Ben Shelton vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction: Firepower and finesse collide; Shelton vs Diallo in Washington showdown

Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton
Start
Day
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Finished
Live
24 Jul 2025 18:00
Gabriel Diallo
Gabriel Diallo
Tennis ATP 500 Washington USA Round 16
24 July 2025 | 18:00
Washington USA
Outdoor Hard
Raphael George
23 Jul 2025
15:14
All time statistics:
1929
1167
96
60.43%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,74
Bet Type Shelton to Win 2‑1
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Ben Shelton vs Gabriel Diallo: Prediction for the Match on July 24, 2025

High-stakes clash for the Round of 16 collision between Ben Shelton and Gabriel Diallo at the ATP 500 Washington DC Open on Thursday, July 24, 2025. The two go into the match in great form, guaranteeing we will be treated to a fascinating contest under the sun on the fast outdoor hard courts. Safe to say, with Shelton's quick serve, and Diallo carrying the momentum from his first ATP title, we have fireworks in the downtown Washington area. Ahead are the prediction, trends, and betting insights.

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Presently, the American player Ben Shelton is world No. 8 and has himself quite a breakout 2025, with quarter-finals at Wimbledon, where he lost to Jannik Sinner, as well as the Australian Open semis. Seeded fourth at the Mubadala Citi DC Open, he hardly broke any sweat dominating Mackenzie McDonald in a 6‑3, 6‑4 fashion in barely 75 minutes, conceding no break points and delivering nine aces. Shelton appeared in one final this season (Munich, lost to Zverev) and took the crown in ATP 250 clay in Houston 2024, a testament to his versatility. On social media, his "serve-and-volley flair" and athleticism received much praise, and in post-Wimbledon interviews, Shelton thanked his family, particularly his sister Emma, for their support. With the US Open coming up, Shelton is bent on getting into prime form and bagging that first ATP title of the 2025 season

Diallo-Gabriel from Canada, No. 35, enjoyed a breakout 2025 season, capturing his first ATP title at the Libéma Open in June, having saved match points during the match . As the 15th seed in Washington, Diallo was given a first-round bye, and he followed that up with a 6-3, 6-4 victory over Fabian Marozsan, during which he served 10 aces and broke twice . Recent grass-court form of Diallo included a spirited battle at Wimbledon (he lost to Taylor Fritz in five sets) . Diallo’s towering 2.03-meter frame feeds a diesel-like serve and strong groundstrokes; analysts and fans on social media platforms have commented upon his “quiet efficiency” and “big match composure.” In interviews, Diallo has mentioned the confidence boost from winning at Libéma and his comfort on hard courts. With momentum in his favor and new hunger as the underdog, he's looking for a deeper run in Washington

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Gabriel Diallo leads the rivalry 1‑0 overall, having secured a 2–1 victory over Ben Shelton during their lone meeting at the Fairfield ATP Challenger on October 14, 2022.

  • Shelton has held serve in 100% of his Washington matches (zero break points faced vs McDonald).
  • Diallo averaged 10 aces in his match vs Marozsan, underlining a huge serving weapon on hard courts.
  • Shelton has won all his ATP matches this season when firing 9+ aces (6‑0 record).
  • Diallo is unbeaten in Washington this week, showing strong form and confidence (2‑0 record).
  • In five-setters on grass at Wimbledon, Diallo lost tightly (2‑3 to Fritz).

Expect a treat on Thursday, extremely high in energy: two big serves will go head-to-head. Hard courts favor both players, but Shelton is slightly favored for the experience he has at the highest level, more so if he delivers his A-level service and return game.

My top picks for this match are:-

Shelton to Win 2‑1 in Sets at 3.74 odds on Bet365.com – Expect two tight sets followed by dominance from Shelton in the decider, given experience and crowd support.

Over 22 Total Games at 1.6 odds on 1xbet.com – Both players have strong service holds; tiebreak potential is high.

Diallo to Win a Set at 1.60 odds on Betway.com – Given their H2H and Diallo's current form, he has value to grab a set.

Odds
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Odds 3,74
Bet Type Shelton to Win 2‑1
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 22 Total Games
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Diallo to Win a Set
Bonus 250 USD
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