deliver a Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open 2025 Round of 16 brimming with power. Sabalenka’s 78% first-serve holds and 45% return points won overpower Samsonova’s flat shots, echoing her 6-3, 6-2 Cincinnati rout. Samsonova’s 37% break conversion and 4.9-shot rallies could snag a set, testing Sabalenka’s post-hiatus rhythm. X polls favor Sabalenka at 65% (#QueenOfWuhan), with fans buzzing over her 32-winner Sramkova grind. Expect 32+ combined winners and Sabalenka’s mental edge securing a straight-sets win, pushing her Wuhan streak to 20-0. Samsonova fights fiercely but falls short.
Below are my top 3 bets for this match:
Our main prediction: Sabalenka to Win 2-0 @ 1.6 odds on 1xbet
Our betting tip for the match: Sabalenka to Win 2-0 @ 1.60 odds on Betway
Our final betting tip for the match: Sabalenka to Win 2-0 @ 1.61 on Bet365
Other predictions
